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Hurricane Irene - Discussion Part III


Baroclinic Zone

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Gloria was nastier into the interior and west along the south coast in CT. Bob was bad from SE RI over to CC and I guess up into your area...but I admittedly know very little about how bad Maine has been impacted by different storms.

Yeah, The impact from Bob was a 7 day loss of power here, Gloria basically had little impact as far as wind and power loss, But there has been so few that have made it here that there really is not a lot of data to pour over...

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Oh I'm sure I'll be posting from my iPhone if that happens. Hopefully any power issues are limited to a day or two.

Not if this whole death and destruction thing plays out, haha. If it all breaks right, maybe a week or so without power? Just considering how long it takes to clean up an ice storm that only effects elevations above 800ft... I would imagine 50-70mph winds for a sustained period of time would do similar damage, just a lot more widespread.

But it doesn't really matter... its the warm season so you're pipes won't freeze, you can swim in rivers or lakes to clean yourself, BBQ for food, etc. I'd definitely trade a week without power in the summer for a direct hit from a hurricane.

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Not if this whole death and destruction thing plays out, haha. If it all breaks right, maybe a week or so without power? Just considering how long it takes to clean up an ice storm that only effects elevations above 800ft... I would imagine 50-70mph winds for a sustained period of time would do similar damage, just a lot more widespread.

But it doesn't really matter... its the warm season so you're pipes won't freeze, you can swim in rivers or lakes to clean yourself, BBQ for food, etc. I'd definitely trade a week without power in the summer for a direct hit from a hurricane.

Yeah, nothing can be worse than 4 days without power in mid-December.

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Didn't pull the trigger on the genny I saw at Lowe's because it was a tad underpowered...stopped at the next two HD and they were picked clean. Only thing I want to keep running is the sump pump...hope I have better luck tomorrow.

New England Home Depots are getting shipments from the midwest tomorrow. Just keep calling back to ask your local when they'll be in. Selection will most likely be 5000 watt Husky's. My neighbor works for them and that's the story he gave me.

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Well all day i've been feeling a bit of anxiety about this storm...but right now I have come to the conclusion I am going to have to grin and bear it and just make the best of a bad situation.

Then afterwards I can say I experienced a hurricane, but I am just worried about the devastation that even just the rain is going to create.

I think if people made it through 1938, we'll be fine in 2011.

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I'm kinda glad now that I live well inland and I have only one shade tree on the lawn. :) I can live vicariously seeing it track up through SNE.

Well all day i've been feeling a bit of anxiety about this storm...but right now I have come to the conclusion I am going to have to grin and bear it and just make the best of a bad situation.

Then afterwards I can say I experienced a hurricane, but I am just worried about the devastation that even just the rain is going to create.

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I'll probably get my best severe of the year tomorrow cause I'm not paying attention to it. Nice line right now in NY. Just the beginning of an amazing weekend.

Yea i bet a TOR goes right through your back yard followed by a hurricane two days later. You will pay for it by being in the screw zone of every winter storm for the next 20 years devilsmiley.gif

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Well all day i've been feeling a bit of anxiety about this storm...but right now I have come to the conclusion I am going to have to grin and bear it and just make the best of a bad situation.

Then afterwards I can say I experienced a hurricane, but I am just worried about the devastation that even just the rain is going to create.

Sacrilege!!!

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I'm kinda glad now that I live well inland and I have only one shade tree on the lawn. :) I can live vicariously seeing it track up through SNE.

I have 3 100' maples in my yard, but they aren't going anywhere. Limbs overhang wires and the car, but I still think they should be ok if they didn't drop in the ice storm.

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Yea i bet a TOR goes right through your back yard followed by a hurricane two days later. You will pay for it by being in the screw zone of every winter storm for the next 20 years devilsmiley.gif

That's actually a good point. I'll feel bad if a town gets damaged by severe tomorrow and then gets really damaged by the 'cane.

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* ATLANTIC SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST * * GOES AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE * * IRENE AL092011 08/25/11 00 UTC *TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120V (KT) NO LAND 105 106 108 110 110 107 108 104 104 96 84 65 46V (KT) LAND 105 106 108 110 110 107 108 104 104 96 84 40 33V (KT) LGE mod 105 106 106 105 103 97 94 94 93 85 70 37 30Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP EXTP EXTPSHEAR (KT) 7 11 10 13 13 12 12 8 18 29 47 55 67SHEAR ADJ (KT) 9 9 7 0 6 3 -2 2 0 7 6 5 -1SHEAR DIR 226 247 228 183 232 250 243 208 194 192 187 198 207SST © 29.4 29.6 29.7 29.5 29.2 29.0 29.0 28.7 27.9 26.1 22.7 16.6 15.4POT. INT. (KT) 159 162 164 161 155 151 152 148 137 116 93 75 73ADJ. POT. INT. 145 146 148 144 137 131 130 127 117 100 82 71 70200 MB T © -50.9 -50.7 -50.5 -49.7 -49.6 -49.3 -48.7 -48.5 -48.0 -47.5 -46.2 -47.2 -48.1TH_E DEV © 11 10 10 11 11 9 10 6 8 3 3 0 0700-500 MB RH 63 62 65 66 64 65 63 62 55 54 41 39 43GFS VTEX (KT) 32 29 34 36 38 39 43 43 48 48 48 40 33850 MB ENV VOR 94 86 83 87 76 64 95 116 160 202 202 193 168200 MB DIV 43 41 89 115 43 71 66 104 132 133 84 63 82700-850 TADV 24 21 18 18 28 24 16 18 0 -1 -16 19 -5LAND (KM) 284 342 386 356 306 337 338 189 84 129 10 -89 29LAT (DEG N) 23.5 24.3 25.1 26.1 27.1 29.1 30.9 33.1 35.4 38.1 40.9 44.7 49.1LONG(DEG W) 75.0 75.6 76.2 76.6 77.0 77.2 76.9 76.2 75.0 73.6 72.0 70.0 67.6STM SPEED (KT) 10 10 10 11 10 9 10 12 14 15 18 22 23HEAT CONTENT 2 73 55 79 30 33 39 34 7 0 0 0 0

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* ATLANTIC SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST * * GOES AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE * * IRENE AL092011 08/25/11 00 UTC *TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120V (KT) NO LAND 105 106 108 110 110 107 108 104 104 96 84 65 46V (KT) LAND 105 106 108 110 110 107 108 104 104 96 84 40 33V (KT) LGE mod 105 106 106 105 103 97 94 94 93 85 70 37 30Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP EXTP EXTPSHEAR (KT) 7 11 10 13 13 12 12 8 18 29 47 55 67SHEAR ADJ (KT) 9 9 7 0 6 3 -2 2 0 7 6 5 -1SHEAR DIR 226 247 228 183 232 250 243 208 194 192 187 198 207SST © 29.4 29.6 29.7 29.5 29.2 29.0 29.0 28.7 27.9 26.1 22.7 16.6 15.4POT. INT. (KT) 159 162 164 161 155 151 152 148 137 116 93 75 73ADJ. POT. INT. 145 146 148 144 137 131 130 127 117 100 82 71 70200 MB T © -50.9 -50.7 -50.5 -49.7 -49.6 -49.3 -48.7 -48.5 -48.0 -47.5 -46.2 -47.2 -48.1TH_E DEV © 11 10 10 11 11 9 10 6 8 3 3 0 0700-500 MB RH 63 62 65 66 64 65 63 62 55 54 41 39 43GFS VTEX (KT) 32 29 34 36 38 39 43 43 48 48 48 40 33850 MB ENV VOR 94 86 83 87 76 64 95 116 160 202 202 193 168200 MB DIV 43 41 89 115 43 71 66 104 132 133 84 63 82700-850 TADV 24 21 18 18 28 24 16 18 0 -1 -16 19 -5LAND (KM) 284 342 386 356 306 337 338 189 84 129 10 -89 29LAT (DEG N) 23.5 24.3 25.1 26.1 27.1 29.1 30.9 33.1 35.4 38.1 40.9 44.7 49.1LONG(DEG W) 75.0 75.6 76.2 76.6 77.0 77.2 76.9 76.2 75.0 73.6 72.0 70.0 67.6STM SPEED (KT) 10 10 10 11 10 9 10 12 14 15 18 22 23HEAT CONTENT 2 73 55 79 30 33 39 34 7 0 0 0 0

OSU can you boil that down for us?

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Didn't pull the trigger on the genny I saw at Lowe's because it was a tad underpowered...stopped at the next two HD and they were picked clean. Only thing I want to keep running is the sump pump...hope I have better luck tomorrow.

I've got a 5,000 watt. Gives me about 35 amps - enough to run the basics - well pump, fridge, etc. Picking up about 20 gallons of gas tomorrow.

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