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Hurricane Irene - Discussion Part III


Baroclinic Zone

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NJ and NYC could be completely inundated by freshwater flooding..lol. That's gonna be the biggest concern there imo. Maybe areas in wrn LI sound for surge I suppose.

Yeah Bloomberg seems set on shutting down mass transit starting Saturday at 8 am as well as evacuating Zone A (whatever that means lol-- but it covers 300,000 people.) He's considering evacuating Zone B also-- which includes many more people. I got a call earlier from Nassau County saying they might not just evacuate the barrier islands (which is a near certainty) but they're thinking of evacuating towns on the main part of the island, that border the bay also. Goldberg said that the winds could easily gust to 80-100 mph anywhere from JFK on eastward.

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Love that TWC has been as big of a ::weenie:: as any of us, seem to have had 24 hr coverage since mid week basically.

Its why we wish John Hope was still with us. Some of their coverage is over the top on weenieism and how bad it might be. Cantore is still solid on there though.

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Best possible gusts up this way you think? 60? 70?

If we rip a track up through ORH or just west, then yeah you could gust over 70...but otherwise I'd stick with something like 55-60 but they will be frequent which is the difference between this and a typical high wind event.

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If we rip a track up through ORH or just west, then yeah you could gust over 70...but otherwise I'd stick with something like 55-60 but they will be frequent which is the difference between this and a typical high wind event.

That's better than I thought, thanks. I'm going to try for MMK if possible, but that's not a bad consolation prize if I can't make it. I bet they gust to 80 or better down there.

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If you're driving home from Chicago ...I'd suggest crossing Ontario from DTW to BUF ... Save a ton on tolls, 100+ miles and nice highways... I came home that way last time..   Actually I crossed in Port Huron to Sarnia ...almost no toll on that bridge.<br><br>Caveat ..need the passport now or enhanced license of course.<br><br> 

My sister in law just asked me the forecast for Chicago Saturday. My answer was ...."who gives a ****....i have a hurricane to get home to before it hits!.....glad we're driving and cqn be home by Saturday eve...

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Even 1\11...this is diff. because it's more unique and I have the wx channel on....old school.

Oh yeah this is definitely different...for me b/c I was just too young to experience Bob and this really has the potential (still saying potential) to be my first 'Cane experience. I've experienced major blizzards before 1/11.

If I could find my TV remote I'd have TWC on too but it's been lost for over a week...probably just have to order a new one.

Oh wait...I can borrow my brothers to change my channel :axe:

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If we rip a track up through ORH or just west, then yeah you could gust over 70...but otherwise I'd stick with something like 55-60 but they will be frequent which is the difference between this and a typical high wind event.

Thanks will.. It will just be a pain in the ass to drive back.. I'm kind of a rain/ wind Guy anyways..

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Even 1\11...this is diff. because it's more unique and I have the wx channel on....old school.

Its like a once per decade event...I'll always love huge snowstorms more than anything, but this type of excitement is different. I'm a little more "edgy" and nervous than I normally am with big winter storms....because there's legitimate concern over major damage in this and also a lot of uncertainty in the exact track even until the last second. Its also like experiencing history...people will remember 1/12/11 for a while but a lot of people will also forget it within 5 years, but people don't forget hurricanes here. '38, '44, Carol, Donna, Gloria, Bob....people talk about those years later and even generations later.

We don;t know if this storm will be worthy of being placed with that group, but its still exciting to track the possibility.

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Its like a once per decade event...I'll always love huge snowstorms more than anything, but this type of excitement is different. I'm a little more "edgy" and nervous than I normally am with big winter storms....because there's legitimate concern over major damage in this and also a lot of uncertainty in the exact track even until the last second. Its also like experiencing history...people will remember 1/12/11 for a while but a lot of people will also forget it within 5 years, but people don't forget hurricanes here. '38, '44, Carol, Donna, Gloria, Bob....people talk about those years later and even generations later.

We don;t know if this storm will be worthy of being placed with that group, but its still exciting to track the possibility.

This

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If you're driving home from Chicago ...I'd suggest crossing Ontario from DTW to BUF ... Save a ton on tolls, 100+ miles and nice highways... I came home that way last time.. Actually I crossed in Port Huron to Sarnia ...almost no toll on that bridge.<br><br>Caveat ..need the passport now or enhanced license of course.<br><br>

Careful with that route. Hit it at the wrong time, multiple hour delays possible at Blue Water Bridge in Port Huron.

---

I am here: http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=41.574415,-73.351328

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Quick question, maybe I'm missing something but they keep talking about how the ground is saturated in SNE which will make it easier for trees to come down....where is the ground saturated? It's been a while since I got a good rain. Like I said maybe I missed something since I havent been paying to close of attention to the weather before Irene, was just wondering.

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