SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I hope so.....hopefully some folks start losing power soon so this place will stop going the fu** offline. Why do you want to see the eye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I hope so.....hopefully some folks start losing power soon so this place will stop going the fu** offline. bahahaha. Good point. Oops, did I really just post that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mets time frame from first trop wind until backside wind switch?, asking because after an hour of wind switch tide can go out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I hope so.....hopefully some folks start losing power soon so this place will stop going the fu** offline. Cheer up, Sox up 6-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 wow.. The city is planning to shut down the entire transportation system on Saturday in anticipation of Hurricane Irene's arrival, officials revealed Thursday.<br style="padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; "><br style="padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; ">Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/ny_local/2011/08/25/2011-08-25_before_hurricane_irene_hits_new_york_to_shut_down_entire_transportation_system_p.html#ixzz1W5wGqokQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 IR imagery is really becoming impressive. Finally Irene really looks to be getting its act together. While everyone debated the track for the last 2 days I was always thinking Meh, this thing just does not look that formidable. That seems to be changing rapidly tonight. It's too far n too ever acquire the classic "buzz saw" look, but I want to see a well defined and symetrical eye on IR....not this little irregular vagina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Looks like the tick east has begun it seems. Ryan's call seems reasonable. The one thing to watch out for is if this hooks east. For instance landfall in central LI and then cuts ne or ene. It's possible I suppose, but not really supported now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 it's interesting that the SHIPS does not see shear as an issue as it approaches SNE. The main detriments that it has in the algorithm are 200-250mb temp and SST potential. 200mb divergence is shown as a positive to prevent rapid weakening. [font=monospace][size=2]TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120[/size][/font] V (KT) NO LAND 100 100 101 104 105 102 99 92 82 63 46 33 23 [font=monospace][size=2]V (KT) LAND 100 100 101 104 105 102 82 74 43 31 28 31 21[/size][/font][font=monospace][size=2]LAT (DEG N) 27.7 28.7 29.7 30.6 31.5 33.6 35.6 38.2 41.7 46.0 51.0 54.7 57.2[/size][/font] LONG(DEG W) 77.4 77.6 77.7 77.6 77.4 77.0 76.3 75.1 73.4 70.0 65.1 58.0 49.3 [font=monospace][size=2]STM SPEED (KT) 11 10 9 9 10 10 12 16 22 27 29 28 27[/size][/font] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 bahahaha. Good point. Oops, did I really just post that? You won't lose power though...you're only supposed to get 15 mph winds right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I hope so.....hopefully some folks start losing power soon so this place will stop going the fu** offline. IPADS, smart phones FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Coming right over ur house bro, maybe we both see a partial eye. You're older and have more experience with tropical systems...how much wind on the NW side of the center you think? I've got no clue where to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 IPADS, smart phones FTW Cell towers not immune... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Why do you want to see the eye? Why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 it's interesting that the SHIPS does not see shear as an issue as it approaches SNE. The main detriments that it has in the algorithm are 200-250mb temp and SST potential. 200mb divergence is shown as a positive to prevent rapid weakening. [font=monospace][size=2]TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120[/size][/font] V (KT) NO LAND 100 100 101 104 105 102 99 92 82 63 46 33 23 [font=monospace][size=2]V (KT) LAND 100 100 101 104 105 102 82 74 43 31 28 31 21[/size][/font][font=monospace][size=2]LAT (DEG N) 27.7 28.7 29.7 30.6 31.5 33.6 35.6 38.2 41.7 46.0 51.0 54.7 57.2[/size][/font] LONG(DEG W) 77.4 77.6 77.7 77.6 77.4 77.0 76.3 75.1 73.4 70.0 65.1 58.0 49.3 [font=monospace][size=2]STM SPEED (KT) 11 10 9 9 10 10 12 16 22 27 29 28 27[/size][/font] Norcross just gave a great explanation of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Why not Umm...not windy....or destructive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Cell towers not immune... LOL, this is not Andrew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 it's interesting that the SHIPS does not see shear as an issue as it approaches SNE. The main detriments that it has in the algorithm are 200-250mb temp and SST potential. 200mb divergence is shown as a positive to prevent rapid weakening. [font=monospace][size=2]TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120[/size][/font] V (KT) NO LAND 100 100 101 104 105 102 99 92 82 63 46 33 23 [font=monospace][size=2]V (KT) LAND 100 100 101 104 105 102 82 74 43 31 28 31 21[/size][/font][font=monospace][size=2]LAT (DEG N) 27.7 28.7 29.7 30.6 31.5 33.6 35.6 38.2 41.7 46.0 51.0 54.7 57.2[/size][/font] LONG(DEG W) 77.4 77.6 77.7 77.6 77.4 77.0 76.3 75.1 73.4 70.0 65.1 58.0 49.3 [font=monospace][size=2]STM SPEED (KT) 11 10 9 9 10 10 12 16 22 27 29 28 27[/size][/font] Thanks, Nick....nice find. This should not collapse, unless it fu**s the duck and gets too far west\inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Coming right over ur house bro, maybe we both see a partial eye. OMINOUS. Southeast Mass disappears. Narragansett and Buzzards Bay incredible surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Norcross just gave a great explanation of that. yeah I mentioned the jet streak the other day...it's quite impressive. Obviously, there is some coupled mechanism going on there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Umm...not windy....or destructive... These things have a habit of ah...you know, moving... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Why not I remember during a hurricane in Florida, not sure which one, we went under the eye, it was calm .. but the coolest part was hearing the recon plane overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianLaverty Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Well guys, we asked for it. Skims NC, bounces NNE, heavy heavy chainsaw action for us. Timing is everything for the RI coast, surge Cat is one Cat above wind, that's 5-8 feet above high tide with 20 footers, gonna be some barrier beach areas destroyed if this comes in at high tide in center LI at a right angle. woohoo getting excited Im in walking distance to a private beach.... won't have to worry about cops not letting us in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 LOL, this is not Andrew. Well, I meant they need electricity to operate...I think After the ice storm cell service was spotty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 These things have a habit of ah...you know, moving... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Why do you want to see the eye? Means two things, the eyewall has to pass you, you go calm, then back in the eyewall. Lifelong ambition, was in the ragged western eyewall of Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Thanks, Nick....nice find. This should not collapse, unless it fu**s the dug and gets too far west\inland. big difference between land and water there, obviously. SHIPS has been thinking a low-end Cat 2 landfall in LI if it stays over water the past few days. It actually has shear magnitude as a very minor negative factor and shear direction as more significant positive factor (shear and storm motion vectors are the same direction) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You won't lose power though...you're only supposed to get 15 mph winds right? I'll prolly be in Newport, so maybe 75 gusts in Lowell with my northeast exposure on a hill prolly low 50's gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 These things have a habit of ah...you know, moving... Unless you intended to be the first person in the eye of the storm without going through an eye wall! Maybe you could ride a bike with it up 95 the entire way in the eye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 As I said about 6+ hours ago.....Irene about to rape all of New England. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 woohoo getting excited Im in walking distance to a private beach.... won't have to worry about cops not letting us in. Where?, barrier beach?, I would not get in between the coastal ponds and the ocean.Now a spot on a terminal moraine ..... Watch hill RI would be cool, in the brand new Ocean House. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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