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Hurricane Irene - Discussion Part III


Baroclinic Zone

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Don't underestimate the wind potential... especially within 50 miles of the track (especially in CT and RI). A long duration storm is going to wind up being much more damaging than Gloria and Gloria was exceptionally disruptive here in CT. I don't like the look of this thing in terms of duration of wind on south coast.

Tide will be important... I think we may get lucky with a low tide hit here but can't say for sure.

Now that's the first good news I have heard :) Thanks! Everyone is all doom and gloom here with this occurring at high tide (or across several high tides a la Dec 92 heh.)

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The number that sticks out in my mind is a 77 mph gust at Babylon, NY.... that's the highest I remember from that storm. You're right, there were only a couple or maybe three hurricane force wind gust reports from that storm, and they were all clustered in the mid and upper 70s lol.

Yeah, but often times a lot of these unofficial reports are bogus.

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My gut is telling me landfall between Newport and Bridgeport as a 65 knot cat 1.

More surge potential than normal.

Posted a lot on my blog if you want to check out some of the specifics for CT http://ryanhanrahan....ld-be-underway/

That's great. You really gave level headed cautions and covered all the essentials. Good luck with the sleep deprivation the next few days.

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If evacuations are ordered for anywhere in CT...I imagine we'll hear about them first thing in the morning. Watches should be up by that point and we'll be within 48 hours. I'm at least thankful my house sits several miles inland and I don't have to worry about surge related flooding/damage. And if the track stays west as progged...I'm much less concerned about the flooding factor. Have you made any preparations at your place?

I will move some bio hazards out of the basement, and move valuebles from the first floor to the second. Cut the power and gas to the house, turn off the water, and probably stay behind to make sure the sub pump works and send the kids and wife to higher ground with friends.

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