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Hurricane Irene - Discussion Part III


Baroclinic Zone

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Can we just some model consistency?? I have a feeling now we are going to want a trend west by 12z tomorrow lol

Why?

You really don't want the eye to go over land over the Carolinas b/c it will lead to the storm weakening a bit more and you want the faster forward movement so it slows down the weakening process once it gets over the "cooler" waters. So far everything on the GFS seems to be heavily in our favor.

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Even if it went ridiculously west and went over my head, that means it would have to traverse the Catskills mountains and canes don't like 4 k foot peaks. The forests there would be devastated with blow downs though. Floyd was a mess on the eastern slopes.

Yup. By 54h, you can clearly see that compared to 06z at 60h.

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