ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 GFS takes it right over NYC...a solid 50-60 miles W of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 We have landfall......in NC......not AWT. West trend is our friend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Is anyone starting to get legitimately nervous? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 We have landfall......in NC......not AWT. West trend is our friend? Are they sure this isn't hitting Florida? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Windshield wiper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Is anyone starting to get legitimately nervous? About what? Lots of damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 How do they get TWCs local on the 8s to have Cantore's voice? He probably recorded his voice saying a bunch of words and phrases. I like the way he says "hot" and "near record high temperatures". Is this a brand new feature on HD? Noticed it for the first time last week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Is anyone starting to get legitimately nervous? For a legitimate wide left or 1000's of deaths? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 This run sucks...starting to hope for the east trend lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 About what? Lots of damage? Yes, and loss of life from idiots who will inevitably go outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 This run sucks...starting to hope for the east trend lol If you want the storm to pass near you...you want it west right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 About what? Lots of damage? No , a bad date lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 He probably recorded his voice saying a bunch of words and phrases. I like the way he says "hot" and "near record high temperatures". Is this a brand new feature on HD? Noticed it for the first time last week... A few storms may be severe. Sounds like he is trying to calm people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 This run sucks...starting to hope for the east trend lol The mantra two days ago was that they always trend east at the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 If you want the storm to pass near you...you want it west right now. I know.....but I'd like to see the west trend stop. That trend of a more complete capture maybe real and not the typical illusory coastal hugger runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 If you want the storm to pass near you...you want it west right now. I keep telling myself this. And it is keeping my hopes of see the eye or near the eye alive. This should come back east as we get closer. Has to right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 GFS takes it right over NYC...a solid 50-60 miles W of 18z. Hopefully the famous eleventh hour east trend occurs because if it does go over NYC we're gonna have a lot of disappointed weenies around these parts. Floyd never really reemerged in the open waters after it made landfall and it was a run of the mill event in SNE that didn't do much to the seas. I'm hoping we don't have a repeat performance because Floyd never made the right hook, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I know.....but I'd like to see the west trend stop. That trend of a more complete capture maybe real and not the typical illusory coastal hugger runs. Perhaps, but I know what I'll place my money on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Perhaps, but I know what I'll place my money on. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yes, and loss of life from idiots who will inevitably go outside Me. My friend is coming down from NH Sunday evening...he has to work until 5 PM so he won't be here until 6:30 PM...at earliest but that may be too late and he may not even be able to get far. I seriously may try to talk him out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I liked watching a good tropical storm from my concrete house with only strong trees nearby from my previous house in Florida.. But really the only thing that will happen imby here if it hits 'well' is that trees will fall, potentially damaging my property. I'm not saying a significant part of me isn't pulling for a good hit, but I'm not going to feel 'screwed' if this thing whiffs either. soaked ground and 70 mph gust is enough to get the ball rolling, more than that, I'm thinking watch out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 This run sucks...starting to hope for the east trend lol muhahahahahahahaha. that is all ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Interesting run no doubt... This would be bad for lower Manhattan... This appeal would run risk of drilling a magnified storm surge into the NY Bite area, piling it up in that wedge. This run also mitigates a lot of wind concern - but not entirely - for eastern New England. I can see it easy to go this way because the Euro being nearly coincident with this solution from earlier in the day, but obviously we'd want caution there because 50 miles E and well... Not a hard feat at D4 considering the average margin for error reported by NHC is 200 nautical miles at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 muhahahahahahahaha. that is all ray. I'd much rather it there than over ACK....don't get me wrong. I'm nitpicking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Hopefully the famous eleventh hour east trend occurs because if it does go over NYC we're gonna have a lot of disappointed weenies around these parts. Floyd never really reemerged in the open waters after it made landfall and it was a run of the mill event in SNE that didn't do much to the seas. I'm hoping we don't have a repeat performance because Floyd never made the right hook, Floyd slammed into SE NC, so its not a very good analog unless this one does the same. If this one kisses the outer banks like many of the past big storms, then its a different ballgame because it doesn't rapidly lose intensity like a Floyd type landfall over NC for hours and hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Couldn't be in a better spot 3 days out. Really just astonishing to watch unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 This run is so far west it puts the valley in play for tornadoes whereas a slight late east correction rips it right through here. Was planning on going to FMH but it could be a tough call on what to do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 While I agree on the timing, it would not surprise me if his flight is canceled just so the planes don't get stuck in Boston gumming up the whole system for a few days. Yeah, I'm more concerned that because of the forecast, the flight may never take off because they might be concerned they won't be able to land at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Using the models on wunderground. Is that wind scale in mph or knots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Wow at the GFS. 4 days out is not bad over NYC. You don't want it over BOS 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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