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Hurricane Irene - Discussion Part III


Baroclinic Zone

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  On 8/26/2011 at 12:30 AM, Bostonseminole said:
are you checking the latest pics.. looking better and better, new convection firing up..
Big deal...it's a major hurricane and unless it's dying, which it isn't, it's going to have deep convective pulses. The eye remains relatively disorganized.
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  On 8/26/2011 at 12:36 AM, OSUmetstud said:

i think you mean a little east, right?

Sorry, for some reason, Allan's map went blank again after it had the tracks there.

I have a copy if it doesn't stay loaded here, it's def east of the 18z by a good amount. Pretty sizeable change "on the whole" and it starts pretty early.

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Last I checked she looked healtheir than earlier. How much strengthing will prolly be limited by the drier/shear (I'm no expert) to the northwest. But good outflow, SST's, forward motion and most importantly, end of the eyewall replacement leads me to believe she has a potential for cat 4 by AM, but I'd stick with strong Cat 3

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  On 8/26/2011 at 12:36 AM, OSUmetstud said:

i think you mean a little east, right?

Sorry, for some reason, Allan's map went blank again after it had the tracks there.

We turned off the image hotlinking to try to lessen the stress on our side when places like WU blogs decide to use his images and they get many refreshes. I'd either directly upload it or just paste the image URL link.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/atcf/00zatcfearlyinvest2best.gif

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