Stormtracker81 Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 perfect time for the Kbuf radar to go down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Good graphic from the folks at WKTV. Wind orientation for Lake Effect. That's a GENERAL rule of thumb chart....a nice 270 shoreline band can wallop C/S Oswego Co. and C. Oneida Co. and leave Jeff and Lewis cos. high and dry. (Although they most likely would still see upslope goodies in the higher elevations even if outside the main band.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 That's a GENERAL rule of thumb chart....a nice 270 shoreline band can wallop C/S Oswego Co. and C. Oneida Co. and leave Jeff and Lewis cos. high and dry. (Although they most likely would still see upslope goodies in the higher elevations even if outside the main band.) direction and band position are more clear cut on Erie IMO. The wideness of Ontario and the feeder bands from the upper lakes have an influence of where the band sets up. I've seen good bands in Oswego on 295 flow from Georgian Bay and good bands on 280 flow that originated from Huron. Sucks BUF is down right now..but Cleveland shows the band somewhat well. The metro area does have some potential over the next 6 hours before the shortwave passes given the backing of the winds to the WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 direction and band position are more clear cut on Erie IMO. The wideness of Ontario and the feeder bands from the upper lakes have an influence of where the band sets up. I've seen good bands in Oswego on 295 flow from Georgian Bay and good bands on 280 flow that originated from Huron. Sucks BUF is down right now..but Cleveland shows the band somewhat well. The metro area does have some potential over the next 6 hours before the shortwave passes given the backing of the winds to the WSW. Excellent points Nick. I've been following LES for the better part of 40 years, and there are even some more nuiances to forecasting LES off the E. Lakes....as a matter of fact, each lake has it's own personality, that changes individually throughout the course of the season, in a fairly predictable fashion. (ie, Erie and Geo Bay freezing over, which limits/changes downstream potentials, orientations or factors determining single or multi banded structures....etc....) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 12z ECMWF is actually forecasting the heaviest accumulations in this event to be even further south than before...from Oswego south to Hannibal off of Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 perfect time for the Kbuf radar to go down It's down once a week. FTM BUFMessage Date: Nov 17 2011 10:02:47 THE BUFFALO WSR-88D IS OUT OF SERVICE DUE TO A COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEM BETWEEN THERDA AND RPG. RETURN TO SERVICE IS UNKOWN AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Light snow in West Seneca...probably a passing snow shower but at least it's something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Brief heavy burst of heavy wet snow in Hamburg. I will be taking and uploading videos of any events that occur here all year. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 BUF radar is back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Here is what I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Here is what I think. Very nice....like not only the call, but the maps as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 12z ECMWF is actually forecasting the heaviest accumulations in this event to be even further south than before...from Oswego south to Hannibal off of Lake Ontario. And indicating the aforementioned 270 orientation via a shoreline convergence: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Perrysburg already came in with 3.6". I like the map but I'd extend 1-3" at least...perhaps 3-6" into Wyoming County. Warsaw Hill is getting clobbered right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRLady Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Snowing at a good clip in Watertown NY!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Perrysburg already came in with 3.6". I like the map but I'd extend 1-3" at least...perhaps 3-6" into Wyoming County. Warsaw Hill is getting clobbered right now. Yeah....good quibble, but Euro has been and is still killing the LES rather quickly off Erie....still nice for those getting white for the first time this season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Any reports from the squall heading across Wyoming, Livingston, Steuben Counties? Hoping we get a few flakes from that here in Ithaca as it dies moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Pouring heavy snow right now. We didn't have much today (besides a few brief squalls), but now it's just ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 just started getting some accumulation on grassy surfaces with heavy graupel in oswego Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Starting to snow pretty good here in Hannibal, big wet flakes. The ground is quickly becoming white woooohoooooo. BRING ON THE SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 It was white and 32* when I got home today around 6pm. Snow has now started falling again. I'll update in the morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Lightning!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Lightning!!!!!!!!!! Yup. I think we saw the same flash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Yup. I think we saw the same flash. Yeah, sorry for the weenie post. What can I say - I was excited! It ended up being 3 flashes and 4 thunder rumbles in about a 10 minute period. I just bombed around on my '72 Ski-Doo in about 2" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 2.7" of snow here in about 2.5 hours. We'll see if we can pick up a little more tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 It is crushing right now! Great extended lake effect band, very good organization going on from a ways off the lake. I will go out and measure once the band lifts out, but just looking I'd say a solid inch to 1.5" as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Had a brief burst earlier today dropping a half an inch of snow. Nothing since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 3 to 4 inches in southern Lewis County....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 .2" here. Another batch heading this way. Lake band seems to be wobbling back and forth a lot still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 We have 2.3" from that band, and it is reorganizing again. Let you guys know how much I get with this wave. We normally don't get good banding this far from the lake, so I'm taking every bit of this in!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 We have 2.3" from that band, and it is reorganizing again. Let you guys know how much I get with this wave. We normally don't get good banding this far from the lake, so I'm taking every bit of this in!! looks like you're doing well tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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