vortmax Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 On 10/6/2011 at 11:06 AM, CNYWeather said: Frosty morning here. Down to 31° That's a peaceful picture... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 21 SLK last night, the ice box lives on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 On 10/6/2011 at 3:57 PM, vortmax said: That's a peaceful picture... Yep it is. Here's what it really looks like out front lol. 9.1" of rain for Sept. and the mower dont go hand in hand I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 On 10/6/2011 at 5:18 PM, CNYWeather said: Yep it is. Here's what it really looks like out front lol. 9.1" of rain for Sept. and the mower dont go hand in hand I guess. Looks like my yard in the Spring. 30 for a low this morn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 Just returned to Pennsylvania from a vacation in Lake George, NY. Drove hundreds of miles through the Adirondacks over the past week and all I can say is.....beautiful! The weather didn't want to cooperate but I still enjoyed the trip and saw "some" color in the trees, especially over 1000'. Definetely a place I'd like to visit again. Had a little frost this morning before my departure as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 On 10/7/2011 at 2:21 AM, Parsley said: Just returned to Pennsylvania from a vacation in Lake George, NY. Drove hundreds of miles through the Adirondacks over the past week and all I can say is.....beautiful! The weather didn't want to cooperate but I still enjoyed the trip and saw "some" color in the trees, especially over 1000'. Definetely a place I'd like to visit again. Had a little frost this morning before my departure as well. Glad you enjoyed "God's country" its a great 4 season vacation area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brn2skifst Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 31F at 1500' elevation just outside of Margaretville, NY. Ended up on my arse due to thin coating of ice on the steps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 33 this morning after 31 yesterday. Looks like it will be a perfect weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 On 10/7/2011 at 4:01 AM, Wx4cast said: Glad you enjoyed "God's country" its a great 4 season vacation area. Sure did, I think next time I'll visit sometime just after Labor Day when its warm enough to do lake activities (boating, fishing, swimming) comfortably. Lake George was crystal clear up where I stayed in Hague. I was impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 On 10/7/2011 at 12:40 PM, Brn2skifst said: 31F at 1500' elevation just outside of Margaretville, NY. Ended up on my arse due to thin coating of ice on the steps! I've spent a lot of time down there in the past month and a half. For the wrong reasons. On 10/7/2011 at 12:57 PM, CNYWeather said: 33 this morning after 31 yesterday. Looks like it will be a perfect weekend! 30.0° this morning at 5:30 after a low of 28.9° yesterday (it tends to drop a little lower after I leave for work). Looking forward to the beautiful weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 On 10/7/2011 at 1:27 PM, Parsley said: Sure did, I think next time I'll visit sometime just after Labor Day when its warm enough to do lake activities (boating, fishing, swimming) comfortably. Lake George was crystal clear up where I stayed in Hague. I was impressed. Awesome fishing on the north end of the lake; if you can this time of year, Columbus day can be nice, too. Crowds are down, coho start their run, lake trout active and bass ain't bad either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 North end of the lake is where its at! Much more tranquil than the southern end. I think a lot of it has to do with vacationers not wanting to go through the narrows. Nice bass spot right off Hague where there is a shallow area (15') about a quarter of the way across the lake right next to a hefty drop off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 Still out there, but there appears to be some risk of a wind storm in the Buffalo area on Thursday/Friday. As modeled, it's not a perfect set-up by any means...but with a strong low in the midwest...it's something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 On 10/9/2011 at 1:58 PM, OSUmetstud said: Still out there, but there appears to be some risk of a wind storm in the Buffalo area on Thursday/Friday. As modeled, it's not a perfect set-up by any means...but with a strong low in the midwest...it's something to watch how about them bills today!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 On 10/9/2011 at 11:50 PM, ayuud said: how about them bills today!!! awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 I'm keeping a close eye on the weather for the 23rd. I hope it's dry that day. Big drive planned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Another spectacular day with a high of 78 once again. Albany hit 80 the 2nd straight day too. Last time Albany had 2 straight days of 80 + in October was back in 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 On 10/10/2011 at 9:15 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: I'm keeping a close eye on the weather for the 23rd. I hope it's dry that day. Big drive planned. where are you going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 On 10/10/2011 at 11:10 PM, Organizing Low said: where are you going? Coming up to Ottawa for the day to visit some friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 12z Euro would imply some back end flakes (and maybe a bit "more" than that) for the highest of terrain I'd think.....for next week: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 On 10/13/2011 at 6:52 PM, LakeEffectKing said: 12z Euro would imply some back end flakes (and maybe a bit "more" than that) for the highest of terrain I'd think.....for next week: I'm not expecting much snow in Toronto out of this - perhaps a dusting if I'm lucky. I guess this is something i should get used to this upcoming winter. It doesn't matter how cold Toronto gets this winter, it won't compare to what I experienced in Ottawa for the past 6 years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 We've got a 5 or 10 year event on our hands, followed by the absurb prospect of a heavy dump of elevation dependent snow....and this place is ghost town. The AFD out of Buffalo this afternoon was done very well.... Yeah Fall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 18z GFS has a 5" dump even here in the valley around GFL around the 26th. Temps stay below freezing with -8 at 850.......Cold enough even this time of year. Then again...it's the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 On 10/9/2011 at 1:58 PM, OSUmetstud said: Still out there, but there appears to be some risk of a wind storm in the Buffalo area on Thursday/Friday. As modeled, it's not a perfect set-up by any means...but with a strong low in the midwest...it's something to watch looking pretty decent...High Wind Watch is now out for Friday night and Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 Latest from Buffalo NWS..... THEN THE COASTAL STORM WOULD TAKE OVER AND MOVE UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE HEADING NORTH TO THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD POTENTIALLY SPREAD A STRIPE OF HEAVY SNOW BACK ACROSS THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS AND POSSIBLY THE TUG HILL REGION WHERE A DEFORMATION ZONE WOULD BE IN PLACE. FOR NOW...WILL USE RAIN SHOWERS TO COVER THE EVENT AS IT HAS A HIGHER PROBABILITY. THIS WILL CERTAINLY BE INTERESTING TO WATCH AS IT UNFOLDS THOUGH IN THE COMING DAYS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 Add to this the potential for a "sneaky" severe threat for tomorrow for some parts of NYS and WNE. Looks a bit more impressive (to me) for some of us tomorrow than earlier today. Decent LCHS cool season set-up in my opinion. Catskills east to Litchfield Hills/S'rn Berkshires could see some MESO's with brief spin-ups within a QLCS. Has some similarities to 11/17/2010 and 11/20/1989. While these two cited dates were much more impressive from a kinematic perspective tomorrow's event should feature some moderate range wind speeds and divergence. I would expect the best chance for any spinups tomorrow to be to the left of the 850 hPa jet and in the RRQ of the 300 hPa jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 On 10/14/2011 at 1:54 AM, West Mtn NY said: 18z GFS has a 5" dump even here in the valley around GFL around the 26th. Temps stay below freezing with -8 at 850.......Cold enough even this time of year. Then again...it's the 18z GFS As to be expected, the18z give it and the 0z take it away.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 latest model projections look decent for high wind potential. GFS BUFKIT has 56 kt at 900mb at BUF on Saturday morning. The moment transfer tool only puts gusts to 39 kt there, though. However, the point over the east end of the lake puts sustained winds at 36 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Lake-effect CAPE approaches 1000 j/kg on Saturday morning so there is also a decent chance of lake-effect thunderstorms along with some hefty rain totals where the band sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 The latest 12z nam shows 50kt+ winds at 850 mb saturday afternoon east of lake ontario which might make it hard for the lake-effect band to stay organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 HW Warning now up downwind of the east end of LO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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