DomNH Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 My azz will be in Meriden in a cocaine heartbeat if that verifies. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 The Euro track sounds a lot like the GGEM, just shoved west about 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 JB: Irene will be Top 5 NE hurricane in last 100 yrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 JB: Irene will be Top 5 NE hurricane in last 100 yrs well there's only been like 6 so. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 and here's the early 18z cycle: Nice tight clustering there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 well there's only been like 6 so. LOL. Really? I thought we'd had at least 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Who cares what that shows? There would easily be cane force gusts over all of SNE. We want this to go west of us..and Cape May to NYC to MRG is just about perfect..maybe a little east of that No it won't. The slower movement of this thing will prevent monster winds from penetrating far inland. We want that track a bit east anyway since it makes landfall over S NJ...we want it over W LI when it makes landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Laptops rising into mid air on couches I bet my laptop is higher than yours... In Boston Sat and Sun, supposed to fly to chicago Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 How hyped will the 5PM news be tonight Good luck finding milk, bread, or bottled water left for sale in RI at this time tomorrow. I smell at least a Part 3 to this thread arriving shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Would Boston still get significant wind or too far west now? With that track it'd be a Back Bay Brawler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Really? I thought we'd had at least 20 i was exaggerating but it's not like its pulling from a huge pool of storms. the number of "real" storms is pretty low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 No it won't. The slower movement of this thing will prevent monster winds from penetrating far inland. We want that track a bit east anyway since it makes landfall over S NJ...we want it over W LI when it makes landfall. I agree we'd like it slightly east of NYC..but if it is a cat 1 0r 2 over NYC we'd get raked with winds..no question about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 too far west right where we want it* Last minute east trend means this thing will be right where the current NHC track takes it aka crushing SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 No it won't. The slower movement of this thing will prevent monster winds from penetrating far inland. We want that track a bit east anyway since it makes landfall over S NJ...we want it over W LI when it makes landfall. Sometimes I wonder about him. At any rate this just notched up, those 18 Z models are starting to cluster over ECT RI EMA, slow mover pretty expansive wind fields, its getting antsy time. Still waiting until 12Z tomorrow, but huge decision already made, outside events with huge tents have all been cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Yup, officially looking at flights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 TWC thinking possibly Cat 5 What... not a Category 7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 No it won't. The slower movement of this thing will prevent monster winds from penetrating far inland. We want that track a bit east anyway since it makes landfall over S NJ...we want it over W LI when it makes landfall. Great, so you want it passing right over me LOL, JK Will. The early call on the 18z runs is that they are coming in west also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 My sister just told me she's going to be at Long Beah Island in NJ on Sunday. :raining: :raining: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 HM on board Even with the less intense offshore track toward Cape Cod, I still think the coastal flooding will be exaggerated. The acceleration in the track with Irene only amplifies the hurricane-force wind potential for southern New England and Long Island. But more importantly, I think the storm surge/flooding will be pretty intense with the current modeled solutions. Throw in the showers/thunderstorms ahead of this thing (starting tomorrow) and you've got a perfect recipe for flooding (oh and the record monthly August totals). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 HM on board At this rate.. the big rains are in NY state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 HM on board Henry Margusity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Henry Margusity? LOL..no This guy is actually one of the best mets around. He used to post alot more. He's shall we say "mysterious" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Models still spread… Euro is out near Springfield…GFDL/HWRF bring the eye over FIT…GFS/NAM are east – although slightly west of previous… If you put them all in a blender and poured yourself a glass of forecast it would taste like 20W of ORH, which puts all of eastern MASS in a hot zone of dying wind field and random land falling ‘cane attributed F1 tornadoes. Fun stuff… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 These power outages are gonna be insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Models still spread… Euro is out near Springfield…GFDL/HWRF bring the eye over FIT…GFS/NAM are east – although slightly west of previous… If you put them all in a blender and poured yourself a glass of forecast it would taste like 20W of ORH, which puts all of eastern MASS in a hot zone of dying wind field and random land falling ‘cane attributed F1 tornadoes. Fun stuff… And the rest of us watching raging rivers and waterfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 anyone got a pump I can borrow for my basement next week for my old place in CT? Starting to think I may need it Up till this morning really was thinking this thing would end up being a whiff. But looking closer this morning...once tomorrow nights front clears...there's really nothing that's gonna force Irene eastward very quickly. Euro picked up on that. Its obviously a west outlier...but it adds to the growing support complete whiff in SNE is increasingly unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 LOL..no This guy is actually one of the best mets around. He used to post alot more. He's shall we say "mysterious" The other thing to note from that discussion is how they're talking about the windfield being huge on both the left and right sides of the storm-- a la 1944, Ike, etc.-- especially if this maxes out as a Cat 4 and slowly weakens, the wind field will expand exponentially. There is also a lag effect with surge in weakening storms and the geography of the coastline here makes even a minimal storm produce a major surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Models still spread… Euro is out near Springfield…GFDL/HWRF bring the eye over FIT…GFS/NAM are east – although slightly west of previous… If you put them all in a blender and poured yourself a glass of forecast it would taste like 20W of ORH, which puts all of eastern MASS in a hot zone of dying wind field and random land falling ‘cane attributed F1 tornadoes. Fun stuff… Can't wait...seriously!!! Been hoping for something like this for awhile... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmwes Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 . . . Anyone want to buy a lovely historic colonial? I will sell it to you for cheap. The catch is the deal has to be done by midnight this Saturday. So happy I sold my 1790 Colonial in Portland 5 years ago! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Finally back...looks like the 12z Euro knocked the site out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.