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Hurricane Irene


earthlight

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swing and a miss to the east, misses even NC and the east trend continues

at 123 hours it sits just off the south nj coast and is pounding the area with rain and winD. Its coming right into central LI. Not saying its right, but you are absolutely off.

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swing and a miss to the east, misses even NC and the east trend continues

Dude is there any time of the year where you don't do this? The GFS has a high impact event for us at 120 hours. The storm is just off the NJ shore. If anything it's closer than its previous run.

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Dude is there any time of the year where you don't do this? The GFS has a high impact event for us at 120 hours. The storm is just off the NJ shore. If anything it's closer than its previous run.

Its a direct hit from a 966 hurricane at hour 126.

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At some point, this is coming almost due north, and how far east it gets before that happens is going to make a huge difference. This has to be about as close to a worst case scenario as could happen realistically for this area. The only thing that would make it worse would be if the eastern eyewall came into NY Harbor.

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yes i spoke to early, im pretty shocked it didn't head NE after NC

Like i said earlier there is no real trend as of now....its about 250 miles further west then the 06z run and alot slower this go around........NHC cone forcast is pretty good right now......you have the 00z euro on the western side of the cone, 12z gfs center cone, and the hurricane models on the eastern edge of the cone...

Funny how climo wins out down in SC.......as it looks now they will not be affected. % prob NYC has a higher chance of being directly impacted by a cane then the SC, as we stick out further.

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It looks to start impacting our area by Saturday afternoon with the worst it overnight Saturday right through Sunday evening....by early Monday morning it would be essentially be outta here

At some point, this is coming almost due north, and how far east it gets before that happens is going to make a huge difference. This has to be about as close to a worst case scenario as could happen realistically for this area. The only thing that would make it worse would be if the eastern eyewall came into NY Harbor.

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