OHSnow Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Hope this is a big one for you weenies on the coast. The East Coast is definitely overdue for a big tropical hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sugaree Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Hope this is a big one for you weenies on the coast. The East Coast is definitely overdue for a big tropical hit. yea, because the region usually sees a few hurricanes every year, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Yes that is why I will be dissapointed if this decides to go out to sea. I demand Irene to become a Cat 4 and head into the Chesapeake bay and towards NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 old meme is old srsly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sugaree Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Yes that is why I will be dissapointed if this decides to go out to sea. I demand Irene to become a Cat 4 and head into the Chesapeake bay and towards NY. yea I would love for it to do that, right after it plows into Myrtle Beach as a strong cat 3 and heads due north and then bends east right after passing by the piedmont. I don't mind losing trees, just means more firewood in winter, and I have plenty of boardgames for the week without power. yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthewweatherwatcher Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Wouldn't surprise me at all if this totally missed the United states as the trough that will set up at 45-55 north/78-82 from 96-114 hours appears to set up in a way that drives the cyclone northeastward within its south and southeastern quad, which keeps it off the coast of the Carolinian's. The models try to pump up the ridging to its east and back the trough to around 80-84 west, but knowing the trend; surely, I wouldn't count on a US landfall. Major bust for the nhc. I can't remember a bigger one(Andrew 1992, Debby 2000, France 2004, Charley 2004, Isidore 2002, Katrina 2005, Ike 2008, ) All that are within ( ) didn't bust as hard as this one did if the above turns out true. This was a flying ****. This is 2011 and the models had egg on its face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Hope this is a big one for you weenies on the coast. The East Coast is definitely overdue for a big tropical hit. I don't. I used to wish that I'd experience a strong hurricane just to know what it's like. The thing is for those that haven't experienced is that they don't know about the reality of it all. I missed a few bullets like Ivan and Opal, but I managed to be in the middle of Katrina less than an hour from the gulf coast. It was kind of exciting in the beginning, but that morning as things got worse I could feel the windows bowing in my apartment. I could hear siding being ripped from my building. I could see and feel trees snapping in the wind. Until the eye wall hit, I had NEVER seen wind that strong - and I can safely say that even though it wasn't a category 5, you don't want to experience winds over 100mph sustained with gusts as high as 130. My apartment building was okay, but many apartments/houses had their roofs torn off completely by the storm. After it was over, we not only had no power for a week, but no water for a week. It was dangerous to even go out. It was difficult to find water and food and I had to get on the interstate (which was still blocked by trees) to attempt to head as far north as I could go. I wasn't the only one either - the interstate was jammed with people just like me trying to get further north to just get out of the area. I can also remember the first shower i was able to have days after the storm - and even though there was no power for hot water, a cold shower was better than none at all. For those that are disappointed that it might miss them, don't be. Be very careful what you wish for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I don't. This post is probably gonna get bombarded by people trolling soon enough, but I think it's pretty humbling and sobering. Thanks for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sugaree Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I don't. I used to wish that I'd experience a strong hurricane just to know what it's like. The thing is for those that haven't experienced is that they don't know about the reality of it all. I missed a few bullets like Ivan and Opal, but I managed to be in the middle of Katrina less than an hour from the gulf coast. It was kind of exciting in the beginning, but that morning as things got worse I could feel the windows bowing in my apartment. I could hear siding being ripped from my building. I could see and feel trees snapping in the wind. Until the eye wall hit, I had NEVER seen wind that strong - and I can safely say that even though it wasn't a category 5, you don't want to experience winds over 100mph sustained with gusts as high as 130. My apartment building was okay, but many apartments/houses had their roofs torn off completely by the storm. After it was over, we not only had no power for a week, but no water for a week. It was dangerous to even go out. It was difficult to find water and food and I had to get on the interstate (which was still blocked by trees) to attempt to head as far north as I could go. I wasn't the only one either - the interstate was jammed with people just like me trying to get further north to just get out of the area. I can also remember the first shower i was able to have days after the storm - and even though there was no power for hot water, a cold shower was better than none at all. For those that are disappointed that it might miss them, don't be. Be very careful what you wish for. I have been through about as strong a storm as possible in central NC, and I would gladly Fran or Hugo again....now.... If I was living in a little cottage on a barrier island, that would be completely different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I have been through about as strong a storm as possible in central NC, and I would gladly Fran or Hugo again....now.... If I was living in a little cottage on a barrier island, that would be completely different. We recently had a HUGE thunderstorm in Knoxville that created the biggest outage in KUB history. Power was out for a day or two but at least I had water. Even without power for that long is enough to have to clean out the fridge/freezer, which is a major headache and a good dent on the wallet. Granted, a weak hurricane or tropical storm isn't too bad, but all it takes is for something to cut off your power and water for more than 3 days and you'll sober up pretty quick. If it happens for a week or longer, you sure won't forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
p626808 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 AS much as I like the possiblility of being in my first Eye. I hope it misses.. stage right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Wouldn't surprise me at all if this totally missed the United states as the trough that will set up at 45-55 north/78-82 from 96-114 hours appears to set up in a way that drives the cyclone northeastward within its south and southeastern quad, which keeps it off the coast of the Carolinian's. The models try to pump up the ridging to its east and back the trough to around 80-84 west, but knowing the trend; surely, I wouldn't count on a US landfall. Major bust for the nhc. I can't remember a bigger one(Andrew 1992, Debby 2000, France 2004, Charley 2004, Isidore 2002, Katrina 2005, Ike 2008, ) All that are within ( ) didn't bust as hard as this one did if the above turns out true. This was a flying ****. This is 2011 and the models had egg on its face. you're such a terrible poster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I will be in brigantine, Nj on sunday...anyone have an idea what kind of surge the current track would produce on that little barrier island near AC?? Anyone have a quick link as to where I could find out?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthewweatherwatcher Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 you're such a terrible poster Takes one to know one, What on earth do you disagree with? You like to post insults and never debate the issue being raised. I'd say your pretty freaking terrible. How many days does the models need to show a westward track before you'ed agree that maybe they busted pretty badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 What kush said +100000. When this floods Nj and li coastal towns the Nhc got the track right. Sc to nc been on alert now for the potential. That's the Nhc job. They are doing a great job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthewweatherwatcher Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 What kush said +100000. When this floods Nj and li coastal towns the Nhc got the track right. Sc to nc been on alert now for the potential. That's the Nhc job. They are doing a great job. Well, we surely will see at the end of the day, but I'm saying I wouldn't rule out a total miss for the United states. What is so wrong with noting that possibility? What would you call a complete bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Takes one to know one, What on earth do you disagree with? You like to post insults and never debate the issue being raised. I'd say your pretty freaking terrible. How many days does the models need to show a westward track before you'ed agree that maybe they busted pretty badly. Two things: 1. I pray to god a cat5 hurricane hits the United states this year& 2. Why do your posts suddenly make more grammatical sense when you are called out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthewweatherwatcher Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Two things: 1. [/size][/font][/color] 2. Why do your posts suddenly make more grammatical sense when you are called out? That is not the issue I'm discussing at all. I raised some good points...It's to bad you have to raise a ****ing strawman. I was discussing the possibility of this cyclone missing the United states totally and wishing to see some discussion on models that appear to have done badly. In my opinion of course, but I guess you're a piece of **** in the eye's of the pro's and other members of this board if you even wish to discuse such. It is kind of sad. I just don't understand the hostile tone you people direct towards other people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Major bust for the nhc. I can't remember a bigger one(Andrew 1992, Debby 2000, France 2004, Charley 2004, Isidore 2002, Katrina 2005, Ike 2008, ) All that are within ( ) didn't bust as hard as this one did if the above turns out true. This was a flying ****. This is 2011 and the models had egg on its face. Well, we surely will see at the end of the day, but I'm saying I wouldn't rule out a total miss for the United states. What is so wrong with noting that possibility? What would you call a complete bust? Trying to justify yourself after you made a post like the top one is a little pointless, tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Takes one to know one, What on earth do you disagree with? You like to post insults and never debate the issue being raised. I'd say your pretty freaking terrible. How many days does the models need to show a westward track before you'ed agree that maybe they busted pretty badly. your post sucked...not gonna debate someone who sucks...sry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 That is not the issue I'm discussing at all. I raised some good points...It's to bad you have to raise a ****ing strawman. I was discussing the possibility of this cyclone missing the United states totally and wishing to see some discussion on models that appear to have done badly. In my opinion of course, but I guess you're a piece of **** in the eye's of the pro's and other members of this board if you even wish to discuse such. It is kind of sad. I just don't understand the hostile tone you people direct towards other people. people would be less hostile if you weren't viewed as romania to rainstorm's soviet union Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthewweatherwatcher Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 your post sucked...not gonna debate someone who sucks...sry I guess pointing out that quite a few of the models have been trending towards recurving away from the US=a post sucking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I guess pointing out that quite a few of the models have been trending towards recurving away from the US=a post sucking. WOW, grow the **** up. your tone re: the NHC was what really made your post suck...it wasn't your sucky model analysis that really caused me to post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthewweatherwatcher Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 your tone re: the NHC was what really made your post suck...it wasn't your sucky model analysis that really caused me to post Wow, No question this cyclone has been hard to forecast, so I shouldn't of layed that on the nhc, but the models. Well the short wave does break the ridge, which allows the cyclone to move north and another short wave push's southeastward driving the cyclone northeastward. Right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Starting to feel like this may be the big one for the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Wow, No question this cyclone has been hard to forecast, so I shouldn't of layed that on the nhc, but the models. Well the short wave does break the ridge, which allows the cyclone to move north and another short wave push's southeastward driving the cyclone northeastward. Right? i don't see a model consensus for recurve, or the worst bust in NHC history...all i see is some posts by a dude who never once has provided a unique insight or taught me anything about TC's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Starting to feel like this may be the big one for the east coast. disagree....worst NHC bust ever...trough kicks it out to sea...the models suck....pray for a cat 5 instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I will be in brigantine, Nj on sunday...anyone have an idea what kind of surge the current track would produce on that little barrier island near AC?? Anyone have a quick link as to where I could find out?? If it comes anywhere near here, you won't be on Brigantine, you'll be evacuating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 disagree....worst NHC bust ever...trough kicks it out to sea...the models suck....pray for a cat 5 instead. The Bermuda high is too juiced to let this thing recurve w/o hitting the coast, at least SNE will get smacked. Current GFS is the doomsday scenario w/ NC to Maine getting a direct hit. Probably will change of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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