Mr Torchey Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 108 looks like its moving due north just ne of the va capes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 This sucker could race north at 40mph through the CT River Valley, while a Cat1, and I'd still probably only get a 25kt gust up here. Therefore I'm hoping the track stays just to my east so that I can get in on the 5"+ rains. Although the possibility of Kevin losing power for a few days would be enticing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 GFS is probably going to take it over LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 GFS is probably going to take it over LI Looks like around the MTP/GON/WST area. Big rains up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Looks like around the MTP/GON/WST area. Big rains up here. Yeah E edge of LI then up to Westerly, RI looks like the track on 18z GFS. That would cause issues in Narragansett/Buzzards Bays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Another Narragansett Nailer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 looks like the best GFS run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 GFS displaying some good run-to-run consistency today...go america. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I'm already burned out from this storm and we still have five days before it ultimately goes out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Yeah E edge of LI then up to Westerly, RI looks like the track on 18z GFS. That would cause issues in Narragansett/Buzzards Bays. Sounds a hair west of Bob....NBD, here....lot of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 per toddwbz "Turtle Cove Marina on Turks & Caicos just gusted to 107 mph! " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 8" QPF for parts of the interior. Not bad from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 HM said that theta-E ridges can be just as good as big troughs to get hurricanes to go west...something to consider that I haven't thought of since this is definitely not your classic midwest trough pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Sounds a hair west of Bob....NBD, here....lot of rain. When IS a 'cane a big deal here? If that track verifies, I'll be on the SE coast! Are you telling me you'd stay home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 per toddwbz "Turtle Cove Marina on Turks & Caicos just gusted to 107 mph! " after some stability today looks like she's intensifying.... unless it's my weenieism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Wow 18z gfs is just like, perfect so far. Even looks to be "tucking in" to avoid any dry continental air Perfect for me too-- I'm ground zero for 10-15 inches of rain according to that haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 When IS a 'cane a big deal here? If that track verifies, I'll be on the SE coast! Are you telling me you'd stay home? Gloria was enough to fell trees....Carol was a big deal....1938, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Sounds a hair west of Bob....NBD, here....lot of rain. I think it'd be hard for a Cat. 1 or 2 to be a big deal up here wind-wise. Maybe for you if it came up more through the South Shore? Not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I think it'd be hard for a Cat. 1 or 2 to be a big deal up here wind-wise. Maybe for you if it came up more through the South Shore? Not sure. Without a lot of forward speed, inland areas will definitely be harder pressed to see big winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I think it'd be hard for a Cat. 1 or 2 to be a big deal up here wind-wise. Maybe for you if it came up more through the South Shore? Not sure. Dude, have you ever seen 95 mph wind gusts..... Jesus, you don't want any higher than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Dude, have you ever seen 95 mph wind gusts..... Jesus, you don't want any higher than that. I've seen 80 mph (March 2010) and that was MORE THAN ENOUGH for me, with all the electrical sparklers around. I want the heaviest rains, someone else can keep the winds and power outages and electrical shorts LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Without a lot of forward speed, inland areas will definitely be harder pressed to see big winds. Fine by me.....let the s coast get decimated and I'll take some 70 mph gusts, along with 5" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Dude, have you ever seen 95 mph wind gusts..... Jesus, you don't want any higher than that. Yeah, that'd surpass '08 ice storm damage for sure...but a few 60-65 mph gusts would be pretty nice. I'm focusing more on the flooding aspect than the wind aspect up here of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Still think we speed it up a bit. Probably earlier on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Fine by me.....let the s coast get decimated and I'll take some 70 mph gusts, along with 5" of rain. I mean, I'd doubt inland would see even 70mph with this forward speed...probably mostly TS force gusts. Maybe the hill tops could gust near hurricane strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Don't tag me but I wonder if the slow motion will increase wind threat on the front and even left side more than usual up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Dude, have you ever seen 95 mph wind gusts..... Jesus, you don't want any higher than that. I think his point is, it's hard to get those winds further inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Yeah, that'd surpass '08 ice storm damage for sure...but a few 60-65 mph gusts would be pretty nice. I'm focusing more on the flooding aspect than the wind aspect up here of course. I'm all set with a 1938 storm imby....don't forget, I'm not used to much wind at all, so some 70 mph gusts coupled with heavy rain, and I'm like a kid in a candy store.....a LITE candy store (most of the time, anyway). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I think his point is, it's hard to get those winds further inland. My point is that I don't want those, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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