snowNH Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Yes 100-150 miles west of the eye-- Bertha's max rainfalls were in the Poconos, for example. With Gloria, max rainfall at this lat was in NYC and with Bob it was actually in my area (at my lat anyway.) I think that will be the headliner with this storm.. spot 20"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Larry Cosgrove just posted this on his Facebook page. HWRF and ECMWF model results are in folks. This is going to be one hell of a storm, and anyone living from NC northward to SE QC and NB are about to get hot with a hurricane. Worst impacts Philadelphia and New York metros. I will have an update on examiner.com Yes, it really IS that bad.... LOL..Philly and NY?? He's not dealing with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 LOL..Philly and NY?? He's not dealing with it Just going by what he said on Facebook. Never said he was correct. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Will, look up the Bertha track-- I distinctly remember that was forecast to go over MTP and went over JFK instead (and that was within 12 hours.) JFK to Bridgeport actually. Bertha was another SE NC landfall and it was a rapidly weakening TS by the time it got here so not sure how relevant it is. It never made it back over water until it went NE of BOS.(unless you want to count LI sound very briefly) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Bertha was another SE NC landfall and it was a rapidly weakening TS by the time it got here so not sure how relevant it is. It never made it back over water until it went NE of BOS.(unless you want to count LI sound very briefly) Will, what kind of track would cause the most damage for the majority of the reason? Not talking about specific areas, but generally, for the whole area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Holy fook at early 18z hurricane models!!! LI express! Looks like tip's map from last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Holy fook at early 18z hurricane models!!! LI express! Looks like tip's map from last night Doesn't that weaken more though by the time it gets here since it is over land more? EDIT: Nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Holy fook at early 18z hurricane models!!! LI express! Looks like tip's map from last night 18z cluster looks like it would follow the warm SSTs of the gulf stream until after the Outer Banks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 tell me more about the 1944 hurricane? "HPC: AT THIS TIME THIS HAS ALL THE LOOK OF A VERY DEEP DANGEROUS HURRICANE WITH TRACK AND POSSIBLE INTENSITY TO THAT OF THE GREAT HURRICANE OF 1944." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 tell me more about the 1944 hurricane? "HPC: AT THIS TIME THIS HAS ALL THE LOOK OF A VERY DEEP DANGEROUS HURRICANE WITH TRACK AND POSSIBLE INTENSITY TO THAT OF THE GREAT HURRICANE OF 1944." It was bad...sank a Navy destroyer with over 200 drowned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Rising PNA, rising NAO, ut oh Euro gonna be Kevs hero. Ut oh oh oh oh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 tell me more about the 1944 hurricane? "HPC: AT THIS TIME THIS HAS ALL THE LOOK OF A VERY DEEP DANGEROUS HURRICANE WITH TRACK AND POSSIBLE INTENSITY TO THAT OF THE GREAT HURRICANE OF 1944." Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 tell me more about the 1944 hurricane? "HPC: AT THIS TIME THIS HAS ALL THE LOOK OF A VERY DEEP DANGEROUS HURRICANE WITH TRACK AND POSSIBLE INTENSITY TO THAT OF THE GREAT HURRICANE OF 1944." Raked the area with a huge storm surge from NJ all the way to NE. That storm proved you dont need an eye tracking to your west to get a big storm surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 tell me more about the 1944 hurricane? "HPC: AT THIS TIME THIS HAS ALL THE LOOK OF A VERY DEEP DANGEROUS HURRICANE WITH TRACK AND POSSIBLE INTENSITY TO THAT OF THE GREAT HURRICANE OF 1944." Where are you seeing that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Where are you seeing that? Nevermind, I skipped over the afternoon finals on the extended disco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I'm kinda liking how this thing is taking its time with intensifying.. maybe it will Max out later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 tell me more about the 1944 hurricane? "HPC: AT THIS TIME THIS HAS ALL THE LOOK OF A VERY DEEP DANGEROUS HURRICANE WITH TRACK AND POSSIBLE INTENSITY TO THAT OF THE GREAT HURRICANE OF 1944." http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at19447.asp?feature=surge.animation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Wow. Yup. With that exact same track, the eye would go right over me. Interesting, for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Wow. as kevin would say...HPC chucking long deep and far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 as kevin would say...HPC chucking long deep and far. Kevin's probably passed out while Scott is stealing the shared toaster in the eating area at his hotel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Don't know if I'll get this on here fast enough www.nasa.gov/ntv space station flying over Irene live, pretty dang cool My link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Euro ensemble mean takes it over central LI and about up through ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Don't know if I'll get this on here fast enough www.nasa.gov/ntv space station flying over Irene live, pretty dang cool My link That is friggin cool... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 More from NASA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Nothing can beat the shot of Bob over NE, but I can't wait to see this one's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 1960-61 winter analog? Probably not. I'm getting (rarely for hurricanes) excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 boring part of these things is there's not much to examine...watch a model run...check the satellite/recon etc...then wait in the winter there's so many aspects to look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 boring part of these things is there's not much to examine...watch a model run...check the satellite/recon etc...then wait in the winter there's so many aspects to look at it. Train wreck in slow motion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 My wife is now convinced...we will be home before midnight Saturday night. I also announced that I may need to go into full weenie mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 boring part of these things is there's not much to examine...watch a model run...check the satellite/recon etc...then wait in the winter there's so many aspects to look at it. We're also far enough out that we cannot really get into the meaty details like surge/wind/rain amounts...we are sort of left in limbo speculating on where it makes landfall in SNE if it even does at all. At the moment I'd probably favor the consensus over LI and into interior SNE as that is what the Euro ensemble was despite the OP run being west. But 132 hours is an eternity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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