famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Oh yea man, will do. You do the same. It's usually not a good sign, when I took the engine to get fuel tonight, saw an AC Electric trouble guy there fueling up also. I jokingly said to him, you guys are gonna have a fun few days weeks coming up. Only thing he told me? Get a generator, you're gonna need it. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 from the main thread posted from another regional thread: right track is 11pm advisory track from NHC, left one is 8pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Oh yea man, will do. You do the same. It's usually not a good sign, when I took the engine to get fuel tonight, saw an AC Electric trouble guy there fueling up also. I jokingly said to him, you guys are gonna have a fun few days coming up. Only thing he told me? Get a generator, you're gonna need it. Yeah to all emergency personal we have on here be safe the next couple of days. Hopefully you won't be needed too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 RGEM has a wide swath of 50mm precip at hr48...Also 75mm for LV, 100mm into PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 so far looks like the gfs has the right placement and right on the track of the nhc...between cape lookout and hse but favored towards lookout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 GFS virtually unchanged from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Fixed. Yea I know, lol. When I said days to him, I was being conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just a side note, AC is being completely evacuated. Dozens of buses are taking people that don't have transportation, as far away as Trenton, and 3 EMS Task Forces from Atlantic, Camden and Gloucester are taking the ambulatory patients to hospitals, or wherever else they are needed. Didn't know about this until I got home, and turned on the house scanner. Don't know if the news has any wind of it or not, but the OEM's really aren't screwing around with this one. Looks like nobody wants to make the mistakes that were made in Katrina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 so far looks like the gfs has the right placement and right on the track of the nhc...between cape lookout and hse but favored towards lookout Based on the radar imagery from Wilmington and Moorhead City, it looks like the GFS is already too far west at 6 hours, since the eye is just about due south of Cape Lookout right now. Maybe just a wobble... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Based on the radar imagery from Wilmington and Moorhead City, it looks like the GFS is already too far west at 6 hours, since the eye is just about due south of Cape Lookout right now. Maybe just a wobble... per this radar http://radar.weather...101111&loop=yes assuming that pinhole is the center loos lie landfall bout 25 miles east of lookout little wobble to due n maybe nnw at the end of the image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcwx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I agree yes. Just look at the overall east coast radar and see the motion. It is developing well in advance on the east to se flow. Any rain from here on out is at the very least indirectly related to Irene. Radar seems to be breaking out a bit more... PRE getting started? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 0z ukmet http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/model?MODEL=ukmet&TIME=2011082700®ION=USLCC&FCST=all&LEVEL=500&F2=none&C2=tmpc&VEC=none&F1=p06i&C1=pmsl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 0z ukmet http://weather.uwyo....F1=p06i&C1=pmsl Wow, that one's hard to follow. Does the center of Irene pass along the coast or inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 0z ukmet http://weather.uwyo....F1=p06i&C1=pmsl The Sunny MM5 looks like that also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Wow, that one's hard to follow. Does the center of Irene pass along the coast or inland? looks like same as euro and nam, scrapes or barely comes inland in nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Wow, that one's hard to follow. Does the center of Irene pass along the coast or inland? Hit the stop and go frame by frame or else you'll get 60's flashbacks,lol and yes it goes inland a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Hit the stop and go frame by frame or else you'll get 60's flashbacks,lol and yes it goes inland a little. LOL, so true, and thanks for the help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 LOL, so true, and thanks for the help. that will throw you for a loop when you have a couple in you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 fwiw 0z gfs is west of 18z, makes landfall just north of acy brings in 40-50 mph sustained winds to about phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgir Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Oh my .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Oh my .... That's a lot of rain for Jersey, 969 pres. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Down to cat 1/90 mph as of the 3AM intermediate... yeah, its gonna be really tough to get it up to NJ as a hurricane it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecaster Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Don't say that. I just got to sea isle city. I want to experience hurricane force winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Don't say that. I just got to sea isle city. I want to experience hurricane force winds If it makes landfall in NC as a cat 1 as now seems likely... it also seems likely that there's little hope of it making it up to NJ as a hurricane. But, par for the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 If it makes landfall in NC as a cat 1 as now seems likely... it also seems likely that there's little hope of it making it up to NJ as a hurricane. But, par for the course. Another East Coast halfacane FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Another East Coast halfacane FTL. Day ending in y. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 fwiw 0z gfs is west of 18z, makes landfall just north of acy brings in 40-50 mph sustained winds to about phl Per the hard data and wunderground's map it's about 35 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Day ending in y. Sun rises in east. Pope is Catholic. Sky is blue. Ryan Howard strikes out a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Cane status or not, I see flooding rains and coastal flooding worthy of a cane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I really wonder if NHC will hesitate to downgrade to TS status given the wide range of impacts the storm will still have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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