tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I get this strange feeling that Irene will trend East of the models. She can't go any further west than modeled, so she can only go one direction. well so far it a little east of the nhc track... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 if this was winter ray would have a shrine to the euro up and running GFS's strength has always been tropical systems, while the EC is extra-tropical systems. It makes sense given their developers (America's biggest storms are hurricanes, Europe's big ones come from the north Atlantic). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 GFS's strength has always been tropical systems, while the EC is extra-tropical systems. It makes sense given their developers (America's biggest storms are hurricanes, Europe's big ones come from the north Atlantic). i see, still u gotta admit...granted the euro on a couple runs were tracking this over phl but it has been pretty consistent on del bay or scraping the coast....it always has had hvy rains while the gfs had 3 or 4 runs where it was well east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Flooding is obviously the biggest concern, but I live on top of a hill. The biggest concern for me are the trees that surround my house. How fast do you think the winds will be in SE PA given the weakening and the NAM/Euro track verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Flooding is obviously the biggest concern, but I live on top of a hill. The biggest concern for me are the trees that surround my house. How fast do you think the winds will be in SE PA given the weakening and the NAM/Euro track verifying. How tall are the trees and how close to the house are they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Flooding is obviously the biggest concern, but I live on top of a hill. The biggest concern for me are the trees that surround my house. How fast do you think the winds will be in SE PA given the weakening and the NAM/Euro track verifying. i think 50-60 is reasonable wouldnt be shocked to see a few 60 plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcwx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Quick question: I picked up .47" in the past 90 minutes with the showers that moved north along the delaware river near Lambertville... does that count towards the rain total with Irene? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Quick question: I picked up .47" in the past 90 minutes with the showers that moved north along the delaware river near Lambertville... does that count towards the rain total with Irene? IMO Yes. Perhaps a mini-PRE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 lol bolaris has gusts 70-80 in the city.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 How tall are the trees and how close to the house are they? One is about 15-20 feet tall and right next to my house, 5 feet or so. The other is about 20-30 feet tall and about 10 feet away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 lol bolaris has gusts 70-80 in the city.... Kathy Orr on CBS 3 This afternoon said up to 90 lol didn't see the map cause I turned it off right after she said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 IMO Yes. Perhaps a mini-PRE. I agree yes. Just look at the overall east coast radar and see the motion. It is developing well in advance on the east to se flow. Any rain from here on out is at the very least indirectly related to Irene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 i think 50-60 is reasonable wouldnt be shocked to see a few 60 plus thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 One is about 15-20 feet tall and right next to my house, 5 feet or so. The other is about 20-30 feet tall and about 10 feet away. Pictures would help, but I would probably not worry about trees only that tall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Pictures would help, but I would probably not worry about trees only that tall. lol i got a 50 ft sweet gum 6 ft from my house and like an 80 ft eastern white pine bout 40 ft from my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 lol i got a 50 ft sweet gum 6 ft from my house and like an 80 ft eastern white pine bout 40 ft from my house I have in my nextdoor neighbors yard a huge 70 foot swamp maple, which is only 20 feet from my house maybe 30 feet give or take a foot or 2. But thats some serious issues if that came down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 nice jog to east, keeps moving like this it's going to close as to whether it offiicially makes landfall in NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Pictures would help, but I would probably not worry about trees only that tall. Alright sounds good to me...like a glorified nor'easter It should be fun seeing a hurricane eye this close to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Pictures would help, but I would probably not worry about trees only that tall. Consider my house, a dead man walking, lol. I've got at least 50-60 foot pine trees surrounding my house, and every other house in Collings Lakes. I'll be sure to get tons of pictures of the destruction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 lol i got a 50 ft sweet gum 6 ft from my house and like an 80 ft eastern white pine bout 40 ft from my house Trees IMBY aren't really the concern - it's the Met-Ed facility 1/2 mile from my house that seems to be surrounded by a tree farm. I'm preparing for power loss. Of course, with 2 little kids, we don't do much after dark anyway, so as long as our Kindles and lights are charged, we're good. I'm going to be in Morris Co. early tomorrow, but will be heading back to Northampton Co. mid to late afternoon. If anyone is interested, my WX station is once again uploading to Wundergound: Check it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 lol i got a 50 ft sweet gum 6 ft from my house and like an 80 ft eastern white pine bout 40 ft from my house Haha, yeah I grew up with 60-80 foot trees within 20 feet of nearly every side of my parents house. They've since removed most of them, and will need to eventually remove the remaining one as it is infected with bacterial leaf scorch and is gradually succumbing. There are still some large trees 40-50 feet behind the house in the range of 60-80 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Haha, yeah I grew up with 60-80 foot trees within 20 feet of nearly every side of my parents house. They've since removed most of them, and will need to eventually remove the remaining one as it is infected with bacterial leaf scorch and is gradually succumbing. There are still some large trees 40-50 feet behind the house in the range of 60-80 feet. oak trees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Consider my house, a dead man walking, lol. I've got at least 50-60 foot pine trees surrounding my house, and every other house in Collings Lakes. I'll be sure to get tons of pictures of the destruction. stay safe brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 just looking at it i think this makes landfall around okracoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 oak trees? Q. palustris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Good luck during the storm. Here in Southern Palmer, the only time I have had a power issue is when a substation transformer blew near the Lehigh River which is just south of my development. I have not seen any storm related power outages since I've lived here (3 years). The power here is all run from the nearby substation and not direct lines within the community so I think we have a better chance to keep power. Trees IMBY aren't really the concern - it's the Met-Ed facility 1/2 mile from my house that seems to be surrounded by a tree farm. I'm preparing for power loss. Of course, with 2 little kids, we don't do much after dark anyway, so as long as our Kindles and lights are charged, we're good. I'm going to be in Morris Co. early tomorrow, but will be heading back to Northampton Co. mid to late afternoon. If anyone is interested, my WX station is once again uploading to Wundergound: Check it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Alright sounds good to me...like a glorified nor'easter It should be fun seeing a hurricane eye this close to our area. Won't be much of an eye left by the time it makes it to near NJ/PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 fwiw just shows how massive this storm is...irene is atleast a good 150 miles still from nc and places are already gusting over 60 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 stay safe brother. Oh yea man, will do. You do the same. It's usually not a good sign, when I took the engine to get fuel tonight, saw an AC Electric trouble guy there fueling up also. I jokingly said to him, you guys are gonna have a fun few days coming up. Only thing he told me? Get a generator, you're gonna need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I believe the eye is visible on the Wilmington NC radar... http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=ltx&product=N0R&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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