tombo82685 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 through hr 42 still roughly the same spot as 0z run, may be a hair west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 hr 54 landfall over moorehead city nc region...its a little fast than 0z, which didn't bring it onshore till 6 hrs later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 hr 60 irene sitting between moorhead city and hse..hvy rain starting to push into central and southern del and southern jerz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 hr 66 has irene just west of corolla nc over the outer banks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Keep it coming tom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 hr 72 right over or just east of the tip of delmarva....hvy rains from nj on west to the spine of the apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 heres hr 78 hr 78 irene is right over the delaware bay just west of cape may.... best guess of pressure sub 965 lol.....this is a little east of 0z run which brought it over phl...hvy rain over the region.already 4-5 inches for se pa and southern nj and all of del, with the western side of del 5-6 we get 5-6 inches of rain from irene.. track is elizabeth city to orf to just west of cape may to just west or over nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Weather briefing WFO PHI attachment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Mandatory evacuation has been ordered for Cape May County starting at 8 AM Friday for inland residents. People in the barrier islands must leave TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Weather briefing WFO PHI attachment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Weather briefing WFO PHI attachment "Wind gusts will reach 50 mph in the Poconos and far northwest New Jersey; 75 mph along the I-95 corridor; 100 mph along the Atlantic Coast as the hurricane passes" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Weather briefing WFO PHI attachment WOW, they aren't fooling around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 -- hoping for a miracle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 -- hoping for a miracle then pray for the 18z hwrf to come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 then pray for the 18z hwrf to come true. I'd do better putting all my trust in the NOGAPS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mandatory evacuation also for All Atlantic County residents East of Route 9, including Atlantic City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
al79philly Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 What did the HWRF show Tombo? then pray for the 18z hwrf to come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 What did the HWRF show Tombo? track about 100-150 miles off the shore landfall in se mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 0z model cycle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 0z cycle did shift east by about 30 miles, but most are still clustered over nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 0z cycle did shift east by about 30 miles, but most are still clustered over nj I've noted for about 8 run cycles that every run of every model seems to have tracked west, yet the 18z and 00z runs have steadied and some have trended east. Are we seeing the beginning of a new trend, albeit a slight one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Got any idea of wind speeds in our area for the event? Just curious if this will be worse than our typical fall/winter high wind event. Also, wonder if I need to secure stuff outside. She's gone! What a relief... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I've noted for about 8 run cycles that every run of every model seems to have tracked west, yet the 18z and 00z runs have steadied and some have trended east. Are we seeing the beginning of a new trend, albeit a slight one? anything is still on the table...but as the time draws closer that window narrows...you think winter storms are somewhat unpredictable, tropical storms are that times 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I give the Euro alot of props. thus far with the westerly track it has shown for days. I've been a doubter all along it would take such a track.....looking at analogs and past history, tropical systems just tend to curve NE once they approach 40N. Will this be the case with Irene.......that's the big question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Got any idea of wind speeds in our area for the event? Just curious if this will be worse than our typical fall/winter high wind event. Also, wonder if I need to secure stuff outside. I'm betting on a period of TS force winds at the least. Will be securing some stuff. Look out if this thing cuts west of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mandatory evacuation has been ordered for Cape May County starting at 8 AM Friday for inland residents. People in the barrier islands must leave TONIGHT. I'm not budging from Town Bank, NJ. When they knock I'll give them the name of my next-of-kin. I'm not scared of rain and wind. Staying with neighbors who are in their 70s and were here for Ash Wednesday '62. They said that storm didn't do squat on the West side of the Cape...all oceanfront damage which is what this one is looking like....oceanfront and barrier island/back bay flooding. TWC says we may be dodging a bullet...."Irene is just not getting it's act together to intensify any farther and as per latest satellite frames, may be encountering some raggedness in the eye and weakening". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I give the Euro alot of props. thus far with the westerly track it has shown for days. I've been a doubter all along it would take such a track.....looking at analogs and past history, tropical systems just tend to curve NE once they approach 40N. Will this be the case with Irene.......that's the big question. How about the GFS having this thing climb the coast since hr 324. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm not budging from Town Bank, NJ. When they knock I'll give them the name of my next-of-kin. I'm not scared of rain and wind. Staying with neighbors who are in their 70s and were here for Ash Wednesday '62. They said that storm didn't do squat on the West side of the Cape...all oceanfront damage which is what this one is looking like....oceanfront and barrier island/back bay flooding. TWC says we may be dodging a bullet...."Irene is just not getting it's act together to intensify any farther and as per latest satellite frames, may be encountering some raggedness in the eye and weakening". You know better than to trust TWC. As I type, Irene is in a strengthening mode. Go to main page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm holding my tongue from this point forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gump Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm not budging from Town Bank, NJ. When they knock I'll give them the name of my next-of-kin. I'm not scared of rain and wind. Staying with neighbors who are in their 70s and were here for Ash Wednesday '62. They said that storm didn't do squat on the West side of the Cape...all oceanfront damage which is what this one is looking like....oceanfront and barrier island/back bay flooding. TWC says we may be dodging a bullet...."Irene is just not getting it's act together to intensify any farther and as per latest satellite frames, may be encountering some raggedness in the eye and weakening". Ouch. You could have quite the storm story from there if your still around when its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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