TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 That AFD is so sexy I started smiling when I read it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 That AFD is so sexy I started smiling when I read it I just told my husband about it, his response "if there are tornadoes, we put the dog in the closet and we go outside to watch" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I just told my husband about it, his response "if there are tornadoes, we put the dog in the closet and we go outside to watch" Sounds like something I would do... Wish I could guarantee being in my 13th story apartment at storm time... That ugly cluster of storms out west might cause some subsidence.. worries me slightly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Could anyone post latest hires images Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 That AFD is so sexy I started smiling when I read it For all us PEPCO customers...we'll be foraging for batteries and candles, while consuming all our perishable food in the next 6 hours.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Still cloudy here.. Not good.. and that stuff out west needs to die Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 For all us PEPCO customers...we'll be foraging for batteries and candles, while consuming all our perishable food in the next 6 hours.... Sad commentary there in itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Still cloudy here.. Not good.. and that stuff out west needs to die the wv stuff looks like an issue for sure. maybe stuff will form ahead of it, but that would be before peak heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I think we get a watch within the next couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I think we get a watch within the next couple hours PDS maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 PDS maybe? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 the wv stuff looks like an issue for sure. maybe stuff will form ahead of it, but that would be before peak heat. This low cloud deck only consisting of about 1kft or so at about 2k is pissing me off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2011 Author Share Posted August 21, 2011 Wouldn't 80mph warrant a hatched area on the new outlook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 No I think he was kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I think he was kidding Doubtful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Wouldn't 80mph warrant a hatched area on the new outlook? Probably not if it's microburst related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I think we get a Tornado Watch;best day of year?:we got some sun and dew in the 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Wouldn't 80mph warrant a hatched area on the new outlook? I just got a new roof wind rated to 130mph. I'm good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Looks like a may have picked a good day to move back to dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I think we get a Tornado Watch;best day of year? I think north of us sees a watch maybe.. PA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I think north of us sees a watch maybe.. PA? so you are saying you don't think we will get a watch? interesting, though I am worried about the wv blob. Airmass recovery would occur to some extent after, but I still hope it drys out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2011 Author Share Posted August 21, 2011 Looks like a may have picked a good day to move back to dc. Welcome back to the land of weatherfail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Today's second round of storms rolling through here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 the wv stuff looks like an issue for sure. maybe stuff will form ahead of it, but that would be before peak heat. it will be telling over the next couple of hours as the ongoing convection begins to interact with the max instability axis/lee trough east of the mountains. I wouldn't be surprised to see that complex intensify as that happens. I guess that is the optimistic take.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 it will be telling over the next couple of hours as the ongoing convection begins to interact with the max instability axis/lee trough east of the mountains. I wouldn't be surprised to see that complex intensify as that happens. I guess that is the optimistic take.... I wanted discrete.. so that complex is a real ballbuster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Doubtful How about following some of your own forum rules and providing something other than lame one line replies with no support Ian. This is a discussion man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 I think north of us sees a watch maybe.. PA? Any watch that intersects the 5% probs in the SPC outlook will likely be a Tornado Watch...we'll see what they do with the tornado probs in the updated Day 1 outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 it will be telling over the next couple of hours as the ongoing convection begins to interact with the max instability axis/lee trough east of the mountains. I wouldn't be surprised to see that complex intensify as that happens. I guess that is the optimistic take.... We've got plenty of sun around here for now. At this rate even if came 'early' we should be relatively OK but it may hamper slightly. Gotta see what the favored mode is. I'll go for sups but they'll miss some folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 How about following some of your own forum rules and providing something other than lame one line replies with no support Ian. This is a discussion man. There is no chance of a PDS watch. period. He shouldn't have to explain that, it's a ridiculous notion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 21, 2011 Author Share Posted August 21, 2011 Any watch that intersects the 5% probs in the SPC outlook will likely be a Tornado Watch...we'll see what they do with the tornado probs in the updated Day 1 outlook What does your gut say? Hold serve or any sig changes coming to tor probs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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