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First Freeze Predictions--when will your site go?


moneypitmike

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  On 9/16/2011 at 1:06 AM, weatherMA said:

How many feet of snow pack will you have by then? 1 or 2?

He'll certainly have that much snow on the ground by the time I have a freeze as the average frost date is still over a month away and the average first freeze isn't until the first or second week of November.

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  On 8/20/2011 at 1:57 PM, HubbDave said:

Your location is fun to watch.

I'm going to guess Oct 20 for my yard... I will check with the local wunderground that seems to match me pretty well.

I've had frost already, but an actual freeze is possible this week...

If I miss it, it will be a while before it gets cold enough again...

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  On 10/5/2011 at 1:40 AM, ETauntonMA said:

I think the winds will be my killer. Does not look like the classic radiational type setup with a high cresting over top of us.

This isn't a high cresting over us 12z Friday?

f66.gif

Anyways...I think I finally make 32F one of these upcoming mornings. MAV & MET MOS have my dewpoint reaching 20F Thu afternoon. I can't wait for that.

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  On 10/5/2011 at 1:46 AM, dendrite said:

This isn't a high cresting over us 12z Friday?

Anyways...I think I finally make 32F one of these upcoming mornings. MAV & MET MOS have my dewpoint reaching 20F Thu afternoon. I can't wait for that.

It is but I think that will be after the coldest temps. It does not look like an ideal HP. Looks modified to me. 850's are not below 0C for me on that. I think we see our coldest temps before this H passes overhead. Tonight and tomorrow night on CAA as opposed radiational cooling as the H crests overhead on Friday.

I agree that Thurs afternoon will feel awesome out there.

Anything to get rid of that bug.

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  On 10/5/2011 at 11:48 AM, ETauntonMA said:

It is but I think that will be after the coldest temps. It does not look like an ideal HP. Looks modified to me. 850's are not below 0C for me on that. I think we see our coldest temps before this H passes overhead. Tonight and tomorrow night on CAA as opposed radiational cooling as the H crests overhead on Friday.

I agree that Thurs afternoon will feel awesome out there.

Anything to get rid of that bug.

Actually, when high pressure moves overhead...you are already having some waa aloft moving in. You want some weak waa aloft, because that will help keep the inversion in tact which means the atmosphere has a chance to decouple. Euro has 0C temps right along the ern mass coast, so that's pretty good. It's just going to depend if that atmosphere can decouple well enough because if it can, imo, the setup is there for KTAN to tank. Otherwise, it's like 33 or so.

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  On 10/5/2011 at 1:44 AM, weatherMA said:

I'll go 36/58 for my low/high on Thursday. I might be able to get down into the mid 30s again on Friday, but I think I fall short of a frost both days. Maybe some patchy frost.

imby I would go 59/34 thursday :P

legit shot at 32 fri morning I would say .. although it will end up more like 33/34

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  On 10/6/2011 at 11:47 AM, ETauntonMA said:

35F this AM. Saw some spotty frost on roofs. No freeze yet.

Edit that.

34F for a low.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/obs/TANobs.html

1st frost advisory up for me. BOX has me for 32f. I may be able to pull of a freeze tonight since I have found the temps usually end up a degree or 2 below t where they forecast in nights like this.

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  On 10/6/2011 at 9:28 PM, ETauntonMA said:

1st frost advisory up for me. BOX has me for 32f. I may be able to pull of a freeze tonight since I have found the temps usually end up a degree or 2 below t where they forecast in nights like this.

Still think 31 or maybe even 30 for you tonight.

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