mike2010 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Yea our window of opportunity is a lot smaller compared to our friends just to the west of us. Who knows though we may get hit with some severe storms this evening but most likely for me, rain with some thunder is what I'm expecting. enough of the debbie downer talk... u guys even look at radar ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 MCS looks to be struggling again I wonder if once it progresses west into NJ it intensifies/organizes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Tornado Warning for Putnam again until 5:45pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 enough of the debbie downer talk... u guys even look at radar ? Yeah just really waiting lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 The storms near Allentown need to organize and push east with the entire complex. It's been a very strange convective evolution and we are once again completely overcast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 The storms near Allentown need to organize and push east with the entire complex. It's been a very strange convective evolution and we are once again completely overcast here. Same here, hoping we can squeeze a little more sun out for an hour or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 The storms near Allentown need to organize and push east with the entire complex. It's been a very strange convective evolution and we are once again completely overcast here. Very odd evolution, those storms seem to be progressing north while the rest heads east. Wonder if they are absorbed and the entire complex continues east. If anything it might be indicative of the spin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Very odd evolution, those storms seem to be progressing north while the rest heads east. Wonder if they are absorbed and the entire complex continues east. If anything it might be indicative of the spin. What exactly is the spin? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 What exactly is the spin? lol I was simply referencing the possible rotation associated with the winds and shear. Different mechanisms at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 enough of the debbie downer talk... u guys even look at radar ? Not being a debbie downer. Just stating the fact that where I live along the coast on long island A LOT of things have to go right to get a good thunderstorm not even severe limits. Where as to the west jersey, se ny, eastern pa severe thunderstorms are a lot easier to come by because of their territory and minimal seabreeze/ocean effect problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Just a general area of rain headed this way with the heavier stuff west and south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 First rumble of thunder here. Not expecting much to happen though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Showers seem to be filling in over nj, well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 The 18z NAM is looking more and more correct, looks like the convection coming up from SE PA outran the MCS and now the MCS is no more. I still have a chance at that line but most of this forum probably doesn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 The only areas currently warned are well south of us in Maryland and up in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 On 84 between exit 1 and 2. Incredibly heavy rain, pea_sized hail everyone is pulling off the side of the road hazards flashing on almost every car Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 The 18z NAM is looking more and more correct, looks like the convection coming up from SE PA outran the MCS and now the MCS is no more. I still have a chance at that line but most of this forum probably doesn't So basically severe threat going bye bye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Steve d-Although the watch is until 9 PM, this severe threat with significant cloud cover in place may not last long. TweetDeck • 8/21/11 5:31 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 So basically severe threat going bye bye? not completely but for good severe weather you really need discrete development and the activity is just too numerous right now. The activity down by Philly still posses a threat, but I think this is becoming more of a heavy rain with embedded thunderstorm type event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 This is a very strong cold front for this time of the year.Dewpoints are going to drop 20-25 degrees behind the front.I believe we get some good storms right along the front later on tonight around midnight or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Thats what i was wondering too...if late tonight we have a better shot... but with the rain moving through now and radar not looking that great out further west i'm skeptical This is a very strong cold front for this time of the year.Dewpoints are going to drop 20-25 degrees behind the front.I believe we get some good storms right along the front later on tonight around midnight or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 this is all elevated crap that's approaching. not really exciting in the least bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 even without the severe weather, lots of 0.25"+ per hour rainfall rates over northern PA that will be crossing over into northern NJ which would be capable of dropping an inch or two of rain in a short period of time. One thing about Floyd, I remember that year as being a fairly dry summer and beginning of September before it hit. It dumped about 10" of rain here, and there was some major flooding, but nothing as bad as we even had this March. I wonder how much different it would be with a tropical storm moving through as saturated as the ground currently is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Lightning/thunder here now. I guess it's better than being left high and dry, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 0.63" and still pouring here. Had some awesome CTG lightning before. Big cells firing NE of PHL look to be on track for Monmouth. It appears CNJ sw into SE PA was the hot spot today. S-N moving convection cut off the inflow to the W-E moving MCS in PA, stabilizing the atmosphere in front of those storms. Now we've just got rain/embedded thunder heading towards NNJ, with the strongest cells along the sern fringe of the former MCS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 One thing about Floyd, I remember that year as being a fairly dry summer and beginning of September before it hit. It dumped about 10" of rain here, and there was some major flooding, but nothing as bad as we even had this March. I wonder how much different it would be with a tropical storm moving through as saturated as the ground currently is. Yup. August was quite wet ahead of Floyd, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 0.63" and still pouring here. Had some awesome CTG lightning before. Big cells firing NE of PHL look to be on track for Monmouth. It appears CNJ sw into SE PA was the hot spot today. S-N moving convection cut off the inflow to the W-E moving MCS in PA, stabilizing the atmosphere in front of those storms. Now we've just got rain/embedded thunder heading towards NNJ, with the strongest cells along the sern fringe of the former MCS. This is now probably the most active T-storm season in memory for my area. Great June, ok July, and phenomenal August (A+). Most years we're lucky to have one month out of the summer that's excellent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 SPS out for strong storms..elevated convection w/ gusty winds, rain, lightning, small hail, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Nice updraft near Trenton trying to move northeast is the strongest storm in NJ right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 Some light rain and a little thunder so far in piscataway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.