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Good Chance for Svr Tstms on Sunday 8/21/11


Dark Energy

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802

WWUS30 KWNS 211649

SAW4

SPC AWW 211649

WW 794 SEVERE TSTM CT DC DE MD NJ NY PA VA WV CW 211655Z - 220100Z

AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..

45NNE ABE/ALLENTOWN PA/ - 55SSW DCA/WASHINGTON DC/

..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /27WNW SAX - 37N RIC/

HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.

MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.

LAT...LON 41247337 38097576 38097906 41247683

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS

FOR WOU4.

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good amount of clearing now over eastern pa. the main shortwave is well back to the west so we could see a decrease in convection west of the city before it gets here.

that would be ideal as it would allow for further destabilization and also allow the damaging wind threat to evolve.

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good amount of clearing now over eastern pa. the main shortwave is well back to the west so we could see a decrease in convection west of the city before it gets here.

that would be ideal as it would allow for further destabilization and also allow the damaging wind threat to evolve.

let's hope these early storms start to pull out and things clear up, then we could see some real fireworks tonight. :devilsmiley:

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY

121 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

* AT 117 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PLEASANT

VALLEY...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF POUGHKEEPSIE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT

45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

STANFORDVILLE BY 125 PM EDT...

AMENIA BY 135 PM EDT...

MILLERTON BY 145 PM EDT...

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Was in Yonkers about an hour or so ago when the heavens opened up. Was not fun to drive through on the Saw Mill, but I heard there were a couple of downed trees north of me, so glad I didn't run into those. Honestly, I cannot remember a time where it's rained so much... and not just any rain, really torrential, heavy rain. Nice to look at, not fun to drive through.

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The orientation of the line of thunderstorms over Central PA does not have me excited. These features have a tendency to drop southeast over time and that would leave us high and dry and/or with updraft blowoff. We need the shortwave and forcing to develop new storms to the north and east of that feature in order to get the significant wind damage threat to drop into our area.

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