Ian Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Via NWS this morning for DC: IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT FOR THE PERIOD JUN 1-AUG 17 AT REAGAN NATIONAL THIS IS THE WARMEST SUMMER ON RECORD...A RECORD THAT WAS SET JUST LAST YR. FOR MAX TEMPS THIS YEAR IS 90.8 VS 90.6 LAST SUMMER. AVERAGE TEMP THIS YEAR 81.8 VS. 81.7 IN 2010. this is how we closed out last yr 19 88 72 80 3 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 4.0 10 340 M M 6 8 21 10 20 92 71 82 5 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 4.6 10 170 M M 3 14 140 21 88 74 81 4 0 16 T 0.0 0 7.6 15 130 M M 7 18 140 22 89 76 83 6 0 18 0.15 0.0 0 10.2 20 260 M M 8 3 25 250 23 86 72 79 3 0 14 T 0.0 0 8.2 17 60 M M 7 21 60 24 75 68 72 -4 0 7 T 0.0 0 10.5 18 50 M M 10 23 50 25 83 66 75 -1 0 10 0.00 0.0 0 6.7 14 330 M M 8 18 330 26 87 68 78 2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 6.6 16 350 M M 5 8 20 350 27 83 66 75 -1 0 10 0.00 0.0 0 5.0 10 180 M M 4 14 180 28 89 68 79 3 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 3.0 13 50 M M 4 15 60 29 92 70 81 6 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 3.9 12 170 M M 0 8 14 170 30 96 73 85 10 0 20 0.00 0.0 0 4.4 14 350 M M 0 8 20 350 31 96 71 84 9 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 4.1 9 160 M M 1 13 140 Without looking at the numbers we need, I'd guess we'll fall just short based on what it looks like we see the rest of the month? Gotta transfer my spreadsheet to new computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Without looking at the numbers we need, I'd guess we'll fall just short based on what it looks like we see the rest of the month? Gotta transfer my spreadsheet to new computer. It'll be very close... may not make it on the highs, but lows consistently in the lower 70s will boost our average temp. The only wild card is the potential tropical rain at the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 20, 2011 Author Share Posted August 20, 2011 For DCA... Target = 14,951 total degrees JJA to exactly match last year. Could be as low as 14,949 to round (if I'm using sig digits right). Thru today = 13,083 (81.8 to date, .2 above last year) AVG to finish would yield an 81.2 This is daily.. I think LWX just does monthly avgs which might lose a smudge of data but should be close enough and this is more accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 we won't break the record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 30, 2011 Author Share Posted August 30, 2011 Looks like about 81.1, so solidly #2. All about July really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 I think LWX just does monthly avgs which might lose a smudge of data but should be close enough and this is more accurate. Using daily averages, it looks as if the DCA 2011 summer average will finish at about 81.09, compared to last year's summer average of 81.24. However, the 2011 daily high summer average looks as if it will be about 90.08, barely lower than last year's daily high summer average of 90.13. In fact, if today and tomorrow were to average a high of 88 (as opposed to the forecast 85), this year would be the hottest in terms of daily summer highs. This raises the issue of LWX's use of monthly, rather than daily, averages to compute seasonal averages. Daily is more accurate, particularly for the winter average, because February has only 28 or 29 days each year, as opposed to 31 in both December and January. To be accurate, LWX should redo the historical seasonal averages to reflect daily averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 It just didn't feel like a record breaker to me and nothing like last summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 It just didn't feel like a record breaker to me and nothing like last summer. Same here. The Metro areas were really hot, but here it wasn't too bad at all. 19 days of 90+, which is well below normal, and none since August 2nd. 12 of those came in a 16-day period the last half of July. Last year I had 49 days of 90+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 30, 2011 Author Share Posted August 30, 2011 Same here. The Metro areas were really hot, but here it wasn't too bad at all. 19 days of 90+, which is well below normal, and none since August 2nd. 12 of those came in a 16-day period the last half of July. Last year I had 49 days of 90+. At this point it's safe to say even here that last yr was probably considerably "worse" when it comes to longevity. June and Aug were warm but not necessarily notably so (other than the fact that they both at 100+, June's tying for warmest in June). July was just insane... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 It just didn't feel like a record breaker to me and nothing like last summer. A lot of the early heat didn't come with a lot of humidity. The humiture factor made a fair portion of this summer's heat quite bearable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Why couldn't last winter be the second snowiest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 It just didn't feel like a record breaker to me and nothing like last summer. This month has been much more "normal". July was pretty awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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