battlebrick Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 right to south of 98L. BEGIN NHC_ATCF invest_al992011.invest FSTDA R U 040 010 0000 201108191924 NONE NOTIFY=ATRP END INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 99, 2011, DB, O, 2011081918, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL992011 AL, 99, 2011081818, , BEST, 0, 128N, 238W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 99, 2011081900, , BEST, 0, 125N, 241W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 99, 2011081906, , BEST, 0, 122N, 244W, 25, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 99, 2011081912, , BEST, 0, 118N, 246W, 25, 1007, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 99, 2011081918, , BEST, 0, 114N, 248W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted August 19, 2011 Author Share Posted August 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 The Fujiwhara dance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted August 19, 2011 Author Share Posted August 19, 2011 i smell recurve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Too close to 98L... One should become dominant... and kill the other. Unless they can pull apart more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurriplane Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Ahahaha, another recurve.. Wait a minute.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 Really vigorous convection right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdawgga1 Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 The wave train from Africa is really starting to leave the station with lots of car attached now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 99L Has its own floater.... :X Wonder how much longer it will hold this convection... its had it nearly all day... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-avn.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 By the way, look about 100-200 miles inland. There's another one waiting in the wings! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Islanderbwoy Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 Looks like two waiting to take plunge into the sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 This is interesting Meteorologically ... I was going to comment on this in the 98L thread but it seems NHC beat me to it! 98L appears to have split due to sustained convection along the southern regions of the TW axis near, now near 10N/32W. This persistence has supplied some vorticity genesis and continues to move west, splitting away from the original 98L, now near 16N/30W (Cape Verdi). 98L is probably on its way out as it is moving WNW bodily toward dense SAL and this will cause inhibition, stunting growth. This, interestingly, may supply some help to the new 99L because it will "shield" so to speak, the SAL. This changes things for me in the sense that we may wind up with a robust 3rd system on the table for the current era - that possibility was always out there, but I think having that possibility centered on 98L is now gone in lieu of these morphologies. As a kind of cartoon way of seeing this evolve, the 2:am had a nice circular orange mid grade probability with the near coastal Africa system(s), but at 8am, you can see that has oblong-ed toward the SW - where 99L is born-ing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 This is interesting Meteorologically ... I was going to comment on this in the 98L thread but it seems NHC beat me to it! 98L appears to have split due to sustained convection along the southern regions of the TW axis near, now near 10N/32W. This persistence has supplied some vorticity genesis and continues to move west, splitting away from the original 98L, now near 16N/30W (Cape Verdi). 98L is probably on its way out as it is moving WNW bodily toward dense SAL and this will cause inhibition, stunting growth. This, interestingly, may supply some help to the new 99L because it will "shield" so to speak, the SAL. This changes things for me in the sense that we may wind up with a robust 3rd system on the table for the current era - that possibility was always out there, but I think having that possibility centered on 98L is now gone in lieu of these morphologies. Before 98L croaks, do you think it can steer 99L a little South of due West and give it a better chance to make it at least to interesting (Bermuda, Canadian Maritimes) territory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 20, 2011 Share Posted August 20, 2011 Before 98L croaks, do you think it can steer 99L a little South of due West and give it a better chance to make it at least to interesting (Bermuda, Canadian Maritimes) territory? 98L would not "steer" 98L, no. "Interesting" for Bermuda and/or the Canadian Maritimes doesn't enter the picture one iota. It has as much threat to Boston MA as it does to Brownsville TX, equally - without passion or prejudice - from this position and stage of development. Although, ...I suppose it is fair enough to say that a southern system at that particular longitude would have a better shot of getting farther W, but anything beyond that is pretty much a waste of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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