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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 3

Srain

By Srain,
in Central/Western States

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My Weather Today

My Weather Today

Posted
Posted

I like when a WFO like Houston/Galveston inserts a little personality into their forecast discussions. Nothing can be more boring than constantly reading a dry, straight-forward forecast discussion especially during an epic drought like the one here in Texas now...

CLIMATE...

MORE HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR HOUSTON (NEW)...HOUSTON HOBBY

(TIE) AND COLLEGE STATION (TIE). AS OF 3 PM...IAH REACHED 102

DEGREES...HOU REACHED 97 DEGREES AND COLLEGE STATION WAS 102 DEGREES.

2011 NOW CONTAINS THE EARLIEST 102 DEGREE DAY IN CITY OF HOUSTON

WEATHER HISTORY AND LATEST 102 DEGREE DAY IN HOUSTON WEATHER HISTORY.

BOOKENDS OF HEAT ON THE MOST INFAMOUS SUMMER ON RECORD. WHEN IS

FALL?

RECORD HIGHS FOR WEDNESDAY (9/14)

IAH 97 - 1918

HOU 97 - 1950

GLS 93 - 1900

CLL 101 - 1912

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TXWXCHX

TXWXCHX

Posted
Posted

Okay, we give....

AS OF 315 PM THE HIGHS TODAY AT DFW AND WACO WERE BOTH 107 DEGREES. THESE TEMPERATURES SHATTER THE PREVIOUS DAILY RECORD OF 100 DEGREES FOR BOTH SITES. DFW HAS ALSO SURPASSED THE 1980 RECORD OF MOST 100 DEGREE DAYS IN A YEAR...AS TODAY MARKS DAY 70.

Just. WOW...

Between the 107 degree days and the 15% or lower humidity, the entire landscape is becoming toast flavored around here... Texas Toast :P Add in the 10-20mph winds and it's endless summer...

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Srain

Srain

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Morning e-mail from Jeff:

Increasing rain chances and cooler temperatures!

Weak frontal boundary is drifting southward across Texas this morning with widespread moderate to at times heavy rainfall over western TX from near the Big Bend to Amarillo. Front is still north of SE TX, but drifting southward and should reach our northern counties in the next few hours and approach I-10 by early evening. Upper level ridge that has been parked over the region the last few days will be shifting southward today and this will not only help lower afternoon highs, but also allow a few showers/thunderstorms to develop with the front. High temperatures today will run 5-8 degrees cooler than yesterday, mainly a factor of increased cloud cover over any weak cold air advection.

Not expecting widespread rainfall today, just a few isolated to scattered showers mainly north of Hwy 105. 4km WRF shows most of the activity over our NE counties and then out west across the Rio Grande plains.

Front lifts back northward on Friday, but upper ridge does not build back into the region. Instead high pressure over the SE US will help induce a deep SE flow off the Gulf of Mexico pulling in more tropical like moisture. The result should be a few showers along the seabreeze front each afternoon, but for now will not go much higher than 20% since there is not a lot of tropical moisture out over the Gulf.

Early next week may feature better rain chances depending on your model of choice. The GFS brings a front into TX and stalls it north of our area along the I-20 corridor while the ECMWF drives a cold front deep into TX with widespread rains. Will take a blend of the two solutions and bring a front further south than the GFS but not as far south as the ECMWF. With increasing moisture over the region and the prospects for upstream thunderstorms to possibly send outflows our way, 30% should cover the area for now, but this could be raised in the next few days.

At least there is a chance for rain, now if it would actually rain that would be even better!

Fire Weather:

Moving in the right direction on this aspect as increasing RH and lowering winds should help not only with the ongoing fires, but also the threat of new starts. Winds will be variable and shifting around today near/behind the weak cool front. Afternoon RH should bottom out in the 30-40% range or 10-20% higher than yesterday. Ground fuels remain extremely dry and this continues to be the biggest drawback, so while fires may start their forward spread and growth may not be as great as in the past few days.

Conditions get even better over the weekend and early next week as RH increases more and better chances of rainfall appears over the region.

One concern will be lightening and the threat for lightening induced fires over the next few days, but this threat appears low to moderate at this time.

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Roy

Roy

Posted
Posted

We were excited yesterday in Midland. Nuts to double the yearly rainfall total in just one day. Now we are close to 2 inches for the year. Oh boy. Can't complain though...every bit helps. Really, really nice to see some actual decent rainfall.

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Quixotic1

Quixotic1

Posted
Posted

A rainy Friday night for DFW? I had given up on rain earlier in the day but things are looking up!

Denton/Collin/Tarrant/Dallas counties were one of the few not in the "exceptional" category. All year we've been fortunate enough to get these small tstorm complexes that roll through while the rest of the state is bone dry. This evening, it happened again. Slow soaking half inch of rain. We'll take it.

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

mcd2192.gif

Very impressive light show going on right now! :yikes:

ETA: Nice batch of pea size hail and some very heavy rain. Earlier this afternoon I was starting to think that we might get missed to the north but storms came in just far enough south to catch pretty much all of Collin county.

ETA II: Wicked cool light show! Anyone in the DFW area should stick their head outside to catch a glimpse.

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