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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 3


Srain

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Morning e-mail from Jeff:

Wet weather makes a comeback this period across the region helping to make more progress in our drought conditions.

Active southern storm track since late October remains across the state and this morning’s water vapor shows yet another upper level trough digging southward down the western coast of Baja with favorable jet positioning downstream over TX to begin lifting of a moist Gulf air mass northward over the surface cold dome. High pressure that moved southward yesterday allowing an increase in northerly winds will move eastward today allowing winds to turn toward the east by early Friday. Rapid increase (doubling) of current moisture profiles are expected by early Friday morning. This combined with increasingly favorable lift both from 295K isentropic upglide and right entrance region of the upper level jet all point to rain developing from S TX northward late this afternoon into midday Friday. Will see clouds lower and thicken today with skies becoming cloudy by evening and rain developing northeastward up the coast overnight. Lack of instability should keep most of the rain as light rain or showers with stable profiles not suggestive of thunderstorms. If thunderstorms do form they will be elevated and not surface based with may be a small hail threat.

System will be east of TX by Saturday morning with another surge of cool high pressure in its wake. Lows will dip into the upper 30’s to low 40’s for both days over the weekend with highs in the 50’s under northerly winds. Clouds may break up some on Saturday, but with the sub-tropical jet nearby, high clouds may once again blanket the area…as seen for much of this week. Next system approaches from Mexico on Sunday/Monday. Will repeat the Friday event again on Sun-Mon as the next storm drops into the trough off of Baja and then ejects NE across TX. This system may have a slightly better return of moisture and instability so some thunderstorms may be possible. Rains will develop from SW to NE Sunday afternoon and continue into Monday evening. This system will lack any type of post frontal cold air advection and will help usher in a return of spring like weather Monday-Thursday of next week.

Third and final system looks the strongest and appears on target for the Wed-Thurs period of next week. Prolonged southerly flow will bring deep moisture into the area ahead of this system along with decent instability. Looks like a chance of heavy rainfall and possibly strong thunderstorms with this system toward the middle of next week.

Rainfall amounts tonight-Friday will average .25 to .75 of an inch with most of this falling as a soaking light to moderate rainfall. Rainfall totals on Sunday night-Monday will average .50 to 1.25 inches. May see some run-off problems with the Sun-Mon rainfall as there appears to be a better chance of heavy rainfall. Grounds are wet and after another slow soaking rainfall on Friday grounds will be soggy come Sun-Mon. Flood waves from rainfall last week continue to progress down the mainstem rivers and should reach the Gulf of Mexico today-Saturday, but recessions, especially on the lower Trinity River will be slow due to ongoing gate operations at Livingston.

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Nice steady moderate rain driving in today, the lawn at home was already saturated, with standing water in the barley perceptible low spots. BIg airport (IAH) probably exceeds an inch before all is said and done.

Sunday might be a menudo day. After Mass. Neither my wife nor her mother make it, its a dying art, but store bought menudo, not made with the same love, but a little cilantro, cebolla and oregano, and its ok. Popo's Mom, she is about 100, Mrs. Cantu, she still makes menudo

No giant white corn in mine, watching my girlish figure.

Why AccuWx converts to Eastern time, I have no idea...

SUN 7A 12-FEB 1.5 2.0 1033 55 66 0.00 573 547

SUN 1P 12-FEB 7.4 2.6 1032 37 56 0.00 574 548

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Nice steady moderate rain driving in today, the lawn at home was already saturated, with standing water in the barley perceptible low spots. BIg airport (IAH) probably exceeds an inch before all is said and done.

Sunday might be a menudo day. After Mass. Neither my wife nor her mother make it, its a dying art, but store bought menudo, not made with the same love, but a little cilantro, cebolla and oregano, and its ok. Popo's Mom, she is about 100, Mrs. Cantu, she still makes menudo

No giant white corn in mine, watching my girlish figure.

Why AccuWx converts to Eastern time, I have no idea...

I'm not huge menudo fan but I certainly prefer it prepared fresh. I want to make sure those odd ingredients are as fresh as possible! A friends father makes a Cajun version of menudo but he tends to be a bit heavy handed with the organ meats for my taste.

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Its been a fun Winter for snow and ice lovers in Texas. Just 400 miles and 3000 feet away.

One product issued by NWS for: Lamesa TX

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX

320 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO

RETURN SUNDAY ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEW

MEXICO...AND PARTS OF THE TRANS PECOS...

.SHALLOW MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR WILL INFILTRATE THE AREA STARTING

SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY MORNING...WIDESPREAD LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE

BELOW FREEZING. AS AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHEAST OVER

THE AREA...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP. THE

SHALLOW NATURE OF THE AIRMASS IS A COMPLICATING FACTOR AND FAVORS

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BEFORE NOON SUNDAY IN THE FORT STOCKTON...

ALPINE...AND BALMORHEA AREAS. THE RESULT COULD BE SIGNIFICANT ICE

ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10. FARTHER NORTH

INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN AND LEA COUNTY NEW MEXICO...PRECIPITATION

WILL DEVELOP AFTER SUNRISE AND A MIXTURE OF WINTER WEATHER WILL

TURN TO SNOW BY MID MORNING. SNOW...SOME AT LEAST BRIEFLY

HEAVY...IS EXPECTED NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10. AS IS TYPICAL WITH

WINTER STORM SYSTEMS THERE ARE SOME UNCERTAINTIES WITH RESPECT TO

ONSET AND END TIMING AND WHERE THE HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR. STAY

TUNED FOR UPDATES.

NMZ033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-074-075-111030-

/O.NEW.KMAF.WS.A.0002.120212T1200Z-120213T0000Z/

CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-

SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-

REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-

GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-

PECOS-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...

SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...

BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...

KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...

MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...FORT STOCKTON

320 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2012 /220 PM MST FRI FEB 10 2012/

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH

SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A

WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING

THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* EVENT...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW.

* TIMING...SUNDAY

* IMPACTS...POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY IMPACT

INTERSTATE 10 AND FEEDER ROADS IN PECOS AND REEVES COUNTIES

ESPECIALLY. SNOW PACKED ROADS MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT NORTH OF

INTERSTATE 10.

* ICE/SNOW ACCUMULATIONS... ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO AROUND ONE

QUARTER INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING ALONG AND SOUTH OF

INTERSTATE 10. SNOW AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PERMIAN

BASIN AND LEA COUNTY NEW MEXICO.

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX

855 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2012

.CLIMATE...

WHAT A DIFFERENCE A YEAR MAKES! RAINFALL HAS BEEN RATHER PLENTIFUL

AS OF LATE. IS THE DROUGHT GETTING BETTER? IN THE SHORT TERM...

YES! LONG TERM DROUGHT INDICATORS ARE STILL RATHER POOR BUT ALSO

SHOWING SOME IMPROVEMENT. HERE ARE THE RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE

LAST FIVE MONTHS FOR 2011-12 COMPARED WITH THE SAME MONTHS FOR

2010-11. MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK SO FEBRUARY 2012 TOTALS

WILL CONTINUE TO GROW.

SITE OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB TOTAL

IAH 2010-11 0.02 2.71 3.04 5.05 0.69 11.51

IAH 2011-12 3.36 4.70 4.28 5.07 2.84 20.25

HOU 2010-11 0.07 4.76 5.84 4.10 0.34 15.11

HOU 2011-12 5.43 2.85 4.21 5.39 2.43 20.31

CLL 2010-11 T 0.90 0.81 2.99 0.61 5.31

CLL 2011-12 0.96 2.41 3.43 2.78 6.64 16.22

GLS 2010-11 0.11 6.90 2.13 3.86 0.67 13.67

GLS 2011-12 4.60 2.36 4.41 3.01 3.33 17.71

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A chance, albeit a slight one, exists for frozen precip here in Austin tomorrow morning!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

438 AM CST SAT FEB 11 2012

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-111245-

LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-

GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-

MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-

FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...

ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...

BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...

BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...

SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...

PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...

CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS

438 AM CST SAT FEB 11 2012

...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING...

AS A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW EJECTS NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...LIGHT RAIN WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT

OVER THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS AS GULF

MOISTURE OVERRUNS A MODIFIED POLAR AIRMASS IN PLACE. AS READINGS

CONTINUE DROPPING TOWARDS SUNRISE...SOME OF THE RAIN WILL BECOME

MIXED WITH SLEET. AFTER SUNRISE...THE OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION

WILL SPREAD EASTWARD AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

ATMOSPHERIC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW RELATIVELY DRY AIR AT THE

SURFACE ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF

SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AT THE TIME OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES SUNDAY

MORNING. THUS...MUCH OF THE GULF MOISTURE THAT OVERRUNS SUNDAY

MORNING IS EXPECTED TO EVAPORATE BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND...AND

ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OR SNOW ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. AS

OVERRUNNING CONTINUES DURING THE DAY...PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME

ALL RAIN BY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

MODEL TIMING AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNT UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN. RESIDENTS

SHOULD STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ON THIS POTENTIAL

WINTRY MIX EVENT SUNDAY MORNING.

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The 12Z and 18Z models suggest, to me, great gnashing and wailing of teeth TPL, AUS, HYI and SAT along I-35, as a cold rain falls.

Marginal for an exciting morning rush in the Metroplex Monday, but thinking of the 1980 US Hockey team and the first Giants-Pats Super Bowl, or Texas defeating the semi-professional USC Trojans for the National Championship in the Rose Bowl, I think miracles do happen.

post-138-0-83775700-1329002992.gif

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It is going to be a close call for us out here in the northern DFW burbs. I expect to see some flakes but it just takes a little eye squinting and head tilting and I can see us getting more than that. Maybe 00z will bring some surprise trends our way!

May be our last shot for the winter. 18z didn't look good, but then again the models rarely handle local wintry events well. Anytime there's a slight chance, I have hope.

Anywho, this cold snap assures DFW will not break the record for fewest days with a minimum of 32 or less in a winter (Unless there's a sudden warming before midnight tonight). A ray of sunshine.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

832 AM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE HILL COUNTRY AND

ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO

6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.COLD DRY AIR CONTINUED TO PUSH INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS

MORNING. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS BRINGING PACIFIC

MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO SOUTH TEXAS... RESULTING IN

INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY. WITH THE

COLD AIR IN PLACE...THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL THROUGH THE COLD

DRY AIRMASS. THERE IS STRONG POTENTIAL FOR THE PRECIPITATION TO

FORM INTO A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT SLEET AND LIGHT SNOW.

THIS WINTRY MIX COULD RESULT IN ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW

ACCUMULATIONS WITH ISOLATED SPOTS UP TO THREE INCHES MAINLY

ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL

TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING TOWARD

THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH THE WINTRY MIX CHANGING TO ALL RAIN.

TXZ171-183>189-121830-

/O.UPG.KEWX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120213T0000Z/

/O.NEW.KEWX.WS.W.0001.120212T1432Z-120213T0000Z/

LLANO-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...DEL RIO...ROCKSPRINGS...

LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...BOERNE

832 AM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A WINTER

STORM WARNING FOR MUCH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU...WHICH

IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER

ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...6 AM TO 6 PM.

* MAIN IMPACT...MOTORISTS ENCOUNTERING ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW

ON LOCAL ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES

* OTHER IMPACTS...WIND CHILLS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO 20S.

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People of Del Rio and the such- loving it when the models aren't quite right.

I was doubting yesterday, and give another lesson in being glass half full optimistic!

Oh, and HGX is concerned about tornadoes anyplace that gets warm sectored tomorrow!!! (Far SW/S parts HGX CWA)

000
NWUS54 KEWX 121437
LSREWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
837 AM CST SUN FEB 12 2012
..TIME...   ...EVENT...	  ...CITY LOCATION...	 ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....	  ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
	    ..REMARKS..
0831 AM	 SNOW			 CAMP WOOD			   29.67N 100.01W
02/12/2012  E0.0 INCH	    REAL			   TX   CO-OP OBSERVER
	    SLEET HAS CHANGED OVER TO PURE SNOW AND STICKING TO
	    SURFACES.

&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1200057
$$
CJM

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

956 AM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

.UPDATE...

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UPGRADED TO WINTER STORM WARNING FOR MUCH

OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU THRU 6 PM. NO CHANGE TO WINTER

WEATHER ADVISORY THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR ADJACENT AREAS. MAY NEED TO

ADD BURNET AND BLANCO COUNTIES TO WARNING BY AFTERNOON. LOWERED

HOURLY AND MAX TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY AND EXTENDED WINTRY MIX OF

PRECIPITATION INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

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Kerrville is holding at 30°F and getting pounded with rapidly accumulating snow. Fredricksburg and Mountain Home changed over to snow. Sleet in NW San Antonio as the HIll Country makes the prophecy come to life.. Finger of winter mischief heading towards the capitol city - an Austin Massacre? The temp is 34°F, but the dewpoint is 19°F, so frozen stuff is likely.

New Austin/SA Disco - Winter Storm Warning in place...I see Srain just posted this.

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GFS and NAM agree on very limited instability around Houston tomorrow below 700 mb, but HGX shows some glass half full optimism for interesting weather. And again mid-week.

THE MAIN CONCERN TOMORROW WILL BE THE SEVERE POTENTIAL AND HEAVY

RAINFALL. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL LARGELY DEPENDS ON INSTABILITY AS

MODELS ARE ALL AGREEING THAT LESS THAN 500 J/KG OF CAPE WILL BE

POSSIBLE. PRECIP WATER VALUES SHOULD REACH 1.3-1.4 INCHES ALONG

THE COAST AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES INLAND DURING THE DAY. MODELS

SUGGEST A WEAK WAVE TO FORM ON THE FRONT WITH A WEAK SFC LOW THAT

MOVES EAST DURING THE DAY. THIS SET UP REALLY ENHANCES LOW LEVEL

SHEAR AND MODEL HODOGRAPHS SHOW QUITE A BIT OF TURNING IN THE

LOWEST 3 KM. THE NAM HAS 0-3KM SRH REACHING 700-900 M2/S2 OVER

THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. THERE WILL ALSO BE QUITE A BIT OF

LOW LEVEL LIFT AND STRONG QG FRONTOGENESIS. STORMS MAY STILL

BECOME STRONG/SEVERE GIVEN SUCH STRONG FORCING IN THE LOW LEVELS

AND COULD TAKE ADVANTAGE OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR TO SPIN UP BRIEF WEAK

TORNADOES AS WELL AS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY

BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AS WELL WITH PRECIP WATER NEAR 1.4

INCHES BUT EXPECT RAPID STORM MOTIONS SO THINK QPF WILL REMAIN

BELOW FLASH FLOOD THRESHOLDS. STILL WARRANTS BEING MONITORED

GIVEN THE FORCING IN LOW LEVELS.

THE NEXT SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY COULD ALSO PRODUCE A PERIOD OF

SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST

CAPES OF AROUND 1000 J/KG AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR STORM

ORGANIZATION. PRECIP WATER MAY BE EVEN MORE THAN ON MONDAY WITH

THE GFS/NAM SUGGESTING AREAS OF 1.5-1.6 INCHES WHICH WOULD BE

RIGHT IN LINE WITH 2 STANDARD DEVS ABOVE NORMAL OR NEAR THE 99TH

PERCENTILE ON CLIMO PRECIP WATER CURVES. THE SHORTWAVE WILL STILL

PASS NORTH OF THE AREA BUT BRING A PACIFIC FRONT INTO THE AREA

LATE WED WHICH WILL PROVIDE THE NECESSARY LIFT FOR STORMS MAINLY

FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF SE TX. FORECAST WILL KEEP 50/60 POPS AS

MODELS HAVE NOT CHANGED MUCH WITH THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX

515 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-130200-

HOUSTON-TRINITY-MADISON-WALKER-SAN JACINTO-POLK-BURLESON-BRAZOS-

WASHINGTON-GRIMES-MONTGOMERY-LIBERTY-COLORADO-AUSTIN-WALLER-

HARRIS-CHAMBERS-WHARTON-FORT BEND-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-

GALVESTON-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROCKETT...TRINITY...GROVETON...

MADISONVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...SHEPHERD...COLDSPRING...LIVINGSTON...

CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...CALDWELL...LAKE SOMERVILLE...

COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...BRENHAM...NAVASOTA...THE WOODLANDS...

CONROE...WILLIS...LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...COLUMBUS...

EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...SEALY...BELLVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...

PRAIRIE VIEW...BROOKSHIRE...HOUSTON...PASADENA...KATY...TOMBALL...

HUMBLE...WINNIE...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...

PIERCE...SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...

EDNA...BAY CITY...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...

ANGLETON...FREEPORT...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...

GALVESTON

515 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

...LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...

AN AREA OF VERY LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS

EVENING. VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR AND LOW WET BULB FREEZING HEIGHTS

WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW ICE PELLETS OR SLEET TO MIX WITH THE RAIN

THIS EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO WARM OVERNIGHT AND THE

POTENTIAL FOR SLEET WILL DIMINISH. NO SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE

EXPECTED. VERY LIGHT SLEET WAS REPORTED IN SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY

COUNTY NEAR RAFER RD AND I-45 AT 505 PM.

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