DCWeatherGuy Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Looks like a substantial western shift in the NAM at 24 hrs. I know the NAM sucks for tropical storms, but at 24 hrs it's got to be pretty decent, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yeah I'm thinking hour 30 is gonna be wet for our area. Look how much further west the precip extended at 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Looks like a substantial western shift in the NAM at 24 hrs. I guess I'm going to have to bring the deck furniture inside after all. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I know the NAM sucks for tropical storms, but at 24 hrs it's got to be pretty decent, no? WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 wow. would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yeah big shift at 30 sim radar has an intense band all through MD, DC, NOVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Already at 3 inches and still raining hard at 30 in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 It's now more in line with the euro amounts. That also probably means there will be some nice gusts within the bands though the precip looks to be associated with the formation of a weak frontal boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 Of course.. NAM in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 4 inches + at 36 still raining, interested to see wind on wunderground when it comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 It's now more in line with the euro amounts. That also probably means there will be some nice gusts within the bands though the precip looks to be associated with the formation of a weak frontal boundary. What do you think of the placement at this pt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Winds look on wunderground NAM also, DC surrounded by 28+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Winds look on wunderground NAM also, DC surrounded by 28+. sustained or gusts? and knots right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What do you think of the placement at this pt? FWIW, CT Rain says it intialized too far west in the SNE thread... thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 FWIW, CT Rain says it intialized too far west in the SNE thread... thoughts? weeniesm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 sustained or gusts? and knots right? Its in knots. Sustained I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 man what a dump on the nam. i dunno.. i think it might be right with the heavier amounts but not sure on location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 weeniesm I am just wondering if it had any merit at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 sustained or gusts? and knots right? Sustained knots, there is a large area of 28+ that extends around DC but not over it, but I'm not taking that sort of precision at 33 hrs seriously. It's close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What do you think of the placement at this pt? Beats me, I'd still lean towards the euro track but that still gives us lots of precip. You'd think the nam would do a decent job in a 36 hour forecast if the center is initialized correctly. I haven't checked that out. To be honest, I haven't been following the storm a closely as I would a snowstorm. That's why I haven't posted that much. Maybe the heavier precip that some of the sref members were showing were onto something but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 I am just wondering if it had any merit at all. it might... i think any of us in play are a bit imby at this pt in 2 weeks of tracking. that said, morgerman seems to have schooled orh on where to go for the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 it might... i think any of us in play are a bit imby at this pt in 2 weeks of tracking. that said, morgerman seems to have schooled orh on where to go for the storm. Yeah I can see why they are worried this track would miss SE New England with the worst weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 it might... i think any of us in play are a bit imby at this pt in 2 weeks of tracking. that said, morgerman seems to have schooled orh on where to go for the storm. SNE immediately tossed it. Here's to hoping the RGEM and GFS show same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 At 36 hours the center is over ocean city, Annapolis is in 45+, Bmore on the edge of 35+, DC on edge of 28+. I want to lock this track in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 At 36 hours the center is over ocean city, Annapolis is in 45+, Bmore on the edge of 35+, DC on edge of 28+. I want to lock this track in! I don't as it would guarantee I lose power for 4 or 5 days. I don't need that. Plus the rain is going to screw up the fishing big time on both the bay and Potomac. Still, it will be an interesting 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 *See the posts about the NAM*: Did I ever tell you how excited I am about this storm? EDIT: Whoa! What? There's a Hitler 'smiley'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Can we ban the newbies until after the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 *See the posts about the NAM*: Did I ever tell you how excited I am about this storm? EDIT: Whoa! What? There's a Hitler 'smiley'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Nam has the center pass just East of Moorehead which looks reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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