nw baltimore wx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I can understand for sure at Salisbury but not Towson IMHO. Who cares if they get a little wet? They might be just concerned of parents and students traveling from areas more seriously impacted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 Right, because with weather there are only definites we'd all be better off if no one even mentioned the storm till it showed up on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Well I remember a lot of wind in Isabel but to be fair - we were on her western side which probably helped a good bit. Obvious this will likely be weaker than Isabel by quite a bit since we're on the back quadrant, though Irene should be stronger and closer to us, so it's hard to tell. TS warnings seem awefully preliminary at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 So, my youngest is in a soccer tournament this weekend over in Poolesville, MD. The tournament organizers have doubled down and are not cancelling any of the games, including those set for Saturday night and Sunday morning. For the record, I like the cut of their gib on this - go for it. That said, this was from their main page: Hurricane Irene Update: 10:15 am Friday - All games are ON as scheduled. This includes Saturday evening and Sunday games. The latest location specific forecast for the SoccerPlex regarding Irene, from a nationally recognized forecasting firm based in Germantown, is that the storm is shifting far enough east that we should be able to play all games as scheduled. Rain and wind at the SoccerPlex is forecasted to be significantly less than the rest of the metro area. Thus, we are postponing any decisions to modify the tournament schedule and the tournament staff will continue to closely monitor the forecast. Which one of you guys is that? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loshjott Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 "Rain and wind at the SoccerPlex is forecasted to be significantly less than the rest of the metro area." Possibly the most idiotic statement ever written. The well-known Germantown soccerplex micro climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 im not.. i was implying its "too be expected" that the nam is falling in line with the global powerhouse models. 2 nights ago at 84 i said it matched close to the euro on final position but it was going to be in "spray" mode for a while after.. which it was. now this may not be the final answer but it's getting closer. euro/gfs blend... tho maybe 18 hours out the nam will figure out where the exact heaviest strip may be (or more likely the output of that stripe). I'm interested in seeing the next GFS run. I'm also hoping with what looks like a large storm that isn't strengthening (your post), that that might let that rain field spread out a bit to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 "Rain and wind at the SoccerPlex is forecasted to be significantly less than the rest of the metro area." Possibly the most idiotic statement ever written. The well-known Germanton soccerplex micro climate. Frankly, I am pumped to go experience this awesome micro climate and hope to report back. I think there may be dinosaurs there. I hope so anyway...it sounds unique! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 So, my youngest is in a soccer tournament this weekend over in Poolesville, MD. The tournament organizers have doubled down and are not cancelling any of the games, including those set for Saturday night and Sunday morning. For the record, I like the cut of their gib on this - go for it. That said, this was from their main page: Hurricane Irene Update: 10:15 am Friday - All games are ON as scheduled. This includes Saturday evening and Sunday games. The latest location specific forecast for the SoccerPlex regarding Irene, from a nationally recognized forecasting firm based in Germantown, is that the storm is shifting far enough east that we should be able to play all games as scheduled. Rain and wind at the SoccerPlex is forecasted to be significantly less than the rest of the metro area. Thus, we are postponing any decisions to modify the tournament schedule and the tournament staff will continue to closely monitor the forecast. Which one of you guys is that? lol that must be ellinwood's employer MDA Earthsat <BR><BR>edit: maybe not, im not sure they are in germantown.. that's where he is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Hurricane warning was extended north ro drum point in 11am adv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 that must be ellinwood's employer MDA Earthsat Excellent. When the parents on the team ask me the basis for that forecast, I will say...Ellinwood! ETA: I will say that even if it is not true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Hurricane Irene Update: 10:15 am Friday - All games are ON as scheduled. This includes Saturday evening and Sunday games. The latest location specific forecast for the SoccerPlex regarding Irene, from a nationally recognized forecasting firm based in Germantown, is that the storm is shifting far enough east that we should be able to play all games as scheduled. Rain and wind at the SoccerPlex is forecasted to be significantly less than the rest of the metro area. Thus, we are postponing any decisions to modify the tournament schedule and the tournament staff will continue to closely monitor the forecast. Yup...playing kids soccer is worth the risk to life and limb to drive 30mi in TS conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On the new wunderground maps are windspeeds in mph or knots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mad Cheese posted a nice ewall graphic of the latest NAM run valid at 12z Sunday. Shows 40kt +10m wind over Baltimore, eastern HoCo, AA county and down to Wes-land. 900mb winds at 70kt+. That's TS sustained and gusts to hurricane force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On the new wunderground maps are windspeeds in mph or knots? Knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yup...playing kids soccer is worth the risk to life and limb to drive 30mi in TS conditions. I am discovering just how serious a business kids soccer is. I had told the parents on the team (I got suckered into team manager) that I thought the Saturday day games would probably be played ahead of the storm's arrival into DC metro, but I am surprised they are holding firm on the Saturday night and Sunday schedule. Probably they will change their minds later when the forecasts finish locking in. Probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onel0126 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yup...playing kids soccer is worth the risk to life and limb to drive 30mi in TS conditions. Soccer is not for poossies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 GFS running FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I am discovering just how serious a business kids soccer is. I had told the parents on the team (I got suckered into team manager) that I thought the Saturday day games would probably be played ahead of the storm's arrival into DC metro, but I am surprised they are holding firm on the Saturday night and Sunday schedule. Probably they will change their minds later when the forecasts finish locking in. Probably. There are some crazy parents and coaches. I played in the Baltimore metro baseball league when I was growing up, which is the highest level youth baseball in the area. We could have severe thunderstorms passing overhead and people would still not cancel the game. Just pause for a few minutes. Coaches would be out on the field raking in the kitty litter during epic downpours. Worst still...they wouldn't cancel the games ahead of obviously incoming storms and make us drive from Harford County to places like Howard County or Carroll Country during rushhour to sit and wait to see if we could end up playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Really interested to find out why this didn't strengthened as forecast. Seems like forecasting intensity is not an easy business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 EasternUSWx over on the main board said the last few ticks, she's been moving 353 degrees, a bit west of due north, where she was moving due north prior to that. Might be a little wobble, a trend, or nothing. We'll see. I THOUGHT she was moving west of north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yup...playing kids soccer is worth the risk to life and limb to drive 30mi in TS conditions. You'd be surprised.. Most of these parents are delusional enough to think their kids are playing in the MLS already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 Really interested to find out why this didn't strengthened as forecast. Seems like forecasting intensity is not an easy business. hardest part of hurricane forecasting most likely. tho all forecasters have bias and after the mid-2000s almost everyone has gone on the high end of every envelope. it's put all its energy into growing larger etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onel0126 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You'd be surprised.. Most of these parents are delusional enough to think their kids are playing in the MLS already I watch these parents of select soccer kids work the coaches for more playing time. It's all about exposure for college scholarships more than going pro. Most will play DIII if they are lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You'd be surprised.. Most of these parents are delusional enough to think their kids are playing in the MLS already MLS? Try EPL. My son's second team is Chelsea. As for on point, storm is looking ragged in its SW corner. As in, the SW part of the storm is missing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Going extratropical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 obama has joined the hypefest. warning fatigue.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 If so the rain shield will expand more then the models are showing don't you think? Going extratropical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 http://www.americanw...-1314371470.png Toss out the BAMM/BAMS.... and we have pretty good agreement on the 12z early cycle track guidance for Irene going over Delmarv/Eastern Shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Going extratropical How do you figure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Newbs here don't know Yeoman well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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