Yeoman Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yup...playing kids soccer is worth the risk to life and limb to drive 30mi in TS conditions. You'd be surprised.. Most of these parents are delusional enough to think their kids are playing in the MLS already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 Really interested to find out why this didn't strengthened as forecast. Seems like forecasting intensity is not an easy business. hardest part of hurricane forecasting most likely. tho all forecasters have bias and after the mid-2000s almost everyone has gone on the high end of every envelope. it's put all its energy into growing larger etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onel0126 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You'd be surprised.. Most of these parents are delusional enough to think their kids are playing in the MLS already I watch these parents of select soccer kids work the coaches for more playing time. It's all about exposure for college scholarships more than going pro. Most will play DIII if they are lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You'd be surprised.. Most of these parents are delusional enough to think their kids are playing in the MLS already MLS? Try EPL. My son's second team is Chelsea. As for on point, storm is looking ragged in its SW corner. As in, the SW part of the storm is missing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Going extratropical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 obama has joined the hypefest. warning fatigue.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 If so the rain shield will expand more then the models are showing don't you think? Going extratropical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 http://www.americanw...-1314371470.png Toss out the BAMM/BAMS.... and we have pretty good agreement on the 12z early cycle track guidance for Irene going over Delmarv/Eastern Shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Going extratropical How do you figure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Newbs here don't know Yeoman well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 http://www.americanw...-1314371470.png Toss out the BAMM/BAMS.... and we have pretty good agreement on the 12z early cycle track guidance for Irene going over Delmarv/Eastern Shore GFS so far (out to 33) looks like it might want to follow suit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 She looks like she's headed for landfall West of Morehead City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yeah GFS looks the same as the others basically. Pretty solid consensus we got going here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Actually no... it goes over OBX then jaunts NNE/NE cause it misses Cape May to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Actually no... it goes over OBX then jaunts NNE/NE cause it misses Cape May to the east Yeah it looks pretty east to me too by the time it's up here. http://raleighwx.ame...6_county042.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 GFS is east.. toss it naturally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Actually no... it goes over OBX then jaunts NNE/NE cause it misses Cape May to the east Actually also it starts going nne, which is sorta a misrepresentation of the current situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Actually no... it goes over OBX then jaunts NNE/NE cause it misses Cape May to the east Game over I'm going to eat my way into depression lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This thread reminds me of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Actually also it starts going nne, which is sorta a misrepresentation of the current situation. Perhaps - but as I said earlier the slightly west of north motion could be a temporary wobble that could easily be balanced out by an east of north movement later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Graphical forecast wind gusts from LWX for 2am Sunday. FWIW - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 It looks ok to me, maybe a little less rain but probably 20-30 mph winds for a period which would be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Perhaps - but as I said earlier the slightly west of north motion could be a temporary wobble that could easily be balanced out by an east of north movement later. Oh i know Kenny, but really its supposed to be going at like 5-15 degrees now, so really due north would take it west of the current expected path (albeit slightly). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 you guys should stop looking at the models if you arent going to interpret them usefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This thread reminds me of winter. lots of hemming and hauling over 50 mile jumps from run to run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Oh i know Kenny, but really its supposed to be going at like 5-15 degrees now, so really due north would take it west of the current expected path (albeit slightly). Oh yeah I'm definitely not arguing - there's no argument that it doesn't/didn't have a bit of westerly component. Even so, it could go a bit more east than progged to make up for any west deviation. Still tough to really nail down any track until the center passes right over a forecast point. Even 15-30 mile wobbles are probably within the background noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 you guys should stop looking at the models if you arent going to interpret them usefully NCEP should just stop running them for a day to mess with the weenies. lots of hemming and hauling over 50 mile jumps from run to run Winter should be amazing!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 lots of hemming and hauling over 50 mile jumps from run to run You know how the weather is... its a crap chute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 you guys should stop looking at the models if you arent going to interpret them usefully I interpret the models how I want to thank you very much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 lots of hemming and hauling over 50 mile jumps from run to run sewing and moving material goods? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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