BethesdaWX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Looks a bit west of the 6z track. Need better resolution maps to see how much. It seems more than "a bit" west in comparing the two maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 So far it looks that the NAM is at least noticeably west of its last run. You guys near the bay are in for an interesting 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 BG&E doesn't seem to be extending the same courtesy.... I got a call from them yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 It seems more than "a bit" west in comparing the two maps. My thoughts as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 NAM welcomes itself to the GFS/Euro party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 It seems more than "a bit" west in comparing the two maps. My thoughts as well. Well I realize that 30mi is a potentially huge difference on impacts in our area, but a 30mi shift of a storm track at the 36 hour point is definitely near the noise level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 NAM welcomes itself to the GFS/Euro party and I see why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 One more 30-50 W shift and we will get into some of the nicer bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 So far it looks that the NAM is at least noticeably west of its last run. You guys near the bay are in for an interesting 48 hours. Hopefully this is a trend, but I'm not bringing up my hopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 One more 30-50 W shift and we will get into some of the nicer bands. 30-50mi west shift would put Irene riding along the Bay. I wouldn't hold out your hopes on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 and I see why b/c the nam sucks at range and with coastals and with the tropics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJField Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Loving the predictablity. 1.25 - 7 inches of rain, total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 One more 30-50 W shift and we will get into some of the nicer bands. meh, it can stop right there, thank you I was up from 11PM-4:30AM bailing water out of the sump pit the night of Isabelle when I lost power although I now have a decent back up sump pump, I doubt that the battery will last long enough to prevent me from having to bail water again should we loose power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 30-50mi west shift would put Irene riding along the Bay. I wouldn't hold out your hopes on that. Yeah I'm gonna try not to but that's what DC would need to get into some of the real deal banding.....me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 meh, it can stop right there, thank you I was up from 11PM-4:30AM bailing water out of the sump pit the night of Isabelle when I lost power although I now have a decent back up sump pump, I doubt that the battery will last long enough to prevent me from having to bail water again should we loose power This is not specifically directed at you but folks in general - my aunt has been writing it "Isabelle" as well - driving me nuts for some reason Isabel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 b/c the nam sucks at range and with coastals and with the tropics? its dumping that trough deep out to our west not saying its right, just that "if" that 200mb map is right, Irene would do just as it depicts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This is not specifically directed at you but folks in general - my aunt has been writing it "Isabelle" as well - driving me nuts for some reason Isabel! I had it right the first time, but the spell checker said it was wrong and so I corrected it we must have the same program Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 b/c the nam sucks at range and with coastals and with the tropics? Do you have to douse my hopes of rain with every post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 One more 30-50 W shift and we will get into some of the nicer bands. Yup, was about to say the same thing. Would be nice if this was the start of a trend for the 12z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 BG&E doesn't seem to be extending the same courtesy.... That reminds me, I have to fire up the generator and make sure it still actually works. Fun day today. They called here a couple of days ago to warn about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 BG&E doesn't seem to be extending the same courtesy.... That reminds me, I have to fire up the generator and make sure it still actually works. Fun day today. They are calling customers too, but maybe only to say that they will be busy this weekend helping PEPCC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 those backlash showers never work out around here http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_pcp_060l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This is not specifically directed at you but folks in general - my aunt has been writing it "Isabelle" as well - driving me nuts for some reason Isabel! People keep doing that on Facebok. I cringe everytime I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yup, was about to say the same thing. Would be nice if this was the start of a trend for the 12z suite. And I don't feel guilty rooting for it because if it came up the Bay that would spare areas North somewhat. Either way it looks like NC takes it on the chin although I guess west would be worse for them so its not totally guilt free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 TWC needs to get their act together, local forecast just stated "Hurricane Conditions Possible". People who don't know any better might panic over that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 TWC needs to get their act together, local forecast just stated "Hurricane Conditions Possible". People who don't know any better might panic over that. Ew. lol I guess their defense would be the use of the word possible lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 so we all gonna die yet? i've been without internet at work... so... i'm a little out of the loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 so we all gonna die yet? i've been without internet at work... so... i'm a little out of the loop We all already died. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 so we all gonna die yet? i've been without internet at work... so... i'm a little out of the loop you'd better grab a stiff drink and sit down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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