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Hurricane Irene and the mid-Atlantic (Pre-game show)


Ian

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This is a terrible question... but what is the likelyhood of a large city (say Baltimore) losing power if it takes a beating? Are cities generally more prepared for this kind of thing vs. rural areas?

well when Isabel hit, I was living in Bethesda....we lost power for 7 days, it was not a fun experience. I live in Baltimore now and don't have much faith in BGE

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In the big picture what you are saying is probably the best case scenario as far as property damage does (other than going out to sea of course but that aint happening).

It would be a relatively disorganized cat 1 as it crosses our latitude and coastal NJ and NYC would largely be spared in comparison to a landfall there.

the euro track is probably almost perfect for me at least.. a bit west might be more interesting but that's arguable when you think of rain/wind combo i guess. if the storm comes across all eastern nc it will weaken fairly decently and it's also of course going to be more heavily weighted to the right with wind over time. we can't really get a "worst case" track with this system near dc proper at least i dont think. it might be a bit hairy from the bay and east but it does not look truly devastating to me.

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YORK, Pa. -- Between 200 and 230 employees from First Energy in Pennsylvania and Ohio were headed for Florida to help brace for Hurricane Irene when they got a call. Irene had shifted course.

First Energy instructed the workers -- including eight from the York and Adams county area -- to turn around and aim for Virginia, Washingtonmag-glass_10x10.gif, D.C., and Baltimore, Irene's new bull's eye.

First Energy is the parent companymag-glass_10x10.gif of local power provider Met-Ed. Power companies routinely pitch in to help one another in the case of an emergency, spokesman Scott Surgeoner said.

Irene's maximum sustained winds increased to near 115 mph with additional strengthening forecast, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said.

Evacuations began on a tiny barrier island off North Carolina as Hurricane Irene strengthened to a major Category 3 storm over the Bahamas on Wednesday with the East Coast in its sights.

The requests to divert to the mid-Atlantic region came from Potomac Electric Power Company and Constellation Energy, parent company of Baltimore Gas and Electric.

The personnel includes mostly line workers, who will do storm restoration work such as replacing poles and mounting new transformers.

Matt Leininger, spokesman with the York-Adams Chapter of the Red Cross, said they've been getting two to three updates a day on Irene's location from the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

"We've got all the information for what people can do to prepare for potential disasters, but no one reads it until the day after," Leininger said. The Red Cross' website received numerous hits Wednesday on how to survive an earthquake.

Leininger said they're taking the news day-by-day, but are prepared to pre-deploy to surrounding areas, including Philadelphia and Baltimore.

Meteorologist Steve Travis with AccuWeather.com said Irene is expected to shift from its northwest path of travel to a northeast path by late Thursday.

It should reach the Outer Banks by 8 p.m. Saturday as a Category 3 storm, he said, and reach the New Jersey coast line Sunday, weakening to a Category 2.

York County is expected to get one-quarter to three-quarters of an inch of rain with wind gusts less than 40 mph, but there's "still a whole lot of uncertainty," Travis said.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

How to prepare

--Listen to a NOAA weather radio for information from the National Weather Service.

--Gather loose items in your yard that could be picked up by the wind.

--Turn the refrigerator and freezer to the coldest setting and keep them closed so that food will last longer if the power goes out.

--Fill your car's gas tank.

--Prepare a first aid kit, flashlight and battery-powered radio.

http://www.istockanalyst.com/business/news/5378876/local-power-company-employees-head-to-florida-wait-washington#

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I'm in the other camp; I would prefer that forecast while watching the flooding and destruction on the TV

anyway, I'm supposed to be going here in a few weeks and fear it will be gone http://hiltongardeni...ctyhocn=ORFKHGI

We have rented a house first row along the beach road in Kitty Hawk from September 10-15. Interested to see how they make out this weekend. I imagine there may not be as much beach there when we arrive regardless.

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NAM has definitely moved east. Put the very tight precip gradient back across our area...roughly along the falls-line in MD.

true...a little east from 6z...but not really from 0z....and i'm not getting bent out of shape about qpf fields for a tropical system on the NAM...still is a terrible run for coastal areas and NYC

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We have rented a house first row along the beach road in Kitty Hawk from September 10-15. Interested to see how they make out this weekend. I imagine there may not be as much beach there when we arrive regardless.

We have rented a house first row along the beach road in Kitty Hawk patch of water where there used to be a beach.

Bring a boat.

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true...a little east from 6z...but not really from 0z....and i'm not getting bent out of shape about qpf fields for a tropical system on the NAM...still is a terrible run for coastal areas and NYC

Agree. NAM is not the one we should be giving much weight either.

I think it was posted earlier, but I've decided to ride the 06Z GFDL until something better comes along

http://moe.met.fsu.e...&hour=Animation

But there wouldn't be any TS force winds when it got here after that far of an overland track!:drunk:

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Agree. NAM is not the one we should be giving much weight either.

But there wouldn't be any TS force winds when it got here after that far of an overland track!:drunk:

true! at least it didn't swing 200 miles to the east...haha

I think regardless of a along the coast track or a GFDL-like track...DC will likely see the same kind of winds...25 to 35 sustained (for a period) gusts to 45 or 50...

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Let's see if anyone jumps out of the ship over the NAM.

We don't even use the NAM much in this range for noreasters. It could be right but as I said last night it's still in spray range. Save time.. Only look at GFS/Euro.

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We don't even use the NAM much in this range for noreasters. It could be right but as I said last night it's still in spray range. Save time.. Only look at GFS/Euro.

yeah, one of the things I've learned here in the winter is to trust the NAM when its in the "deadly" range of 48 hours or less. also, just learned NAM sucks for tropical storms.

Looking forward to the 12z GFS and Euro. :popcorn:

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