Midlo Snow Maker Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 If it takes the Euro track, most certainly. Either Pann didn't check the latest trends, or is discounting them. If he had explained his reasoning, that would have been interesting. He didn't, of course. any track near the coast is going to drive east winds right into the bay. the center of isabell went from SE to NW to just SW of ric from se nc and look at the surge it brought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Tony has always been the more conservative one IMO. Certinaly nothing wrong with that approach, and he may be right here. I was watching mostly to see if the hype/alarm machine had kicked in yet. Not yet, at least for Channel 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 any track near the coast is going to drive east winds right into the bay. the center of isabell went from SE to NW to just SW of ric from se nc and look at the surge it brought To be fair those winds were SE to NW during the height of it and persisted in that direction, winds defnitely weren't NE to SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Well just woke up and decided to check here to see what I was sure going to be the east trend reversal. Damn. Now I'm officially interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Irene be serious... start making preparations before the news outlets tell everyone to stock up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Latest GFS is a bit west of 00z, still showing NYC with direct hit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Lower eastern shore is going to be in a world of hurt if this track holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Wow at the GFS and Euro. If that Euro Track comes through we would be in for legit tropical storm conditions in the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Euro makes landfall near Morehead City, then right up the eastern shore (for those who haven't looked at wundermap) 5pm Sunday her center is over Churchill, MD. both 00z and 06z don't make landfall until she is passed us...but 06z is a tad bit west than 00z. Euro is a bit slower timing wise than the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Back in the game? Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Back in the game? Wow. Yes, I think we are most certainly back in the game. Regardless of where she ends up, whether its as west as the Euro as her, or a little bit more east.... the eastern shore is in for a world of hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yes, I think we are most certainly back in the game. Regardless of where she ends up, whether its as west as the Euro as her, or a little bit more east.... the eastern shore is in for a world of hurt. Yeah, i have a friend in Bethany on Vaca, i just told them they better start paying attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yes, I think we are most certainly back in the game. Regardless of where she ends up, whether its as west as the Euro as her, or a little bit more east.... the eastern shore is in for a world of hurt. If it keeps shifting west even by very small increments it could be exciting for DC as well. Man this could be bad for east areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Those of us in the DC rain-hole this summer could be spared some tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yeah, i have a friend in Bethany on Vaca, i just told them they better start paying attention If it keeps shifting west even by very small increments it could be exciting for DC as well. Man this could be bad for east areas. Yup. My sister, who works in OC (lives in Salisbury), has been ordered by my father to come home tomorrow. My in-laws all live in Salisbury so I'm worried about them, plus all of our closest friends are down there too. I've sent the word out on FB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yup. My sister, who works in OC (lives in Salisbury), has been ordered by my father to come home tomorrow. My in-laws all live in Salisbury so I'm worried about them, plus all of our closest friends are down there too. I've sent the word out on FB. Yesterday, i told them to leave no later then lunch saturday, but someone in the Philly thread told me to get them out today or tomorrow early. I kinda of chuckled when you said your dad "ordered" your sister home.......that would so be me telling my daughter that too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEREALTOR1 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yes, I think we are most certainly back in the game. Regardless of where she ends up, whether its as west as the Euro as her, or a little bit more east.... the eastern shore is in for a world of hurt. There's alot of small towns all along the edge of the DE bay that aren't tourist attractions like Rehoboth, Dewey, Bethany, that are basically sitting right on the water. And they consist of homes that are either old or not in very good condition, not lavish by any means. Most have one small general store, and a firehall. But these people make their living off the water, and I'm sure they'll be requested to evacuate, but I don't know how many will actually leave. If this happens as we're now seeing, it wouldn't surprise me if some of these towns are simply gone when its all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Euro makes landfall near Morehead City, then right up the eastern shore (for those who haven't looked at wundermap) 5pm Sunday her center is over Churchill, MD. both 00z and 06z don't make landfall until she is passed us...but 06z is a tad bit west than 00z. Euro is a bit slower timing wise than the GFS<b></b>[/quoteMy mother lives about 10 miles west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yesterday, i told them to leave no later then lunch saturday, but someone in the Philly thread told me to get them out today or tomorrow early. I kinda of chuckled when you said your dad "ordered" your sister home.......that would so be me telling my daughter that too! I had told my mom not to make any decision on her leaving the eastern shore until today, but I guess my dad has the final say and he wants her home tomorrow night. So tomorrow night it is haha There's alot of small towns all along the edge of the DE bay that aren't tourist attractions like Rehoboth, Dewey, Bethany, that are basically sitting right on the water. And they consist of homes that are either old or not in very good condition, not lavish by any means. Most have one small general store, and a firehall. But these people make their living off the water, and I'm sure they'll be requested to evacuate, but I don't know how many will actually leave. If this happens as we're now seeing, it wouldn't surprise me if some of these towns are simply gone when its all over. I don't know if I would say they will be "gone" but then again... I really don't know. It sounds like it could be bad, but again... will really depend on where she goes. My mother lives about 10 miles west of there. I am no tropical expert by any means, but I'm not sure she will be coming that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I'm tempted to go buy a generator (I do not trust the battery backup on my sump pump) to fend the storm off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Certainly got my interest back and I'm no longer bored with the storm. The GFDI is even west of the euro. The westward shift sure puts both ern NC and nyc under the gun. This scenario is one of the reasons why twc and other outlets were so aggressive talking about the storm. Another reason is probably ratings but this time, the two reasons appear to be dovetailing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I had told my mom not to make any decision on her leaving the eastern shore until today, but I guess my dad has the final say and he wants her home tomorrow night. So tomorrow night it is haha I don't know if I would say they will be "gone" but then again... I really don't know. It sounds like it could be bad, but again... will really depend on where she goes. I am no tropical expert by any means, but I'm not sure she will be coming that far west. well, i guess she's comin home then, daddy laid down the law! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Experimental from Jim Witt UW http://cup.aos.wisc.edu/cgi-bin/tcget.cgi?time=irene09l.20110825_00&field=MSLP%2FWind&hour=Animate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 meh, I hate loosing power and flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yup. My sister, who works in OC (lives in Salisbury), has been ordered by my father to come home tomorrow. My in-laws all live in Salisbury so I'm worried about them, plus all of our closest friends are down there too. I've sent the word out on FB. Weather newbie question: My mother lives in Chestertown, about 5 miles from Church Hill. I just called her to tell her to go shopping today. Should she be making plans to come over towards D.C., or is it too early to tell? I know it can very easily trend East again, just a bit worried that I woke up this morning to this :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Weather newbie question: My mother lives in Chestertown, about 5 miles from Church Hill. I just called her to tell her to go shopping today. Should she be making plans to come over towards D.C., or is it too early to tell? I know it can very easily trend East again, just a bit worried that I woke up this morning to this :-/ In my opinion, Id wait for today's model runs before having her come west. It won't hurt anything if she waits until tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Experimental from Jim Witt UW http://cup.aos.wisc....nd&hour=Animate A little breezy round here if that comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 meh, I hate loosing power and flooding Yeah...like with all other weather events, everything is fun to track, etc. until it becomes "real" and we're affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 start making preparations before the news outlets tell everyone to stock up. Absolutely. Just texted my wife and called my mother and father-in-law. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Absolutely. Just texted my wife and called my mother and father-in-law. Yup. I sent out an email to my office telling them to go to the store today, because tomorrow the crazies will be out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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