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Hurricane Irene and the mid-Atlantic (Pre-game show)


Ian

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Sure wouldn't take much of a shift west to at least make it interesting for us.

Regardless, storm is pretty big so if some outer bands move through it will at least look and feel tropical. NYC just got destroyed with record daily rainfall last week and they are probably in for another big time deluge.

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Per Dendrite in the SNE thread -- "Euro ens came pretty far west too. Looks like the mean rides just offshore up the coast and then somewhere around LI-CT/RI."

Anybody know about farther down here?

ensemnble mean from nc north it's significantly west.. pretty similar to the op maybe a hair east up north.. like landfall could be further north than s nj but close

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Cause we wait for the great 18z GFS :arrowhead: GGEM ensemble mean has Irene over OBX it looks like (making landfall in NC)

84

http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12084.gif

96

http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12096.gif

I would gather 90 would be 50-75 miles E of Norfolk

2-4" east of BR -- http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/cmcensemble/12zggemensemblep72120.gif

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Those are 3 hr panels.. in case not obvious by how many. Almost back to the blue ridge and east in a n/s fashion is 4"+ -- maybe 30-50 miles east of blue ridge

Wow, the nam also looks like it would be very wet. I'm torn, for fishing it would be better if it was a pure miss, for excitement, the Euro or NAm rock though even farther west would be more exciting.

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shifted about 80 miles west off va beach since 6z. still maybe 50 miles east of euro at that pt but main difference is movement after.. euro almost due north, gfs more nne.

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shifted about 80 miles west off va beach since 6z. still maybe 50 miles east of euro at that pt but main difference is movement after.. euro almost due north, gfs more nne.

yeah...it takes one a bit of an easterly component as its interacting with the second shortwave as it passes north of the Outer Banks...and then turns more due north as it approaches landfall in New England...

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Wow, the nam also looks like it would be very wet. I'm torn, for fishing it would be better if it was a pure miss, for excitement, the Euro or NAm rock though even farther west would be more exciting.

Wes, I'm feeling EXACTLY the same way. Just finished up grad school and am going to live with some friends down at Piney Point in a waterfront house and help out around a local marina, but the main reason I'm going down is for relaxation and fishing. I'm worried Irene may not let me get much of a chance at Spanish Mackerel.

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