CheesyPoofs Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 DT is a fraud What's he saying now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfman23601 Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 What's he saying now? I'm still not giving up. The difference between a Hatteras brush/off to sea and seeing some major effects in Hampton Roads is one good Westward wobble on the way. If we don't get some good wind/surge, I hope it at least brings enough rain to put a dent in the Great Dismal Swamp wildfire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Someone woke JB up. http://twitter.com/#...946265791102976 i dont get it...what woke jb up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So right now we have to hug the 84 NAM, a couple SREF ensemble members, the GFDL and the hope of a late N+W shift by the GFS? It's like frakking winter all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So right now we have to hug the 84 NAM, a couple SREF ensemble members, the GFDL and the hope of a late N+W shift by the GFS? It's like frakking winter all over again. Reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 What's he saying now? he's a model hugging weenie. the fact that the euro would continue to go east was fairly predictable given where we were and where we were going. there is not much accountability for mets though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 12z GFS upgrades our Sat night/Sunday forecast from cloudy and windy to windy with sprinkles!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 12z GFS upgrades our Sat night/Sunday forecast from cloudy and windy to windy with sprinkles!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 What's a guy got to do to get some freaking rain around here... I'm at 1.2" for the month. Folks in every direction from me have an inch or more greater totals... Now, I'm not even going to get any rain from a hurricane... *sigh*... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 12z GFS upgrades our Sat night/Sunday forecast from cloudy and windy to windy with sprinkles!! The track really insn't all that different from the earlier run. I'm already getting bored with the storm. Unless the track really changes, this is going to be a a bore here, the northeast looks to flood in places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 The track really insn't all that different from the earlier run. I'm already getting bored with the storm. Unless the track really changes, this is going to be a a bore here, the northeast looks to flood in places. yes.. bored it is. meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 The track really insn't all that different from the earlier run. I'm already getting bored with the storm. Unless the track really changes, this is going to be a a bore here, the northeast looks to flood in places. Taken verbatim, you'd get some good rains still. But the NW precip cutoff is murderous. Basically 5-10 miles inland from the western coast of the Bay goes from 0" to 0.5"+. I'm still interested. I don't need any flooding to be happy with Irene, I'm rooting for a few hours of strong winds with mod-heavy rain. That said, the similarities to winter (barely missing and watching SNE cash in) are nauseating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Let the west trend begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 Let the west trend begin. The fish with arms is at lunch. Check back later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 anyone else seeing more westerly movement recently? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 anyone else seeing more westerly movement recently? Just another wobble... tell me when it's been doing it for 12 straight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I eagerly await to be embraced by Irene's tiny arms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 I eagerly await to be embraced by Irene's tiny arms. hopefully your wife isnt reading this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 hopefully your wife isnt reading this. no, she is still cleaning up from the DC terrorquake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 This is what always seems to happen. It will piss you off, throw you a bone, piss you off again - and then in the execution phase, not follow a single predicted path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Henry M. thinks the models are too far east: http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/meteomadness/story/54200/irene-impacts-from-nc-to-maine.asp I will say, while I am sticking to the official path here at AccuWeather I so remain concerned that the models eastward shift was perhaps too much. Big storms like this tend to influence the environment around them, not be influenced by the environment. With that said, once Irene takes a northern track, I can see how Irene maintains a northern track without being pushed to the northeast. Irene is almost to 75w and should get to about 77.5w which is the longitude of Richmond, VA. If my theory is correct and Irene goes north instead of northeast and still may end up going through New Jersey. I would not for a minute let my guard down on Irene until she has is actually moving to the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 Henry M with the hurricanes create their own environment myth... Who'd have thunk it. Next up, DT is going to hug the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Henry M. thinks the models are too far east: http://www.accuweath...nc-to-maine.asp I am surprised that he would think that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Just another wobble... tell me when it's been doing it for 12 straight hours. I would like a few more wobbles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I am surprised that he would think that Here's a partial list of the cities affected, according to Henry M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Wildwood, NJ would be no great loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 anyone else seeing more westerly movement recently? The NOGAPS for what it is worth. Don't put much stock in hourly or even two hourly movements of a hurricane as they typical wobble around their mean true track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 In SNE there is one model.. the HWRF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 At 96 its brushing Ocean City Euro 102 makes landfall in Cape May NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 12z Euro way west! Takes Irene along MD/DE coast and landfall at Cape May. Giggity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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