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Hurricane Irene and the mid-Atlantic (Pre-game show)


Ian

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FWIW - based on what I'm seeing from recon it looks like the newest center fix is going to be almost due west of the previous. could just be a wobble - in fact it likely is just a wobble but who knows.

I've had a few beers and I am now ready for full-fledged satellite/water vapor/radar hallucinations. Westward it goes.... :drunk:

MDstorm

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So what's the next crew to cling onto a 5-day model consensus--- Nova Scotia? : )

I think it's still the NYC/SNE groups turn. Probably will have to wait until tomorrow night or so for the NYC/SNE letdown and the Nova Scotia excitement. At this point I know we have no shot of anything interesting...I just hope SNE doesn't get in on anything too good.

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Ill buy it if euro confirms

The Euro shifted east some at 12z today after remaining stubborn, and all other models have steadily shifted east throughout the last 36 hours. There is zero reason to think the Euro won't move east at least some tonight. The Euro could paint a similar solution to its 12z one tonight, and I'd still side with everything else at this point.

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Ill buy it if euro confirms

it's tempting but i'll refrain from trolling the sne forum ... the worst part is they watched the same thing happen for 3+ days to places to their southwest.

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The "what could actually happen here" discussions in this thread were tongue-in-cheek and light.....

i never got that much impression that anyone was planning on anything.. tho there are always some who want to believe. but it was still there in varying fashion for a while. we are also used to getting shafted. the trends were pretty clear a while back though.. it's just tough that NHC has to trail the models a bit since they started SW so they keep moving the center of the cone to the previous model set and then up being on the western edge with new runs.

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i never got that much impression that anyone was planning on anything.. tho there are always some who want to believe. but it was still there in varying fashion for a while. we are also used to getting shafted. the trends were pretty clear a while back though.. it's just tough that NHC has to trail the models a bit since they started SW so they keep moving the center of the cone to the previous model set and then up being on the western edge with new runs.

I don't think it has much to do with the NHC tracks though. It's more the global model mid-point that people were fixating on.

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