TalcottWx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 GFS blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 GFS blows Yet another east shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 looks like i get about 12 hours of occasional sprinkles with a bit of a breeze yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 submit to the inevitable. make it your avatar. accept fate. Lol. I certainly hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So what's the next crew to cling onto a 5-day model consensus--- Nova Scotia? : ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So what's the next crew to cling onto a 5-day model consensus--- Nova Scotia? : ) I think it's still the NYC/SNE groups turn. Probably will have to wait until tomorrow night or so for the NYC/SNE letdown and the Nova Scotia excitement. At this point I know we have no shot of anything interesting...I just hope SNE doesn't get in on anything too good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 complete disaster of a model run. May not even hit landfall in the US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Ill buy it if euro confirms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Ill buy it if euro confirms The Euro shifted east some at 12z today after remaining stubborn, and all other models have steadily shifted east throughout the last 36 hours. There is zero reason to think the Euro won't move east at least some tonight. The Euro could paint a similar solution to its 12z one tonight, and I'd still side with everything else at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 Ill buy it if euro confirms it's tempting but i'll refrain from trolling the sne forum ... the worst part is they watched the same thing happen for 3+ days to places to their southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 it's tempting but i'll refrain from trolling the sne forum ... the worst part is they watched the same thing happen for 3+ days to places to their southwest. The "what could actually happen here" discussions in this thread were tongue-in-cheek and light..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 The "what could actually happen here" discussions in this thread were tongue-in-cheek and light..... i never got that much impression that anyone was planning on anything.. tho there are always some who want to believe. but it was still there in varying fashion for a while. we are also used to getting shafted. the trends were pretty clear a while back though.. it's just tough that NHC has to trail the models a bit since they started SW so they keep moving the center of the cone to the previous model set and then up being on the western edge with new runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I'll try not to hurt anyone at work tomorrow when I overhear them talking about Irene. Can't guarantee success though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 i never got that much impression that anyone was planning on anything.. tho there are always some who want to believe. but it was still there in varying fashion for a while. we are also used to getting shafted. the trends were pretty clear a while back though.. it's just tough that NHC has to trail the models a bit since they started SW so they keep moving the center of the cone to the previous model set and then up being on the western edge with new runs. I don't think it has much to do with the NHC tracks though. It's more the global model mid-point that people were fixating on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Euro----swing and a miss. Jumps to the east. Euro playing catch-up to the GFS. Thanks to most of you for playing, "how to waste 5 days of your life tracking a few showers". Congrats to Mad Cheese. Condolences to JB, DT, NHC (always to the left of guidance), and of course to the Euro. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Well, so much for extra tree-cutting money, could have been a great opportunity. On to the next one I guess, hard to believe we're done for the year based on the teleconnection scenario progged. 1903 redux further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I'll try not to hurt anyone at work tomorrow when I overhear them talking about Irene. Can't guarantee success though. I'd be your cue to make a pun out of a cheesy 80's one-hit wonder. "C'mon! Irene?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So, what's next? 850 0 line in central Canada yet? We can start tracking that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Come west young hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Someone woke JB up. http://twitter.com/#!/BigJoeBastardi/statuses/105946265791102976 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 DT is a fraud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 DT is a fraud You are just realizing this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 DT is a fraud What's he saying now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfman23601 Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 What's he saying now? I'm still not giving up. The difference between a Hatteras brush/off to sea and seeing some major effects in Hampton Roads is one good Westward wobble on the way. If we don't get some good wind/surge, I hope it at least brings enough rain to put a dent in the Great Dismal Swamp wildfire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Someone woke JB up. http://twitter.com/#...946265791102976 i dont get it...what woke jb up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So right now we have to hug the 84 NAM, a couple SREF ensemble members, the GFDL and the hope of a late N+W shift by the GFS? It's like frakking winter all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 So right now we have to hug the 84 NAM, a couple SREF ensemble members, the GFDL and the hope of a late N+W shift by the GFS? It's like frakking winter all over again. Reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 What's he saying now? he's a model hugging weenie. the fact that the euro would continue to go east was fairly predictable given where we were and where we were going. there is not much accountability for mets though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 12z GFS upgrades our Sat night/Sunday forecast from cloudy and windy to windy with sprinkles!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 12z GFS upgrades our Sat night/Sunday forecast from cloudy and windy to windy with sprinkles!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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