yoda Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 18z GFS held more or less.. would like it at 00z to come a tad west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 18z GFS held more or less.. would like it at 00z to come a tad west NO trend for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I feel physically ill looking at this: MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 It's interesting seeing how from Sunday until now, each day a different crew is desperately hoping for a 5-day track to hold on... even as the forecast track gets nudged east each cycle. 5 days : ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 23, 2011 Author Share Posted August 23, 2011 It's interesting seeing how from Sunday until now, each day a different crew is desperately hoping for a 5-day track to hold on... even as the forecast track gets nudged east each cycle. 5 days : ) And NOAA threw out the 1944 bone. I'm sort of happy to be less and less emotionally involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 And NOAA threw out the 1944 bone. I'm sort of happy to be less and less emotionally involved. Can we officially say bye to this save for some showers and a breeze? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 And NOAA threw out the 1944 bone. I'm sort of happy to be less and less emotionally involved. I hear you. The really frustrating part, though, is that after Irene makes its most western excursion, it really moves mostly north. There does not appear to be a sharp recurve like so often happens. Soooooo if Irene can get just alittle further west, DC area would not be shut out. Just 50-75 miles would make a huge difference. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samdman95 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I'm not saying that we are going to get a storm... but totally giving up on this 5 days out and 100 miles or so from a good hit is irrational Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I'm not saying that we are going to get a storm... but totally giving up on this 5 days out and 100 miles or so from a good hit is irrational I agree - but at the same time you have to realize that the actual track was verifying consistently NE of the NHC forecast track positions - this coupled with the fact that every model has been trending significantly east should raise the flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I feel physically ill looking at this: MDstorm Can't buy rain even from a hurricane. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 23, 2011 Author Share Posted August 23, 2011 i'll be slightly annoyed if it slams the northeast and we get a shower.. i guess it might wreck my cape cod plans labor day weekend if its not careful. if i had to bet it would still be east but maybe not enough for all of new england? i guess they are due--as was tip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 i'll be slightly annoyed if it slams the northeast and we get a shower.. i guess it might wreck my cape cod plans labor day weekend if its not careful. if i had to bet it would still be east but maybe not enough for all of new england? i guess they are due--as was tip. If everyone in DC wishes it back west tonight we might get a 15 mile shift. Let us do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Euro and hwrf and gfdl versus nothing... come on last 3 models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Pressure is down to 969mb according to main wx side thread. I want some west trend tonight - lets all join hands and maybe we can get some excitement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 It's coming west tonight at 0z. Mark it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 It's coming west tonight at 0z. Mark it. I'd prefer if the stormtracker model was east at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 23, 2011 Author Share Posted August 23, 2011 Pressure is down to 969mb according to main wx side thread. I want some west trend tonight - lets all join hands and maybe we can get some excitement. Hopefully it goes east. We can't take any more New England joy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 It's coming west tonight at 0z. Mark it. I agree... should I warm up the bus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I agree... should I warm up the bus? Ian is going to kill you. And anyway, the bus is only a winter time metaphor. For summer and hurricanes, please use Dirigible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Ian is going to kill you. And anyway, the bus is only a winter time metaphor. For summer and hurricanes, please use Dirigible. Understood. Let me check the 18z GFDL and HWRF to see iif the keys are even needed for the dirigible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Hopefully it goes east. We can't take any more New England joy. At this point I'm rooting for it to head further east...if New England gets in on the action, I'll probably leave the board for a few days. They steal our snow, their top severe weather event of 2011 back in June tops our "top" event, and now they steal our tropical systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 At this point I'm rooting for it to head further east...if New England gets in on the action, I'll probably leave the board for a few days. They steal our snow, their top severe weather event of 2011 back in June tops our "top" event, and now they steal our tropical systems. Dont forget sports championships Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I'll take the GFDL track please. Just saw it in the main model page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I'll take the GFDL track please. Just saw it in the main model page. Did it come west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Did it come west? Yeah it did, for whatever it is worth (not much, I would imagine ) http://moe.met.fsu.e...&hour=Animation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Did it come west? I'm not sure where it was previously but would be awesome 950 low right over the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Yeah it did, for whatever it is worth (not much, I would imagine ) http://moe.met.fsu.e...&hour=Animation LOL on that fine grid the center actually passes right over DC.....I would pay money for that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 too bad the gfdl is one of the worst models on the planet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Dream solution lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 24, 2011 Author Share Posted August 24, 2011 Dream solution lol. we should all exchange snail mail addresses so we can keep in touch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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