Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 How much do you think we could get to mix down? 30-35? might as well look at the good one (12z) if we're going to wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 might as well look at the good one (12z) if we're going to wonder. Unless we can find a 156 map.. we will have to wait for tonight 144 -- http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeuro850mbWinds144.gif (30-40 kts are nearby) 168 -- http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeuro850mbWinds168.gif (already gone by) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 might as well look at the good one (12z) if we're going to wonder. #@^%! I swore, I clicked... Yes Ian, I agree. I got an answer from one of my friends at school. Apparently its 40 kts in SE MD to 20 kts in Fredrick co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 #@^%! I swore, I clicked... Yes Ian, I agree. I got an answer from one of my friends at school. Apparently its 40 kts in SE MD to 20 kts in Fredrick co. Interesting... considering a 40 kt was already at DCA (well around it) at 144... but who cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Interesting... considering a 40 kt was already at DCA at 144... but who cares? No, This is 10m winds.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 No, This is 10m winds.. Ah... you didn't specify... so I thought we were talking about 850mb winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Ah... you didn't specify... so I thought we were talking about 850mb winds I know, Sorry... My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'm in Virginia Beach this weekend for a bachelor party; not sure if I'm hoping for a whiff or a bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'm in Virginia Beach this weekend for a bachelor party; not sure if I'm hoping for a whiff or a bang. A Hurricane Party and a Bachelor party at the same time!?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Unless we can find a 156 map.. we will have to wait for tonight 144 -- http://raleighwx.ame...0mbWinds144.gif (30-40 kts are nearby) 168 -- http://raleighwx.ame...0mbWinds168.gif (already gone by) ahh. well there's some remnant 50kts to the north so i think we could probably assume that goes over us at least. but this is pretty in the weeds for d5+ now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'm in Virginia Beach this weekend for a bachelor party; sure am hoping for a sniff and a bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 ahh. well there's some remnant 50kts to the north so i think we could probably assume that goes over us at least. but this is pretty in the weeds for d5+ now. At least on the 12z Euro it's.. 144: Wilmington,NC 150: Rocky Mount,NC 156: Tappahannock,VA 162: Elkton, MD 168: Just E of Binghamton, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 What I'm gonna look for is to see if it tracks along/south of the Bahamas. If this happens, we would probably get some good effects. If by Wednesday it Passes north of the Bahamas it's effects here will be minimal/none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 What I'm gonna look for is to see if it tracks along/south of the Bahamas. If this happens, we would probably get some good effects. If by Wednesday it Passes north of the Bahamas it's effects here will be minimal/none. You seem so sure... EDIT: Not disagreeing, just indicating that there are alternative possibilities in play despite the lower statistical chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 ahh. well there's some remnant 50kts to the north so i think we could probably assume that goes over us at least. but this is pretty in the weeds for d5+ now. Thats why we are weather weenies to look for this and hope for it this far out... this is kinda like tracking a potential snowstorm in winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 At least on the 12z Euro it's.. 144: Wilmington,NC 150: Rocky Mount,NC 156: Tappahannock,VA 162: Elkton, MD 168: Just E of Binghamton, NY Yeah I have access to the euro just didn't realize we only had every 24 hrs on that map. The track and isobars alone argue for decent winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Ouchtime at the Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I imagine that would imply a pretty pounding rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Yes, ark building is still on. Not too late to reserve a seat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Yes, ark building is still on. Not too late to reserve a seat. Most of the heavy rain totals are east of the BR this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Still too east for my liking but I'll huh the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Still too east for my liking but I'll huh the euroHuhing is always good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Huhing is always good iPhone GFDL Edit "ftl" .. Heh GFDL autocorrect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 <b></b>iPhone GFDL<b></b><b></b><b></b><b></b>DamnyouautocorrectiPad not much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 iPhone GFDL Did you mean " iPhone FTL"? If so, "GFDL" is an interesting typo given the topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Still too east for my liking but I'll huh the euro Still 3-5 inches for I-95... more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Did you mean " iPhone FTL"? If so, "GFDL" is an interesting typo given the topic Yes. It must remember other things I've used? It always caps GFS, Euro etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Most of the heavy rain totals are east of the BR this runThe ark will take more than a day to build, I'll get started to tonight and hope that we get more than 3-5 inches in a day and a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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