wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'm in Virginia Beach this weekend for a bachelor party; not sure if I'm hoping for a whiff or a bang. A Hurricane Party and a Bachelor party at the same time!?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Unless we can find a 156 map.. we will have to wait for tonight 144 -- http://raleighwx.ame...0mbWinds144.gif (30-40 kts are nearby) 168 -- http://raleighwx.ame...0mbWinds168.gif (already gone by) ahh. well there's some remnant 50kts to the north so i think we could probably assume that goes over us at least. but this is pretty in the weeds for d5+ now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'm in Virginia Beach this weekend for a bachelor party; sure am hoping for a sniff and a bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 ahh. well there's some remnant 50kts to the north so i think we could probably assume that goes over us at least. but this is pretty in the weeds for d5+ now. At least on the 12z Euro it's.. 144: Wilmington,NC 150: Rocky Mount,NC 156: Tappahannock,VA 162: Elkton, MD 168: Just E of Binghamton, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 What I'm gonna look for is to see if it tracks along/south of the Bahamas. If this happens, we would probably get some good effects. If by Wednesday it Passes north of the Bahamas it's effects here will be minimal/none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 What I'm gonna look for is to see if it tracks along/south of the Bahamas. If this happens, we would probably get some good effects. If by Wednesday it Passes north of the Bahamas it's effects here will be minimal/none. You seem so sure... EDIT: Not disagreeing, just indicating that there are alternative possibilities in play despite the lower statistical chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 ahh. well there's some remnant 50kts to the north so i think we could probably assume that goes over us at least. but this is pretty in the weeds for d5+ now. Thats why we are weather weenies to look for this and hope for it this far out... this is kinda like tracking a potential snowstorm in winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 At least on the 12z Euro it's.. 144: Wilmington,NC 150: Rocky Mount,NC 156: Tappahannock,VA 162: Elkton, MD 168: Just E of Binghamton, NY Yeah I have access to the euro just didn't realize we only had every 24 hrs on that map. The track and isobars alone argue for decent winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Ouchtime at the Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I imagine that would imply a pretty pounding rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Yes, ark building is still on. Not too late to reserve a seat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Yes, ark building is still on. Not too late to reserve a seat. Most of the heavy rain totals are east of the BR this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Still too east for my liking but I'll huh the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Still too east for my liking but I'll huh the euroHuhing is always good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Huhing is always good iPhone GFDL Edit "ftl" .. Heh GFDL autocorrect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 <b></b>iPhone GFDL<b></b><b></b><b></b><b></b>DamnyouautocorrectiPad not much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 iPhone GFDL Did you mean " iPhone FTL"? If so, "GFDL" is an interesting typo given the topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Still too east for my liking but I'll huh the euro Still 3-5 inches for I-95... more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 Did you mean " iPhone FTL"? If so, "GFDL" is an interesting typo given the topic Yes. It must remember other things I've used? It always caps GFS, Euro etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Most of the heavy rain totals are east of the BR this runThe ark will take more than a day to build, I'll get started to tonight and hope that we get more than 3-5 inches in a day and a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I imagine that would imply a pretty pounding rain. Drought conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 The ark will take more than a day to build, I'll get started to tonight and hope that we get more than 3-5 inches in a day and a half. Plz include a wet bar and a place for a wx station on the roof part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 The 18Z GFS likes Calvert county for 7 inches. Based on its track, the euro could be wetter (I haven't seen its QPF). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 The 18Z GFS likes Calvert county for 7 inches. Based on its track, the euro could be wetter (I haven't seen its QPF). More inland... 4-8" in the mountains, 2-4" elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Yes, ark building is still on. Not too late to reserve a seat. I would reserve a seat but I have to work on Sunday. I'll probably be carried away in the floods or by the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Baltimore is going down.. DC is 2nd place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Andy, done... Bring your captian and coke.... 5alarm I'll pick you up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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