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Major Hurricane Irene live tracking


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Pressure still holding steady, ended up with a tad west of due North motion between fixes.

000

URNT12 KNHC 270742

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011

A. 27/07:10:10Z

B. 33 deg 45 min N

076 deg 37 min W

C. 700 mb 2678 m

D. 54 kt

E. 308 deg 21 nm

F. 053 deg 62 kt

G. 309 deg 35 nm

H. 952 mb

I. 14 C / 3050 m

J. 16 C / 3050 m

K. 7 C / NA

L. NA

M. NA

N. 12345 / 07

O. 0.02 / 2 nm

P. AF306 3109A IRENE OB 09

MAX FL WIND 100 KT NE QUAD 06:17:30Z

MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 84 KT SE QUAD 07:31:00Z

MAX FL TEMP 17 C 308 / 11 NM FROM FL CNTR

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NHC still staying very bullish for NE

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCEWINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THISMORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEWENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

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Phil are you buying nhcs call of a cat1 landfall on long island?

Well its the NHC and I can certainly respect their call, but this westward jog occurring right now might cause Irene to go over significantly more land than their forecast track is indicating right now, and that will likely induce more weakening than expected. Either way I'm less optimistic about a cat 1 landfall that far north than they are.

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Well its the NHC and I can certainly respect their call, but this westward jog occurring right now might cause Irene to go over significantly more land than their forecast track is indicating right now, and that will likely induce more weakening than expected. Either way I'm less optimistic about a cat 1 landfall that far north than they are.

Yeah, I was shocked to see they had a Cat 1 right into Central CT and it not weakening to a TS until in Mass lol.

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