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Major Hurricane Irene live tracking


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OK... I have the following GRLevel3 loops going now and I think all of these also have a link to base velocity, echo tops, and storm rain totals.

Charleston SC

Wilmington NC

Morehead NC

Sterling VA

Dover AFB DE

Upton NY

Next important Google radar is http://www.daculaweather.com/ridge_carolina_master.php

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OK... I have the following GRLevel3 loops going now and I think all of these also have a link to base velocity, echo tops, and storm rain totals.

Charleston SC

Wilmington NC

Morehead NC

Sterling VA

Dover AFB DE

Upton NY

Next important Google radar is http://www.daculawea...lina_master.php

Thanks! the Sterling link above and at your site is not right.

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Excellent conditions and it can't even maintain an eyewall, something is going on....another ERC perhaps.

The water vapor loop is telling, you can see the cyclone taking a hit on the SW quadrant, however there seems to be some improvement on the last few images of the loop.

The 00z EC really deepens the TC over the next 24 hours, sure it seems unlikely, but we all know its a very reliable model.

http://www.ssd.noaa....2/flash-wv.html

Notice the dry air over Florida, I wonder if thats whats causing all of the havoc.

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Cloud tops around the center have really warmed over the last few hours.

We're past the diurnal max, so that's part of the warming. Also, as it move northward, the temperature of the tropopause increases, so cloud tops are naturally going to warm some. Harder to get a solid ring of -80C tops as it works up the coast

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Missing the whole SW side of the storm :lol:

East coast really did luck out in a way. Had this had better structural integrity, easily could have been a category 4 approaching the outer banks

20110826.1204.f16.x.91h_1deg.09LIRENE.90kts-947mb-300N-773W.82pc.jpg

The outflow has improved over the past hour on the SW, but I would agree the system overall doesn't look healthy. I really don't know what to make of the Euro now since the NAM seems to be in excellent agreement on its track, so that would in my amateur opinion lead to better confidence in its overall solution.

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Just for reference:

Irene, currently:

64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.

50 KT.......125NE 105SE 75SW 75NW.

34 KT.......250NE 200SE 130SW 175NW.

12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.

Katrina's maximum size, right before landfall:

64 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.

50 KT.......140NE 140SE 75SW 75NW.

34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.

12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 250SW 0NW.

Ike's maximum size, right before landfall:

64 KT.......110NE 90SE 55SW 75NW.

50 KT.......160NE 160SE 80SW 100NW.

34 KT.......240NE 200SE 150SW 170NW.

12 FT SEAS..425NE 425SE 270SW 150NW.

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Latest recon pass is NE/SW...

Pressure up to 949mb, with a max FL wind in the NE quad of 99kts.

Edit: 102kt FL wind in the eastern side.

URNT12 KNHC 261525

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011

A. 26/15:12:50Z

B. 30 deg 44 min N

077 deg 24 min W

C. 700 mb 2652 m

D. 75 kt

E. 047 deg 32 nm

F. 147 deg 99 kt

G. 047 deg 41 nm

H. 949 mb

I. 13 C / 3049 m

J. 17 C / 3046 m

K. 7 C / NA

L. NA

M. NA

N. 12345 / 7

O. 0.02 / 2 nm

P. AF306 2709A IRENE OB 18

MAX FL WIND 105 KT SE QUAD 13:36:40Z

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Regained a bit of it's longitude, 077 deg 21 min W to 077 deg 24 min W. While not much, shows it surely has not begun losing longitude yet.

That's in minute format, so it's not 77.44, it's 77 24/60 = 77.4W

A visual representation of the plots from both recon missions this morning, with the most recent plot showing the gain in longitude...as noted above by Dan.

post-147-0-51950500-1314373197.jpg

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This really shows how the expansion of the windfield is compensating for the drop in intensity

Great graphic! Thanks for that... this shows that this is going to be very, very Ike like in NC... definitely the best analog as far as impacts go... though I'm still quite worried that surges will still be worse in Chesapeake/Delaware Bays and NY Harbour.

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