AJF0602 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I'm not so sure it's weakening,... latest images show the eye starting to clear and it looks as if this hurricane wants to ramp up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 On that current projected path Ocean City Maryland is in deep trouble. The western shore of the Chesapeake is looking at some serious flooding issues as well. This is becoming very serious at this point. Ocean City Initiates Phase I of Emergency Plan Ocean City Emergency Management officials have initiated phase one of the hurricane action plan in preparation for Hurricane Irene. All persons desiring to travel to Ocean City are asked to postpone their visits until the existing situation improves. Mobile home residents in Ocean City and those living in known flood-prone areas should secure their homes and prepare for possible evacuation. Persons should secure or move all watercraft. All persons are asked to tune into Ocean City Government Access Channel (Channel 4) for further detailed information or advisories. Updates will also be provided on recorded emergency management line, 410-723-6666, www.ocmdemergency.com and on 1670 AM. Ocean City has also initiated evacuation of all international workforce students. All international workforce students will report to assigned transportation pick-up location. They will be transported to predetermined staging location(s). The International workforce students will then be under the jurisdiction, and become the responsibility of, the State of Maryland, by prior agreement, for further transportation and relocation. Ocean City is expected to receive a significant impact from Hurricane Irene. Easterly gale force winds should start affecting the area on Saturday, August 27 at 6 p.m. with storm force winds arriving around 4 a.m. and northeasterly hurricane force winds arriving near 6 a.m. The highest wind speeds from Hurricane Irene should occur near 9 a.m. when top sustained winds, from the north, could reach 90 mph with gusts near 112 mph. Winds should decrease below hurricane force shortly thereafter. Sustained winds will fall below gale force after 3 p.m. and generally be from the north during this period of decreasing winds. Expect gusts above gale force level for several more hours thereafter. The total rainfall for the Ocean City area over the next three days is forecast to be 9.5 inches. This can vary significantly as tropical storm and hurricane rainfall is very difficult to predict Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 TWC is saying that Eye Wall Replacement is uncertain, that is may just be weakening. Awesome news! They also agree with me that Cat 2, maybe Cat 1 is for NC. They didn't say that at all...they said likely low end Cat 3 or 2, and that it is probably going to strengthen. They also said it will be VERY slow to weaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 TWC is saying that Eye Wall Replacement is uncertain, that is may just be weakening. Awesome news! They also agree with me that Cat 2, maybe Cat 1 is for NC. How is it weakening if the pressure is not rising and the eye is beginning to clear out on vis ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder81 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Looks more impressive right now and this could be at least a strong cat 3 if not a 4 by 5 pm advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 TWC is saying that Eye Wall Replacement is uncertain, that is may just be weakening. Awesome news! They also agree with me that Cat 2, maybe Cat 1 is for NC. Consider this your warning. Stop posting bad info. Next step is suspension through Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Looks more impressive right now and this could be at least a strong cat 3 if not a 4 by 5 pm advisory. Exceptionally unlikely. I could see it staying at 100 KT, going up to 105 KT... or, perhaps, go up to 110 KT by 5 PM... but anything over that is highly, highly unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Exceptionally unlikely. I could see it staying at 100 KT, going up to 105 KT... or, perhaps, go up to 110 KT by 5 PM... but anything over that is highly, highly unlikely. Just wondering your thoughts on that...I am by no means an expert, but I have seen plenty of times during an ERC, a cane go from a weak Cat 3, to a 150 MPH monster in 6-12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Just wondering your thoughts on that...I am by no means an expert, but I have seen plenty of times during an ERC, a cane go from a weak Cat 3, to a 150 MPH monster in 6-12 hours. The eyewall structure of Irene is not as organized at the moment as it should be for that kind of intensification... it really needs to have a bit more time for it to get its act together before we can talk Category 4 status... I'd say it'd take at least 10-12 hours for her to be on the cusp of Category 4 status, assuming her stucture gets organized well enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Beware of Irene when it gets north of Abaco, same region Floyd re-intensified into Cat 4 again as well as when Earl peaked at 125 kts last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 From the HPC... 13.4" maximum right over NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Looks like anywhere from coastal carolinas up to new england are gonna see close to if not over a foot of rain causing historic flooding. The winds are gonna be gusting to hurricane force too but the rain is really gonna cause a lot of headaches as well. Just incredible how powerful this storm has become and were staring down the barrel of this beast now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Impressive cyclone developing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Impressive cyclone developing... Here is the radar loop from Miami, FL. You can clearly see the new eyewall. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=AMX&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAWGNKITTEN Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=AMX&loop=yes Just wondering if that's the eye coming across the island or is an outer eye band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Certainly looks like thigs are ticking up into a period of slow/steady intensification, cold tops going up just northeast of developing eye and overall improved symetry. If it can maintain a period of more rapid intensification closer to the dmax is a pretty safe bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Just wondering if that's the eye coming across the island or is an outer eye band? Eye: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Down to 948mb extrap... waiting for VDM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Kinda dark in Hollwood FL http://sugarreefgrill.com/web_photos.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 State of emergency declared in NJ. http://www.myfoxny.com/dpp/news/hurricane-irene-new-jersey-state-of-emergency-20110825-kc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Still looks to be struggling to get above 100KT FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 OCEAN CITY, Md. (WUSA) - 9NEWS NOW reporter Scott Broom said Ocean City's Mayor Richard Meehan and members of the city council announced a mandatory evacuation of Ocean City beginning at midnight in preparation for Hurricane Irene. Broom said Meehan asked people to prepare now to pack up and leave. After midnight the mayor said police will not allow unauthorized people or vehicles to enter the city. http://www.wusa9.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=164291 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Still looks to be struggling to get above 100KT FL Pretty common to see pressure lead winds following an erc I think. Tonight could be a very interesting diurnal max if Irene can get her act together this afternoon, which it appears she is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 check out this video. Look how far the eye is away and still getting hit hard. http://www.windjammerresort.com/webcam.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windyinnc Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Palm Beach, FL is getting some strong squalls. Great view here.... Palm Beach Earth Cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 So the inner eyewall completely collapsed and it's the outer eyewall we're seeing on microwave imagery, that has contracted significantly since last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Previous vortex message...new pass shortly. Pressure of 950mb, an open eyewall, and max FL winds of 93kts in the NE quad. URNT12 KNHC 251806 CCA VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011 A. 25/17:33:20Z B. 26 deg 27 min N 077 deg 13 min W C. 700 mb 2666 m D. 69 kt E. 234 deg 43 nm F. 315 deg 82 kt G. 234 deg 46 nm H. 950 mb I. 10 C / 3021 m J. 17 C / 3049 m K. 6 C / NA L. Open S thru W M. C35 N. 134 / 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF306 2109A IRENE OB 06 CCA MAX FL WIND 82 KT SW QUAD 17:19:50Z MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 93 KT NE QUAD 17:43:00Z MAX FL TEMP 20 C 237 / 15 NM FROM FL CNTR Clouds below in center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Microwave from a bit after 12, if it can complete the new eyewall, it should be good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Pretty common to see pressure lead winds following an erc I think. Tonight could be a very interesting diurnal max if Irene can get her act together this afternoon, which it appears she is. Yes... I'm aware of that... and Irene is likely within that time frame. I agree that the diurnal max should be interesting tonight given the favorable conditions and the better eyewall structure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.