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Potential December 12th-13th threat

BullCityWx

By BullCityWx,
in Southeastern States

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Carvers Gap

Carvers Gap

Posted
Posted

Yes I like that call for Tenn. some sections will be over the 6" in mark probably but cant say exactly where. I do like the track of th 5H low as it continues strenghtening right now in Iowa/nrn Mo, and heading southeast toward Nashville by midday tomorrow before getting absorbed. That shoudl ensure a good burst of snow , and some great ratios for you. Take pics.

Foothills. Thanks for the insight!

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eyewall

eyewall

Posted
Posted

thumbsdownsmileyanim.gif

I am with you trust me it sucks but nothing we can do.

RAH disco:

THE LATEST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT ONCE THE COLD FRONT SURGES

THROUGH OUR REGION...THE MOISTURE WILL RAPIDLY GET PINCHED OFF BY

VERY STRONG MID LEVEL DRYING/SUBSIDENCE IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS.

SATURATION IN THE -10 TO -20 CELSIUS SNOW GROWTH ZONE IS LACKING

ESPECIALLY AFTER 00Z/MONDAY. THIS APPEARS TO BE A CLASSIC EXAMPLE OF

THE VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR CHASING THE MOISTURE IN WHICH A FEW PASSING

SNOW FLURRIES MAY BE SEEN ACROSS THE NW PIEDMONT.

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NEGa

NEGa

Posted
Posted

Yeah it would be nice to see others. I know its a tough call about everywhere this time. I have some ideas for the Tennessee I need to upgrade there after my latest thinking, but may hold off til 00Z.

kudos to you for putting one out in this really close situation. its tantalizingly close to something good for a lot of us, but we all know how our luck has been lately for things to end up just a degree or two colder :popcorn:

Dang, I am at 43 with a DP of 17.

wow, my temp is down to 40 but your dewpoint is quite a bit lower. good luck in your back yard! you may be just far enough and high enough in elevation to do better than most of us in ga :D

I am with you trust me it sucks but nothing we can do.

sad but true...thats one of the worst things about this wx weenieism :bike:

Any chance that the I-40 corridor in the Piedmont will see any snow?

sorry but i am probably not the one to ask :lol: i think you are in a similar position to those of us in ne ga....downsloping usually zaps our chances. however, occasionally the snow showers do make it out of the mountains in really good events, and this is one of those events. so i would guess that a fair number of us (you included) will see flakes flying but just not enough to really accumulate

in any event it is going to be cold and windy and definitely feel like winter :snowman:

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SnoJoe

SnoJoe

Posted
Posted

Just went below freezing this hour, 30.9. Dewpoint is 19. Don't know how to figure a wet bulb or really even know what it is but have seen you guys talk about it so I thought I would mention it to sound cool. Still not sure if I'm going to get rain or snow with the first batch but it looks like the flow snow is a pretty sure bet. Feels weird outside, you can tell something is up.

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ncjoaquin

ncjoaquin

Posted
Posted

Just went below freezing this hour, 30.9. Dewpoint is 19. Don't know how to figure a wet bulb or really even know what it is but have seen you guys talk about it so I thought I would mention it to sound cool. Still not sure if I'm going to get rain or snow with the first batch but it looks like the flow snow is a pretty sure bet. Feels weird outside, you can tell something is up.

And you did sound cool.:lmao:

You'll get both and you'll get hammered. Life is good in SnoJoe land. Life is good.

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CAD_Wedge_NC

CAD_Wedge_NC

Posted
Posted

Just went below freezing this hour, 30.9. Dewpoint is 19. Don't know how to figure a wet bulb or really even know what it is but have seen you guys talk about it so I thought I would mention it to sound cool. Still not sure if I'm going to get rain or snow with the first batch but it looks like the flow snow is a pretty sure bet. Feels weird outside, you can tell something is up.

Your wet bulb is roughly 27 degrees

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John1122

John1122

Posted
Posted

Does anyone know where to find the criteria for a winter storm warning vs a snow advisory for MRX?

They dropped my area from their winter storm watch and instead issued a winter weather advisory. But they didn't change the predicted snow amounts of 3-6 inches. My current forecast is for 1-2 Sumday and 2-4 Sunday night. Also very high winds with gusts to 40mph, temps in the lower teens, sub zero windchills and blowing and drifting snow. Yet no WSW. In the past this would have been a WSW situation. Not sure if MRX's criteria changed or really even what it is any more.

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NavarreDon

NavarreDon

Posted
Posted

Just went below freezing this hour, 30.9. Dewpoint is 19. Don't know how to figure a wet bulb or really even know what it is but have seen you guys talk about it so I thought I would mention it to sound cool. Still not sure if I'm going to get rain or snow with the first batch but it looks like the flow snow is a pretty sure bet. Feels weird outside, you can tell something is up.

Got this somewhere last year. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/epz/?n=wxcalc_rh

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Rob

Rob

Posted
Posted

Yeah it would be nice to see others. I know its a tough call about everywhere this time. I have some ideas for the Tennessee I need to upgrade there after my latest thinking, but may hold off til 00Z.

Please Include Nashville in your thoughts please. Thanks !!

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Cyclonicjunkie

Cyclonicjunkie

Posted
Posted

Preparing for power outages here in the Smokies with blizzard conditions forecasted,:o got plenty of Red Oak stockpiled in the basement for the wood stove. Also have the generator gased up with 10 gallon of extra gas, got the oil lamps out and ready, and plenty of drinking whiskey in case it gets too cold :beer:

Going to have to batten down the hatches here :mapsnow:

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FoothillsNC

FoothillsNC

Posted
Posted

Please Include Nashville in your thoughts please. Thanks !!

Well I'm no expert in middle Tenn. climo thats for sure. I'm surprised we don't have more mets online from Tennessee, its state with enough big cities and diverse climate. I'll do my best if time permits tonight.

Preparing for power outages here in the Smokies with blizzard conditions forecasted,:o got plenty of Red Oak stockpiled in the basement for the wood stove. Also have the generator gased up with 10 gallon of extra gas, got the oil lamps out and ready and plenty of drinking whiskey in case it gets too cold :beer:

What county are you in?

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MotoWeatherman

MotoWeatherman

Posted
Posted

0z NAM "SnowDepth" forecast maps from Wright Weather paints a nice stripe of 1-4" snow across just about all of WNC mountains by 7am Sunday. This would be snow with the front.:whistle:

Those maps a fun to look at. The only thing it means to me is that the 0z NAM was cooler this run and that is confirmed when looking at the AVL sounding versus the previous NAM run. This frontal snow margin is major thin.

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