Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Potential December 12th-13th threat


BullCityWx

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

The last event caught me off guard and I never saw the final map on totals,but I remember you stating it was over a foot? I don't see why you won't have comparable amounts with this one. The ratios will be the most extreme you can get and theres a lot of moisture for lift. The models usually end it too soon, but even with a solid 24 hours of about continuous snow, it should be some widespread 6 to 12" amounts with probably 20 " amounts in the most excellent locations. The most important thing is to still wait and see for sure where the upper low and surface low lines up Sunday night and Monday, still not positive there, but so far it looks about as good as you'd hope. In the past, this type of track and setup nailed eastern Tn, w. NC even Asheville down to northern GA gets accumulations, imo. The temps and winds will make this a true ground blizzard.

post-38-0-64597200-1292000181.gif

post-38-0-24678200-1292000189.gif

post-38-0-00254100-1292000196.gif

post-38-0-28047400-1292000203.gif

post-38-0-29827700-1292000212.gif

Probably not, but some valleys in the mountains could have ZR or mix. The best chance for snow is west of you as well , just a little too warm for snow in frostyland on this one, but you have a good chance at some flakes on Monday with a few streamers probably able to pass over the northern mountains. If the GFS is right in its longer range, you have abetter shot at an old fashion winter storm in about 8 to 10 days.

Not what I wanted to hear. lol But I'll take a few snow showers monday and some mix wed/thur ? Thanks :thumbsup:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Exams have already been cancelled on Monday in anticipation of the cold/snow. I have never seen that in my time here at App...

Now that I can't go home until Wednesday, I had better see some good action. :guitar:

They're probably shutting due to windchills and the cold. I remember wishing they'd cancel classes during the Jan 98 2 foot dump. But they didn't. Stay warm up there! Win chills may get to -20 or so.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Exams have already been cancelled on Monday in anticipation of the cold/snow. I have never seen that in my time here at App...

Now that I can't go home until Wednesday, I had better see some good action. :guitar:

It's starting to look better than last weeks event. I had 11 inches of snow and a low of 5 degrees here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

They're probably shutting due to windchills and the cold. I remember wishing they'd cancel classes during the Jan 98 2 foot dump. But they didn't. Stay warm up there! Win chills may get to -20 or so.

I think I may put the chains on the Jeep and venture up to Beech if at all possible. Should be extra fun up there. :snowman:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow, kudos to the UKMET (assuming this trend is now the real one), the only model that stuck to its cold guns.

The new GFS numbers are wicked for here- 513 thickness, high on the 2M temps 23, low 14......

Thanks for the update, how does it look as far as snow? Does it close it off further south with plenty of wrap around? Nevermind, I see you were just referencing the GFS and giving props to the Ukmet............my apologies.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow, kudos to the UKMET (assuming this trend is now the real one), the only model that stuck to its cold guns.

The new GFS numbers are wicked for here- 513 thickness, high on the 2M temps 23, low 14......

That is some serious cold! If that verifies will Atlanta set a record for coldest daytime temp Monday?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just took a quick peek at some sounding data for AVL on Saturday night/Sunday morning. The GFS is remarkably colder than the NAM. I still haven't quite figured out why, with such robust WAA, the warm nose really never gets established in the GFS (but does in the NAM).

Taken at face value, I believe the GFS is all snow for the whole event (or at least sleet). The NAM strongly urges rain changing to snow.

Which to believe?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Atlanta has had highs in the teens 15 different times by my count. The record is 7 (wow) in the great cold blast of Feb 1899.

This would be a record for Dec 13, the current record is 29.

Thanks. I didn't know what the daily record would be since it's so early in the season. Seems like a good chance to tie or break that Monday.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...