FoothillsNC Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:29 PM, Queencitywx said: MOS has me at 36 on Monday and 35 Tuesday...... pathetic. Unfortunately I'm still seeing numbers like that on TV weather. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 4:55 PM, FoothillsNC said: The last event caught me off guard and I never saw the final map on totals,but I remember you stating it was over a foot? I don't see why you won't have comparable amounts with this one. The ratios will be the most extreme you can get and theres a lot of moisture for lift. The models usually end it too soon, but even with a solid 24 hours of about continuous snow, it should be some widespread 6 to 12" amounts with probably 20 " amounts in the most excellent locations. The most important thing is to still wait and see for sure where the upper low and surface low lines up Sunday night and Monday, still not positive there, but so far it looks about as good as you'd hope. In the past, this type of track and setup nailed eastern Tn, w. NC even Asheville down to northern GA gets accumulations, imo. The temps and winds will make this a true ground blizzard. Probably not, but some valleys in the mountains could have ZR or mix. The best chance for snow is west of you as well , just a little too warm for snow in frostyland on this one, but you have a good chance at some flakes on Monday with a few streamers probably able to pass over the northern mountains. If the GFS is right in its longer range, you have abetter shot at an old fashion winter storm in about 8 to 10 days. Not what I wanted to hear. lol But I'll take a few snow showers monday and some mix wed/thur ? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Exams have already been cancelled on Monday in anticipation of the cold/snow. I have never seen that in my time here at App... Now that I can't go home until Wednesday, I had better see some good action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2010 Author Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:39 PM, CAD Addict said: Now that I can't go home until Wednesday, I had better see some good action. Be sure to stay away from female friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:24 PM, dawsonwx said: Yes...but the previous run closed the 500mb low off too but further north. This run had the closed low further south and the whole trough deeper. Thanks for the explanation. Hopefully the trend for more wrap around will continue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:41 PM, Queencitywx said: Be sure to stay away from female friends. touche, salesman....touche Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:39 PM, CAD Addict said: Exams have already been cancelled on Monday in anticipation of the cold/snow. I have never seen that in my time here at App... Now that I can't go home until Wednesday, I had better see some good action. They're probably shutting due to windchills and the cold. I remember wishing they'd cancel classes during the Jan 98 2 foot dump. But they didn't. Stay warm up there! Win chills may get to -20 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Wow, kudos to the UKMET (assuming this trend is now the real one), the only model that stuck to its cold guns. The new GFS numbers are wicked for here- 513 thickness, high on the 2M temps 23, low 14...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1bert1 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:39 PM, CAD Addict said: Exams have already been cancelled on Monday in anticipation of the cold/snow. I have never seen that in my time here at App... Now that I can't go home until Wednesday, I had better see some good action. It's starting to look better than last weeks event. I had 11 inches of snow and a low of 5 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:44 PM, FoothillsNC said: They're probably shutting due to windchills and the cold. I remember wishing they'd cancel classes during the Jan 98 2 foot dump. But they didn't. Stay warm up there! Win chills may get to -20 or so. I think I may put the chains on the Jeep and venture up to Beech if at all possible. Should be extra fun up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:44 PM, Cheeznado said: Wow, kudos to the UKMET (assuming this trend is now the real one), the only model that stuck to its cold guns. The new GFS numbers are wicked for here- 513 thickness, high on the 2M temps 23, low 14...... Thanks for the update, how does it look as far as snow? Does it close it off further south with plenty of wrap around? Nevermind, I see you were just referencing the GFS and giving props to the Ukmet............my apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:44 PM, Cheeznado said: Wow, kudos to the UKMET (assuming this trend is now the real one), the only model that stuck to its cold guns. The new GFS numbers are wicked for here- 513 thickness, high on the 2M temps 23, low 14...... That is some serious cold! If that verifies will Atlanta set a record for coldest daytime temp Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I was in boone from 01-04. Before I came to school I was told "asu NEVER" shuts down.. Well, they shut it down 5 times while I was in boone. Once for wind chills and the other for snow. Just take some pics!! Also go neers in tomorrow game!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:45 PM, 1bert1 said: It's starting to look better than last weeks event. I had 11 inches of snow and a low of 5 degrees here. Where do you live in Boone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1bert1 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:46 PM, CAD Addict said: I think I may put the chains on the Jeep and venture up to Beech if at all possible. Should be extra fun up there. I went snow skiing at sugar last week. Powder up to my knees. It was nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:49 PM, strongwxnc said: I was in boone from 01-04. Before I came to school I was told "asu NEVER" shuts down.. Well, they shut it down 5 times while I was in boone. Once for wind chills and the other for snow. Just take some pics!! Also go neers in tomorrow game!! You gonna be here for the game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2010 Author Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:48 PM, GAStorm said: That is some serious cold! If that verifies will Atlanta set a record for coldest daytime temp Monday? Maybe a daily record but I think the all time record was set after the 1950 blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1bert1 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:51 PM, CAD Addict said: Where do you live in Boone? I live out 421 north towards Trade, TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:52 PM, Queencitywx said: Maybe a daily record but I think the all time record was set after the 1950 blizzard Yeah I meant to say for that day. We had highs in the teens in '96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:52 PM, 1bert1 said: I live out 421 north towards Trade, TN Gotcha....I'm at University Highlands. I'll be living off Tater Hill Rd next year, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I wish man! Oh how I wish. Give a good STATE for me!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Cannot edit on the blackberry. But, I spent two years at highlands!! In 01 we had some 5' snow drifts on the hill in the front towards the gas station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:56 PM, strongwxnc said: I wish man! Oh how I wish. Give a good STATE for me!! Haha, will do. I'm already the loudest, most obnoxious mofo there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Just took a quick peek at some sounding data for AVL on Saturday night/Sunday morning. The GFS is remarkably colder than the NAM. I still haven't quite figured out why, with such robust WAA, the warm nose really never gets established in the GFS (but does in the NAM). Taken at face value, I believe the GFS is all snow for the whole event (or at least sleet). The NAM strongly urges rain changing to snow. Which to believe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 with the storm less than 48 hrs away, one would think winter storm watches would be posted for at least the mountains of east tn and western nc by later this afternoon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:52 PM, Queencitywx said: Maybe a daily record but I think the all time record was set after the 1950 blizzard Atlanta has had highs in the teens 15 different times by my count. The record is 7 (wow) in the great cold blast of Feb 1899. This would be a record for Dec 13, the current record is 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:52 PM, 1bert1 said: I live out 421 north towards Trade, TN thats where I lived. Right on 421/King Street, near intersection of 105 bypass at the bottom of Rich Mtn. I got lost going from Howards Knob on Fire Tower Road one Saturday which scared me. No map. And on "e" being the poor college student. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 5:41 PM, Queencitywx said: Be sure to stay away from female friends. Especially them Boone Goones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 From 12z gfs ..022 of snow, flizzard I know these are very inaccurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 On 12/10/2010 at 6:04 PM, Cheeznado said: Atlanta has had highs in the teens 15 different times by my count. The record is 7 (wow) in the great cold blast of Feb 1899. This would be a record for Dec 13, the current record is 29. Thanks. I didn't know what the daily record would be since it's so early in the season. Seems like a good chance to tie or break that Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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