Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 On 8/11/2011 at 10:36 PM, ORH_wxman said: We had a Nor' Easter last summer on Aug 24-25....we get them appearing in August every now and then. Probably just the very first hint of autumn pattern. Subtle hints..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 On 8/11/2011 at 10:45 PM, ineedsnow said: 93l brings us some heavy rain on the 18z gfs fwiw But it gives less than an inch Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 On 8/11/2011 at 10:36 PM, ORH_wxman said: We had a Nor' Easter last summer on Aug 24-25....we get them appearing in August every now and then. Probably just the very first hint of autumn pattern. It's really just the atmosphere being a little stressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 On 8/12/2011 at 12:15 AM, moneypitmike said: It's really just the atmosphere being a little stressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 I think you are going to find the verification to be quite mundane compared to a lot of these stem winder model solutions regarding an anomalously wound up low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 On 8/12/2011 at 12:15 AM, moneypitmike said: It's really just the atmosphere being a little stressed. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 On 8/11/2011 at 3:35 PM, Ginx said: You have water already? wow. Not right this minute, but the last 2 storms had me down there using the squeegee to push water into the drains. Sunday was a freaking soaker in the morning, and then there was one a week or so before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 12, 2011 Author Share Posted August 12, 2011 On 8/12/2011 at 10:08 AM, CT Blizz said: Meh 3 to 4" of meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Tough to tell where the heaviest rain sets up. It might be way off to the north along a frontal boundary near Montreal extending south into NY state, also a potential deformation area. However as we saw the other day, if there is a secondary low, it could act to squueze out the high theta-e over a narrow area. It's also possible we may have one of those sheet drizzle/rains for a while Monday night and Tuesday, if the low stalls to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 12, 2011 Author Share Posted August 12, 2011 On 8/12/2011 at 2:40 PM, CoastalWx said: Tough to tell where the heaviest rain sets up. It might be way off to the north along a frontal boundary near Montreal extending south into NY state, also a potential deformation area. However as we saw the other day, if there is a secondary low, it could act to squueze out the high theta-e over a narrow area. It's also possible we may have one of those sheet drizzle/rains for a while Monday night and Tuesday, if the low stalls to our south. Yeah. Not enough of a baroclinic zone to enhance anything so the frontal boundary and any WAA precip will be mostly it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 00z GFS would have been a nice looking miller B in winter with that upper air setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 I like seeing these kind of setups and storms in August....bodes well for the early winter I think. I remember well a Noreaster on Sept 4 1995. I was on the central coast of Maine and it was 45 degrees at midday with winds gusting to 60 at Popham Beach. It was the start of a trend for strong coastal storms that continued as we know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 10:41 AM, mahk_webstah said: I like seeing these kind of setups and storms in August....bodes well for the early winter I think. I remember well a Noreaster on Sept 4 1995. I was on the central coast of Maine and it was 45 degrees at midday with winds gusting to 60 at Popham Beach. It was the start of a trend for strong coastal storms that continued as we know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 10:41 AM, mahk_webstah said: I like seeing these kind of setups and storms in August....bodes well for the early winter I think. I remember well a Noreaster on Sept 4 1995. I was on the central coast of Maine and it was 45 degrees at midday with winds gusting to 60 at Popham Beach. It was the start of a trend for strong coastal storms that continued as we know. Some get it Mahk some don't, hopefully opening salvo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Yes Steve....you and I know. The Reverend has apparently gone to the the dark side. Opening salvo or two...tropical system in a few weeks....stunning Indian summer....killling frost early October....best leaf season in years and close out the month with an early storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 12:27 PM, mahk_webstah said: Yes Steve....you and I know. The Reverend has apparently gone to the the dark side. Opening salvo or two...tropical system in a few weeks....stunning Indian summer....killling frost early October....best leaf season in years and close out the month with an early storm. Nice recipie. Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 NAM and SREFs kind of focus much of the rain along the frontal boundary in NJ/NY state and also offshore closer to the center of low pressure, leaving us with lots of light rain/drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 nam has over a months worth of rain in some areas to the south and west On 8/13/2011 at 2:12 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM and SREFs kind of focus much of the rain along the frontal boundary in NJ/NY state and also offshore closer to the center of low pressure, leaving us with lots of light rain/drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 actually almost 2 months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 some of the SREFs give some places 10 inches of rain WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 2:21 PM, ineedsnow said: nam has over a months worth of rain in some areas to the south and west When you have storms like this during the summer...the qpf can be disorganized and focused along things like fronts. Many times it's not resolved until under 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 2:23 PM, ineedsnow said: some of the SREFs give some places 10 inches of rain WOW! I could see NJ getting a ton of rain as the front sort of sits near there, as H5 continues to deepen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 2:25 PM, CoastalWx said: I could see NJ getting a ton of rain as the front sort of sits near there, as H5 continues to deepen. That, or eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 models also upping qpf as we get closer again this always seems to happen shows alot of precip loses it then brings it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 tomorrow looks awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 6:36 PM, CT Rain said: tomorrow throughTuesday look awful I'm fine with it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 op Euro places a hurricane magnet over us by day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On 8/13/2011 at 11:41 AM, Ginx said: Some get it Mahk some don't, hopefully opening salvo. You are going to be unmercifully trolled if winter poops out. I think frankly we have a 50/50 shot at well below normal snow. Some signs are good but many are bad. i'll give you one thing which has held me from going balls to the walls with a crappy winter: This July/August couplet has the 1995esque feel. But many get it. We just aren't as smart as you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 I'm pretty certain that Franklin county will break it's dry spell over the next couple of days. Not so sure that we'll get all that much--at least in relation to what might have been suggested earlier in the week. In spite of the added warmth, still was pretty nice today. Had mostly overcast sky, but the sun managed to break thorugh at times. 75.6/62 of off 75.9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.