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8.13-8.15 rain and storm event


Ian

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FYP

Thx

FLASH FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...

MATTAWOMAN CREEK IN PINEFIELD...

ACTON ROAD AT MATTAWOMAN CREEK...

BUMPY OAK ROAD AT MATTAWOMAN CREEK...

POMFRET ROAD AT MATTAWOMAN CREEK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF

THE WARNED AREA...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO

INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.

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Clouds and weak LL winds will hurt severe chances today, but okay lapse rates, decent UL support and dewpoints in the lower 70s should help make things a little interesting this afternoon. Secondary low development in NC/S VA certainly won't help our poor LL wind situation as the SFC winds weaken and become more variable.

RUC shows a much better setup for severe weather in the DC/MD region (which would warrant the slight risk), but it has been overzealous with the wind field and dewpoints in recent events.

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Over 6" in spots east of the bay, but the radar unfortunately looks just like the models. And scarily reminiscent of last winter.

Well there are a few dots of that range west too but that fell yesterday mostly. Yeah, I sorta had last winter flashbacks seeing the NAM last night.

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Off and on stuff popping up here. We seem to get the start of a good rain and 3-5 min. later done. One thing is that if it stays this way the clay will hopefully be able to absorb it better than hours of downpour. Actually bought a rain gauge yesterday so will really get to see the amount we get.

If you lived in this Frederick County, you could have saved your money on a rain guage. Not needed. :P

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Any chances that big area of clear skies over WV helps build up a line of storms later on?

it could.. the cold front is still back in ohio. im definitely not too hopeful for a lot of rain here looking at radar but the airmass can support stuff around here still.

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You guys hear about the stage collapse at the Indiana state fair, 5 dead so far. btw JFK has got over 5 inches of rain in the last 6 hours. anyways herr we had 2 decent lines come thru, first one i was traveling down 695

near parkville toward the south 230 ish and you could barely see, dozens of cars pulled over and the average speed was like 40 mph, then a second line came around 6pm:

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