Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 some development in that hole in the line lately.. tho that pseudo bow on the south end is going to tend to pull that area southeast i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Rain events this time of year, are absolutely horrible to predict, especially where the QPF max will be. You lose the baroclinicity and strong advection processes that occur in the winter to throw back QPF, so you're left with the mercy of trying to find where a 30kt LLJ is going to be shoved over a front in the lower levels. Today, it was up in NYC. I didn't really look at what was modeled down here, but it seemed like PHL on northeast into NYC was always ground zero. Models are still struggling up there. They more or less become nowcast events. This was one of those events where you know a sh*tload will fall...just a matter of where. All you can really do is trying to narrow down there area, and go from there. We also don't have a well developed surface low at this time, but we do have a deepening trough which sometimes acts to keep the tropical plume in place..such as in the NYC area. Nice post Scott. Thanks. it is just interesting as how some locals got a few inches of rain and then right downt he road nadda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Something wet has to fall out of this somehow someway this evening/tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 A little thunder, lightning and rain here now, after a sunny afternoon and a high of 84. Radar says I could get dumped on by one of the cells currently surrounding me. Nice pics, Trix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 24 hr rainfall amounts **********************24 hour rainfall********************** Location 24 hour time/date comments rainfall of /inches/ measurement District of Columbia ... District of Columbia... 5 NW Washington 0.43 815 am 8/14 cocorahs Maryland ... Anne Arundel County... 1 NNW Eastport 1.39 800 am 8/14 knak 2 E Severn 1.30 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 1 N balt-wash Intl a 0.87 800 am 8/14 ASOS ... Baltimore County... 2 ESE White Marsh 3.92 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 4 N Cockeysville 1.20 900 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Baltimore City... 1 SSE downtown balti 1.43 800 am 8/14 ASOS ... Carroll County... 3 NW Sykesville 0.67 1030 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Charles County... 2 W Waldorf 2.57 635 am 8/14 cocorahs 2 E Waldorf 2.30 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 3 S Waldorf 0.92 800 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Harford County... 4 WNW Havre de Grace 1.14 730 am 8/14 cocorahs 3 NNE Kingsville 0.68 845 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Howard County... 1 se Marriottsville 1.20 800 am 8/14 cocorahs 3 se Sykesville 0.79 640 am 8/14 cocorahs 2 W Columbia 0.78 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 2 N Columbia 0.70 730 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Montgomery County... 1 NNW Takoma Park 0.76 700 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Prince Georges County... 2 se Suitland 1.36 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 1 W Forestville 1.17 700 am 8/14 cocorahs ESE Camp Springs 1.07 800 am 8/14 cocorahs 2 NNE Bowie 1.03 800 am 8/14 cocorahs 2 se Forest Heights 0.95 730 am 8/14 cocorahs 1 E Morningside 0.89 325 PM 8/14 Andrews AFB 1 W Oxon Hill 0.87 730 am 8/14 cocorahs 2 NNW Camp Springs 0.85 700 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Washington County... 2 ESE Williamsport 0.12 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 3 NNE Smithsburg 0.10 700 am 8/14 cocorahs Virginia ... Albemarle County... 5 ESE Afton 3.15 746 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Arlington County... 1 S Reagan National 0.43 800 am 8/14 ASOS ... Augusta County... 1 NNW Stuarts Draft 2.46 800 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Culpeper County... 6 N Rixeyville 1.44 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 6 NNE Rixeyville 1.09 700 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Fairfax County... 2 W Fairfax 1.61 600 am 8/14 cocorahs 1 W Vienna 0.87 815 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Greene County... 2 WNW Stanardsville 1.81 600 am 8/14 cocorahs ... Highland County... 1 SW Mustoe 2.12 1159 am 8/13 cocorahs ... Rockingham County... 1 NW Harrisonburg 2.22 700 am 8/14 cocorahs 2 WNW Grottoes 1.35 800 am 8/14 AWOS ... Warren County... 3 NNE Front Royal 0.68 700 am 8/14 cocorahs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 constant rumbles of thunder for past couple hours here in WV. a nice batch moved to my south and an intense cell about 15 miles north as I type. big . 09 for the day another lovely day with highs in the 70's and 67 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Going to take a walk and get some shots of the Thunder head to my East. I dare it to try to rain on us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I'm going to go on the offensive and say I like the look of radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 You've got some holes in your wall... Yeah, it's trying to hold on. I've been on the very southern end of some heavy rain for the past half hour or so. Hoping that one of those heavier cells passes over me and washes this wall away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Yeah, it's trying to hold on. I've been on the very southern end of some heavy rain for the past half hour or so. Hoping that one of those heavier cells passes over me and washes this wall away. Bone dry down here. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Bone dry down here. Good luck. I feel for you. I hope you can get some too. I know you guys need it down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 I'm going to go on the offensive and say I like the look of radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 Looks like something going up just east of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joeride Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I'm sitting here cheering on the radar like it's some football game. We've got rain to the north in Emmitsburg heading se and to the west heading northeast. Come on we need a touchdown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Radar shows a split is going to happen...Leesburg in the middle of the split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 Skinny tower to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Radar shows a split is going to happen...Leesburg in the middle of the split Go out on the hill in your yard, take a look to the NE, two nice towers were up about 15 mins ago when I was walking the dogs. Thats probably the most excitement we will see tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Skinny tower to the west Nice, Ji had/has two of them in his backyard, just gorgeous looking, I didnt have my cam with me though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 That line looks like crap. IMBY, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 Nice, Ji had/has two of them in his backyard, just gorgeous looking, I didnt have my cam with me though posting from phone cam ftw. cell east of me seems to be dying already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 posting from phone cam ftw. cell east of me seems to be dying already i left my cell phone at home too when I took the dogs for a walk, me FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 It almost looks like that line is trying to regenerate. I hope it does for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 744 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... SOUTHWESTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... NORTHERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 845 PM EDT * AT 740 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHEPHERDSTOWN...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NEERSVILLE... BRUNSWICK... POINT OF ROCKS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 To my East about 45 min ago. To my West about 45 min. ago. Was on the playground with the kids and saw lightning off to the West just 5 min. ago. And has prompted the Severe T-storm warning for us. I think we are about to get rocked here in the next 20 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoCoSnowBo Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Looks like it is getting pushed SE... Wonder if it'll dive far enough to hit Columbia.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 I think we are about to get rocked here in the next 20 min. Nice pics. I'll believe it when it's on my doorstep. Big lightning show just a few miles to my West but it doesn't seem to be moving on radar. I'm not sure how NWS says that storm is moving 35 mph! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 744 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... SOUTHWESTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... NORTHERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 845 PM EDT * AT 740 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHEPHERDSTOWN...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NEERSVILLE... BRUNSWICK... POINT OF ROCKS... Northern Loudoun has a magnet, they are always getting the bulk of it. I wonder it is has something to do with the River, i swear, bone dry here still lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Ian might clipped by that storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poodleusier Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Mrs. J., we are finally going to get one here in the Ballenger Creek area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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