mdwx Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Going back to 1980 I could only find 3 storms that formed deep out in the Atlantic Ocean and hit the East Coast without hitting Florida first. 1985 Gloria 1989 Hugo 2003 Isabel Was just curious so I did a quick look up please add any that I missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Going back to 1980 I could only find 3 storms that formed deep out in the Atlantic Ocean and hit the East Coast without hitting Florida first. 1985 Gloria 1989 Hugo 2003 Isabel Was just curious so I did a quick look up please add any that I missed. Bonnie 1998 Fran 1996 Floyd 1999 I am sure there are quite a few more but those are three right off the top of my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Bonnie 1998 Fran 1996 Floyd 1999 I am sure there are quite a few more but those are three right off the top of my head. Bertha 1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Going back to 1980 I could only find 3 storms that formed deep out in the Atlantic Ocean and hit the East Coast without hitting Florida first. 1985 Gloria 1989 Hugo 2003 Isabel Was just curious so I did a quick look up please add any that I missed. Not to be contrarian but some points of caution here: 1) your sample set is way way inadequate and too small. Gloria was a long track Cape V. system that did the fairly classic Long Island express route. 1938... Hazel, Donna...there are a lot there if the sample size expands from 30 years to 100 or longer. 2) this debate's flown several times a season since 1900 ... hehe. Seriously though, it's a numbers game. There is nothing in particular in why that is the case, other than exposure It takes quite an atmospheric feat of anomalies, in succession, to allow a TC to move nearly 4,000 miles without perturbing the system and drawing the cylone polarward, or interferring with it developmentally to begin with. The fact that any pull it off is pretty much miracle when you think of all the ways the atmosphere can fumble around and mess things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Storms that form deep in Atlantic rarely make a direct EC hit. FTFY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Going back to 1980 I could only find 3 storms that formed deep out in the Atlantic Ocean and hit the East Coast without hitting Florida first. 1985 Gloria 1989 Hugo 2003 Isabel Was just curious so I did a quick look up please add any that I missed. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 mind blowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Worth posting in this thread, odds that any given tropical cyclone will make landfall on the East Coast of the US, based upon position. Also odds of a tropical cyclone making landfall anywhere in the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Worth posting in this thread, odds that any given tropical cyclone will make landfall on the East Coast of the US, based upon position. Hmm... wouldn't the tropical cyclones in Lake Ontario have a greater chance of hitting Canada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 interesting info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 interesting info Rainstorm is back!!! Time to celebrate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 1) Chris of 1988 qualifies as it barely missed FL. That makes eight in 31 years or one about every four years. 2) The chances of any one MDR Atlantic storm later hitting ANY part of the U.S. is about 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 1) Chris of 1988 qualifies as it barely missed FL. That makes eight in 31 years or one about every four years. 2) The chances of any one MDR Atlantic storm later hitting ANY part of the U.S. is about 20%. - I just checked and there were also eight during the 30 year period 1950-1979 or about one every four years. There were only two during 1956-79!! - Even when giving some leeway for storms that could have easily formed in the MDR because of a lack of satellites but officially didn't count that way, I count only six for 1920-49 but did count as many as 13 for 1890-1919 (again with some leeway). - There were three in both 1955 and 1893! - So, for the last four 30 year periods, I count eight, eight, six, and 13, respectively..or a longterm average of nine per 30 years for storms that formed in the MDR and later hit the U.S. east coast as a TS+ without first hitting FL. So, the eight for the 31 years of 1980-2010 isn't that far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Jurassic and Cretaceous periods ftw. No gaping hole for the recurves lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Jurassic and Cretaceous periods ftw. No gaping hole for the recurves lol Get out the Flux Capacitor!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Going back to 1980 I could only find 3 storms that formed deep out in the Atlantic Ocean and hit the East Coast without hitting Florida first. 1985 Gloria 1989 Hugo 2003 Isabel Was just curious so I did a quick look up please add any that I missed. My first question would be: what do you mean by forming deep in the Atlantic? Like, forming S/E of specific latitude/longitude points? And what storms are you including? Ones that make landfalls in the USA as majors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Jurassic and Cretaceous periods ftw. No gaping hole for the recurves lol horrible graphics. Present Day shows no cheese grater of any kind where we all know it is. On par with your sports posts though .... have to give you that Did you pull these winners from a bubble gum machine, cracker jack box, etc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 horrible graphics. Present Day shows no cheese grater of any kind where we all know it is. On par with your sports posts though .... have to give you that Did you pull these winners from a bubble gum machine, cracker jack box, etc? Lol..Relax, i dont want to intimidate you now its just an example, mainly to show where the continents were millions of years ago. Its interesting to think about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Hmm... wouldn't the tropical cyclones in Lake Ontario have a greater chance of hitting Canada? Even more odd in the second pic is GA having a higher chance of impact from a TC than NC. Seems unlikely to me. GA gets hurricane force winds every 20-25 years. Outer banks every other year it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Even more odd in the second pic is GA having a higher chance of impact from a TC than NC. Seems unlikely to me. GA gets hurricane force winds every 20-25 years. Outer banks every other year it seems. that isn't what that map shows...a storm just off the coast of GA has a better chance of hitting the US than a storm just off of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 that isn't what that map shows...a storm just off the coast of GA has a better chance of hitting the US than a storm just off of NC. Ah, I see now. Thanks. I guess I didn't need a map to show that. Seems intuitive that a storm off GA is less likely to escape without touching land than a storm off Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Hurricanes originated in the tropics that have hit the east coast from Georgia north (56) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 Hurricanes originated in the tropics that have hit the east coast from Georgia north (56) 56>3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdwx Posted August 5, 2011 Author Share Posted August 5, 2011 My first question would be: what do you mean by forming deep in the Atlantic? Like, forming S/E of specific latitude/longitude points? And what storms are you including? Ones that make landfalls in the USA as majors? Yes Josh, at least 35 w and only Majors.. I just did a quick glance using Unisys Hurricane data. Your hear a lot of complaining about lack of EC hits when they really are just a rarity IMHO I should of clarified where at in the Atlantic bro. I modified the topic, I just figured common sense would prevail from the storms I highlighted but I accommodated the slow bananas of the group to clear up any confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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