BethesdaWX Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Interesting, +/- 3% w/ a 95% confidence interval. http://www.rasmussen...arming_research Question Wording Below: http://www.rasmussen...july_29_30_2011 The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on July 29-30, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.Voters have been almost evenly divided on whether human activity or long-term planetary trends are to blame for global warming since May of last year. Regardless of the cause of global warming, adults remain divided on whether to take action or not. While 40% believe Americans should take immediate action to stop global warming, 42% suggest waiting a few years. Americans were just as divided back in February 2009. But 47% now believe the media makes global warming appear to be worse than it really is, down from 54% in February 2009. Nineteen percent (19%) say it makes the situation look better than reality, while the same percentage (19%) thinks the media presents an accurate picture of global warming. Another 15% are undecided. Out of three scenarios, 30% of Americans say a period of dangerous global warming is likely to occur, while just four percent (4%) say a dangerous ice age is more likely. Half of adults (50%) say something in between is most likely to happen. Another 16% are not sure. These findings are little changed from past surveys. Sixty-seven percent (67%) are following news stories on global warming at least somewhat closely, while 32% are not. While a majority of U.S. voters still feel discovering new sources of energy is more important than reducing energy consumption, the number who feel this way has fallen to a new low. Voters also continue to believe there’s a conflict between economic growth and environmental protection. An overwhelming majority of voters (72%) also believe that the United States is not doing enough to develop alternative sources of energy. But Americans are no more enthusiastic than they were a year ago about buying a car that runs on alternative fuel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clifford Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 I think this entire survey indicates how deeply divided the USA is about the Global Warming Issue. However, perhaps it also points to the fact that we also are concerned about the environment, and energy issues. An overwhelming majority of voters (72%) also believe that the United States is not doing enough to develop alternative sources of energy . As far as the AGW Research: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of American Adults shows that 69% say it’s at least somewhat likely that some scientists have falsified research data in order to support their own theories and beliefs, I don't know. I think this is a little harsh. I don't see research falsification in the sense of making up numbers. However, what I do see is a bias towards AGW. Data sets have holes, and problems, and are being pushed beyond what they were collected to do. Perhaps because 200 years ago, nobody expected to find a ½°C drift over a half century in temperature readings that were only accurate to about 1-2°C. Anyway, so the data sets need repairs, if that is even possible. The problem is that I get the impression, real or false, that decisions that are made to clean up the data set tend to add a bias towards AGW. And, reporting of the warming also tends to select data, and ranges of data that accentuates the warming. Perhaps it is back to the Hockey Stick thing (which may have been more of a political ploy than scientists at work). But, there seems to have been a deliberate attempt to make the historical data appear smoother than it actually was. Or, perhaps just choosing not to look for evidence of greater historical climate variation. Likewise, future scenarios seem to be over emphasizing gloom & doom, without looking for historical verification of similar climate conditions, or any intrinsic climate stability. Then one reads about the University of Colorado which chose to add 0.3mm (10%) per year to their sea level calculations due to estimates that the ocean basin may be expanding. While it may make some sense for comparative volume calculations, it is inappropriate to add data that isn't there to the sea level calculations. Unfortunately I haven't had the time to hunt down estimates on silt deposition, and comparative changes between the poles and the tropics which could offset the presumed ocean basin volume increase leading to adding number that don't exist to the sea level rise. Again, more effort needs to be made to hunt for potential bias, and eliminate it before reporting the findings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 5, 2011 Author Share Posted August 5, 2011 "that the ocean basins may be expanding"...you know things are bad when folks resort to that crap. What type of scientific analysis suggests "the ocean basins may be expanding so we'll add to the trend just in case". In reality it is one global ocean and if it were expanding, sea level would change as a result.....that is inventing data, especially if the assumption is false. Sooner or later the cover-ups will not be possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted August 5, 2011 Share Posted August 5, 2011 "that the ocean basins may be expanding"...you know things are bad when folks resort to that crap. What type of scientific analysis suggests "the ocean basins may be expanding so we'll add to the trend just in case". In reality it is one global ocean and if it were expanding, sea level would change as a result.....that is inventing data, especially if the assumption is false. Sooner or later the cover-ups will not be possible. It is sh!t like that that the everyday man can understand and that loses them for the AGW crowd. Quit inventing reasons why your data doesn't add up. The average guy isn't as stupid as many think they are. Intuition, common sense, and experience make up for lack of a college degree in many cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 5, 2011 Author Share Posted August 5, 2011 Exactly, the public looks down on alarmism. When I heard about what Colorado University did I was so angry I almost blew up like a timebomb, somehow I managed to stay in one piece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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