jhamps10 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 GFS saying to the Euro, got room on that ship???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Wow, nice last second save for Cincy on the GFS. Too bad it will probably trend NW by 12z tmrw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Massive hit for portions of the Ohio Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 If we could have that phase take place just 12 hours earlier we'd all be happy campers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Wow, nice last second save for Cincy on the GFS. Too bad it will probably trend NW by 12z tmrw It will....GFS almost ALWAYS makes a 45 deg right turn when it hits the Kentucky line if it isn't riding the river....then corrects itself when it gets within a 4 day range....at least somewhat....if you extrapolated before the turn it would take the low through SE Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 GFS saying, uhhh I may be snowed in for my Monday finals at EIU... (and not even an excuse, I may literally be snowed in, just look at the QPF on this run: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_p36_156m.gif Now that's not all snow but a good 65% of it is from what I seen here... in other words it likely won't happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Nice. Blizzard followed by the coldest air of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 It will....GFS almost ALWAYS makes a 45 deg right turn when it hits the Kentucky line if it isn't riding the river....then corrects itself when it gets within a 4 day range....at least somewhat....if you extrapolated before the turn it would take the low through SE Ohio. The GFS is just being it's usual self....it will trend NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 If we could have that phase take place just 12 hours earlier we'd all mostly be happy campers. Patrick, I think you're probably right. I would say a track right over Cincy or just a bit east is likely but not the wacky turn. Although weirder things have happened.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 It would be funny if the 00z GGEM congratulates MSP. Usually when the GFS goes NW and GGEM goes even further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Again, we ask that folks keep it to model analysis. Despite what you may hear/see, this is the place to put all model threads. We ask all regions to cooperate and for the most part, all but one has. Thanks. lolz, I guess that's us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Per the raw precip type maps from the 00z GFS, heavy snow throughout the event from St Louis across Central and portions of Southern Illinois into Indiana and Western Ohio with some mixing taking place across Southern Indiana and briefly into Central Ohio before Central Ohio turns to all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 lolz, I guess that's us? Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Eh, Regional model threads are better because tempers will flare if everyone is celebrating the current GFS in the OV, and everyone on the east coast says it's the worst run ever. Snow is serious business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Oh well. Here's the problem ugly Ugly? Ugly to whom? It's beautiful to me. In fact, I'd like it a little further N&W, and you guys in the western Lakes wan't turbo N&W. This is why us all congregating in the same model thread would be a total trainwreck. Trolling and flame wars galore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 lolz, I guess that's us? not sure if it is, I just asked tracker if it was us, and if it's not us he doesn't have to say who... but that's not here or there Looking at the GFS it looks like that from 70 south to say the river looks to be the sweet spot (just from this run, could EASILY change in 6 or 12 hours) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 not sure if it is, I just asked tracker if it was us, and if it's not us he doesn't have to say who... but that's not here or there Looking at the GFS it looks like that from 70 south to say the river looks to be the sweet spot (just from this run, could EASILY change in 6 or 12 hours) AFAIA, none of us are posting in the 0z model thread. All our GFS related discussion has been here. Thus, since there's only one subforum abstaining, it'd have to be us? No? In any case, this is a nice digression while we wait for the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 AFAIA, none of us are posting in the 0z model thread. All our GFS related discussion has been here. Thus, since there's only one subforum abstaining, it'd have to be us? No? In any case, this is a nice digression while we wait for the GGEM. yeah but I thought if it was regional discussion it was ok in the regional forums, but anywho back to my accounting project while we wait on the rest... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I like my chances because the 1st wave is stronger and heights are lower in the East. with the orientation of this without huge deepening..it will likely give my area a chance for winter precip. Instead of living on prayer for a miracle. with that said expect the wave to bomb out a bit more west the NAO to go bye-bye and a surface low to go from Eastern OK to Southern Michigan. Looks like a week of no sleep living on adrenaline from models suite to model suite. Good lord that is pathetic But truly we have no idea yet what will take place and where. the good news is, someone in our area will get snow. And possibly a lot of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Here's the problem Ugly? Ugly to whom? It's beautiful to me. In fact, I'd like it a little further N&W, and you guys in the western Lakes wan't turbo N&W. This is why us all congregating in the same model thread would be a total trainwreck. Trolling and flame wars galore. Agree 100%. Flame/troll wars galore for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Actually, Randy was probably referring to the NYC/Philly thread http://www.americanw...-for-nycphilly/ We're abstaining from the general model threads too, but we're not even an afterthought to ECers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 with that said expect the wave to bomb out a bit more west the NAO to go bye-bye and a surface low to go from Eastern OK to Southern Michigan Northern Ohio. Fixed!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Snowfall through 162 on 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I think we should be happy just to see the operational GFS show a respectable storm on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Welp, that was a substantial move toward the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 GFS Ensemble mean looks to have this solution as well. Nevermind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 GGEM goes SE? lol. I was half expecting it to dig in its heels with the cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 GGEM goes SE? lol. Heh, I jinxed it in the right direction this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 Eh, Regional model threads are better because tempers will flare if everyone is celebrating the current GFS in the OV, and everyone on the east coast says it's the worst run ever. Snow is serious business. Here's the problem Ugly? Ugly to whom? It's beautiful to me. In fact, I'd like it a little further N&W, and you guys in the western Lakes wan't turbo N&W. This is why us all congregating in the same model thread would be a total trainwreck. Trolling and flame wars galore. My thoughts are the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 The overall agreement on tonight's 00z runs (pending the Euro of course) is rather astonishing for being a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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