snowstormcanuck Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 hopefully pounds - ssc. Congrats toronto! It does. Too bad for me its just a picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 this track is MUCH better for SE Michigan/N. Ohio am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 In the gist of it all, this is a good run for everyone. BowMe and Aleking disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Um... brrrrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 BowMe and Aleking disagree. I'd rather we'd start with the low SE of us now than directly over us (given Nina climo). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I'm in love with this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 big difference here is the gfs isnt phasing the pv as quick, its waiting till later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 It is actually to far south for me, would give me 2 inches or so. That is incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 this track is MUCH better for SE Michigan/N. Ohio am I wrong? yeah, you may want it a hair bit farther north though. Still a long way out and the GGEM and Euro may come in with the more northern solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 now watch the euro come south and be a good hit from STL to ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Hey, we got nearly 5" here this past weekend. I'll share! Just as long as it isn't rain, I'm good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 It is actually to far south for me, would give me 2 inches or so. That is incredible. Well, it's not done shifting around yet. A track south of you is better at this time considering the NW trend that has been going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 LOL from too far noth to too far south, proves how you can't live by the model or die by the model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Well, it's not done shifting around yet. A track south of you is better at this time considering the NW trend that has been going on. Without a doubt it is. However this is one run and the other two big runs might be to far north by a lot still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 LOL from too far noth to too far south, proves how you can't live by the model or die by the model hmmmm, gem run is critical as to whether this is a typical gfs burp or something else is up. My money is on a burp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I understand why you don't have a good feeling. I think we're just too far out in time right now. I'm definitely interested...there's a lot of potential reward with this if things come together. I feared rain...so then the 0z GFS delivers essentially nothing. I love this hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 If this run were to verify (not saying that it will), parts of Indiana and Ohio could be buried between accumulating snow and extremely gusty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 hmmmm, gem run is critical as to whether this is a typical gfs burp or something else is up. My money is on a burp This is definitely closer to a lot of the EURO and GFS ensemble members, maybe to far South and waiting to long to phase. Who knows at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 hmmmm, gem run is critical as to whether this is a typical gfs burp or something else is up. My money is on a burp i'm leaning towards burp too from the GFS. gotta see the 12z in the morning, my bet is that it goes back north a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Hahaha! The ensembles oughta be interesting. I think we're going to be watching model flip-flops for the next 2 days or so. This is one of those complex phasing events that models always have trouble with in this range. Makes it fun though I guess lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 its amazing how one model run can change the way my night is going, guess this really proves you can't live and die by a few model runs. Have to say I am happy right now with this thing being even a little to far south for me now just gotta watch this thing work itself out and hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 well the nogaps has come south....but then again it was ridiculously north....so at 120 instead of being in lower WI it's in MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 well the nogaps has come south....but then again it was ridiculously north....so at 120 instead of being in lower WI it's in MO The Nogaps UL features look much better as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Snowfall depth through 144 on 00z GFS... Nice St. Louis hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Snowfall depth through 144 on 00z GFS... Nice St. Louis hole :gun_bandana: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Snowfall depth through 144 on 00z GFS... Nice St. Louis hole LOL snow hole over STL,, that'll make some people a little antzi... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 0z GFS BUFKIT for YYZ = 6-10" depending on technique. Looks like heavier snow (12"+) just to the east, which is a pretty radical shift from the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 GGEM = 997 over central IL @ 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 GGEM is interesting. Further north than the GFS, but south of its 12z? Has the low at Springfield, IL at 120 to Binghampton, NY at 144. Really need to see that 132 for details though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 well at least it's not crazy NW like the 12z was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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