turtlehurricane Posted August 6, 2011 Share Posted August 6, 2011 I wasn't question that classification...I figured there were north winds. It was more of a scientific guess since the "trades" are out of the south on the western edge of the Bermuda High...hence I think north winds on the west side of a low would be more indicative of a closed low than the west winds on the south side. Yeah, winds opposite of the prevailing flow are the ones to look for when closing off a low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 6, 2011 Share Posted August 6, 2011 They did an update to increase it's intensity to 30kt, thanks to recon finding 46kts at 975mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColdFront77 Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 NHC Track from Channel 2 in Charleston: That is the NHC track from the NHC. That circulatory entity sure has been hanging tough east of Miami. Radar estimates up to 10.36 inches of rain has fallen, so far, just west of and across the Bahamas since 8:22 AM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Emily looks like a tropical version of a zombie from "The Walking Dead" this AM. It came back to life but is pretty much a zombie storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegreatdr Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_1999_Mexico_floods T.D. #11 of 1999 killed hundreds of people in eastern Mexico, is the wettest known storm for Vera Cruz state, and its floods changed the course of a river across eastern Mexico in early October that year. Overall damage was over $1 billion US dollars. It even had tropical storm force winds for a while when it was considered non-tropical. It certainly was one of the worst tropical depressions on record. Good thing numbers and Greek letters aren't retired, eh? Weak depression, but I've seen worst. The recon found west winds and closed a LLC off...A few of the smrf have been at least 30-32 knots. T.d4 of 2000 is the least impressive TD I've seen and maybe t.d7 of 2003 and t.d 11 of 1999. Grace of 2003 sucked as a tropical storm. Almost forgot T.d5 of 2010 sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Dead again, should be gone for good now. SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF EMILY HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER WELL DEFINED. THEREFORE...EMILY DOES NOT MEET THE DEFINITION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THIS WILL BE THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY. REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE RELATIVELY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND DRY AIR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Pathetic. Glad to see the curtain fall on this sorry crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 has a shot at becoming the first cane as it escapes the tropics and heads northeast. My call from yesterday is looking good This is certainly the least exciting regeneration I've seen. Regardless, definitely can't argue with he NHC's forecast reasoning here. Seems pretty clean cut. that's gonna cost you guys some points in the forecaster rankings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 now we can move onto the next 50mph POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 If anyone cares, my forecast verifications: Track: Was OK in the first two days and back on track by days 6-7, however the track was a good bit too far north in the middle. Emily stayed within my cone for the most part, grade C+. Intensity: Too high. Forecast too much intensification over the eastern Caribbean which did not come close to verifying. Grade will be a D. Track: Was a bit too far north in the near term once again, but was quite close once Emily began impacting Cuba. Grade, C+. Intensity: Was better than first forecast, however did not show enough weakening due to land interaction. Grade, C-. Track: Was dead on first 24 hours, but was too far left therafter as the mid level steering currents steered Emily's remnant mid level circulation until regeneration. Grade, B-. Intensity: Showed significant weakening due to land interaction and potential for restregnthening as Emily passed east of Miami. However, did not show enough weakening over land. Grade, C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 LOL 1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF EMILY...LOCATEDABOUT 500 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA...HAVE INCREASED SOMEWHATOVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD NEAR 30MPH AND CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING INTO ATROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 LOL 1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF EMILY...LOCATEDABOUT 500 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA...HAVE INCREASED SOMEWHATOVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD NEAR 30MPH AND CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING INTO ATROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. It's like a bad zombie movie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 It's like a bad zombie movie... Actually, that would describe my recent experiences with a certain Internet fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Actually, that would describe my recent experiences with a certain Internet fan. Charlie Sheen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 RIP Emily, you were once a threat now just a distant memory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Zombie Emily has a SSD floater again. Looking at vis loops, it has outflow on the Eastern side, and may be moving South of due East. On IR looks like a frontal low with a cold front, but thats just an appearance. Probably does not have East winds North of the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Simple models run on Zombie Emily at 12Z. SHIPS not impressed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 That was her second suicide attempt and she failed again. Will she try again or slip silently into the night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 A naked LLC just popped out of the north end of the convection associated with ex-Emily. Hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Maybe she'll loop back around to the south, start heading west, restrengthen, and then strike Miami as a category 5 hurricane. / Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Maybe she'll loop back around to the south, start heading west, restrengthen, and then strike Miami as a category 5 hurricane. / That's quite the wishcast sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Sadly, the new GFDL is not on board. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2011080912-emily05l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 "Six years for another chance to be retired?! Pfft." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted August 10, 2011 Share Posted August 10, 2011 Actually, that would describe my recent experiences with a certain Internet fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 10, 2011 Share Posted August 10, 2011 You will not believe what the 12Z GFS does with Zombie Emily. I tracked 850 mb vorticity, and practiced with MS Paint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Lol The 18Z nam at 84 hours has emily again. Thats 92L on the right of the image not 93l. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.