eyewall Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 I called death by Hispaniola the other day but then was starting to back off as it continued West but it just hung around the island for too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 I called death by Hispaniola the other day but then was starting to back off as it continued West but it just hung around the island for too long. i didnt make a call as to save myself the need to reference it 50 times a day to remind people what it was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 we need a forecast thread seperate from the obs thread so we dont have to waste brain cells on crappy forecasts we should just a thread for all things JB i didnt make a call as to save myself the need to reference it 50 times a day to remind people what it was I didn't make a call...didn't have time nor did I care unless it cleared Hispaniola. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Looks like plane is climbing, last few HDOBS I saw decewnt SW winds, but no West wind, and the temperature/dewpoint depression was still pretty big. Looked at satellite again, low level center/tropical wave is heading West, I think I still see rotation in the IR, although cloud tops are warming. I think its dead or soon to be dead. Don't know if they carry it for six more hours to be sure/continuity's sake/keeping warnings flying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Darn, I don't think I can post my 1900 hurricane track in this thread now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 ...EMILY DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER HISPANIOLA... NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 ...EMILY DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER HISPANIOLA... NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. RIP crapstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Yea, especially as it entrained some inflow off of Hispaniola. Yes, but even prior to that by a long shot... When Emily was a struggling yet strong TW passing through the southern Leewards it was ingesting poison - and arcus clouds were bulging away from it all along. That is usually indicative of too much hooch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 RIP crapstorm Now ... what if Emily's remains pheonix .... Is it "Emily", or Emily moch-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 ...EMILY DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER HISPANIOLA... NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Welp, at least I got that "will remain weak and south of Hispaniola" part right. We'll see if can regenerate once it gets in more favorable conditions past Cuba. Right now I'm pretty meh on the chances, but things can of course change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 5 named storms ... what a joke lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Now ... what if Emily's remains pheonix .... Is it "Emily", or Emily moch-2 it's a long shot the ridge build in enough to push it to pheonix imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 This still has a strong midlevel rotation, I dont think this is over yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 5 named storms ... what a joke lol and soon the season will shut down, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 I'm glad it's dead and hope it stays dead. This steaming turd was jinxed from the beginning. Ninety percent of the discussions were focused on discerning where the center was-- a perpetual mystery. It would be nicer to just have a clean slate until a real cyclone wants to form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Now ... what if Emily's remains pheonix .... Is it "Emily", or Emily moch-2 If its directly traceable to the remnants of Emily, and not the remnants interacting with another wave or disturbance, it'll be Emily. Its how I can claim to have survived 'Ivan'. See also early evolution of Katrina. New TD number because original TD had interacted with another system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 and soon the season will shut down, right? not according to the graph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 This still has a strong midlevel rotation, I dont think this is over yet And warming cloud tops. I'm not certain its over yet, I suspect NHC will run models for a day or two more, and who knows? But I'd lean towards pining for the fjords. Ate the salmon mousse... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 lolz After the 8 kt peak gust from OW Don and then hanging onto this system with some sort of morbid fantasy that you tried to hide.... Intervention is imminent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 and soon the season will shut down, right? Nah, we still have the peak of the season. Shuts down after September. I'd probably have to add one to my named storms forecast, for the POS's the NHC has named this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 After the 8 kt peak gust from OW Don and then hanging onto this system with some sort of morbid fantasy that you tried to hide.... Intervention is imminent. am19psu EDIT: While I agree with the sentiment, probably not appropriate on the weather side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Well, I feel like right now is about as organized as it'll be pre-Hispaniola. And that narrow part of shredderola is a high mountain range, many 2000 m+ peaks according to this map http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bb/Hispaniola_lrg.jpg That sort of topography would destroy pretty much any low-level vortex. I really wouldn't be surprised to see this thing dissipate within 24 hours, perhaps a 50/50 chance imo. Yep, Hispaniola wins again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Not discussing women who wear bikinis on the toilet, back to the main Atlantic thread everybody! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 we need SEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Yep, Hispaniola wins again. Okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 First time since 2002 to have at least five named storms to begin the season and not have any of them become hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Ooooh, I got disciplined. But Adam's right. I shouldn't have lost my temper in a wx-side thread and posted visual hurtyhurtz. I'm just so disgusted with the first five systems this year-- and then my very own chase partner rubbing it in. I owe all of my wx-nerd friends a heartfelt apology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 we need SEP Quick, someone post the 1935 labor day hurricane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Ooooh, I got disciplined. But Adam's right. I shouldn't have lost my temper in a wx side and posted visual hurtyhurtz. I'm just so disgusted with the first five systems this year-- and then my very own chase partner rubbing it in. I owe all of my wx-nerd friends a heartfelt apology. It'll be okay. We will get good storms this year after the dry air goes away and MJO actually decides it wants to play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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